[外電] 達爾列MLB TOP 50交易價值名單
http://ppt.cc/4jVB
Three Texas Rangers make Top 50 Trade Value list
遊騎兵3人列前50交易價值球員
Jonah Keri has released his annual MLB Top 50 Trade Value list (you can read
part 1 here and part 2 here) and three Texas Rangers make the cut.
Jonah Keri最近列了大聯盟前50大交易價值球員-條子隊有3人入列。
Third baseman Adrian Beltre, who has three years left at $51 million
(assuming he hits the mark for his vesting option in 2016 to actually vest)
on his current deal, is #46 on the list.
三壘手-吹哥,目前合約還剩下3年/51M,名單排#46。
Shortstop Jurickson Profar is grouped with Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander
Bogaerts at #32 (with Bogaerts at #31). Profar drops from #18 last year due
to his offensive struggles, and its still weird to see him below guys like
Bogaerts, Wil Myers and Manny Machado -- peers who he had been considered
clearly ahead of not long ago.
游擊手-Profar與紅襪的Xander Bogaerts在同組,去年Profar排第18
今年跌至#32,是因為今年的打擊沒很出色,但是將在他排在Bogaerts,
Wil Myers and Manny Machado之後仍覺得怪怪的。(之前小普評價太高)
Pitcher Yu Darvish is grouped with Chris Sale (they are 11th and 10th,
respectively) as young aces under team control. Darvish was #33 last year,
and Keri says Darvish has established himself "as a perennial Cy Young
candidate." The only pitcher ahead of Yu, besides Chris Sale, is Jose
Fernandez.
投手-達比修跟Chris Sale在一群組(分別為第11,10),球隊的年輕ACE且被球隊綁住
達比修去年排#33,作者Keri表示,達比修已展示他的能力是可以成為一個"perennial Cy
Young candidate"每年都有能力去角逐賽揚獎的。目前交易價值比達比修高的投手只有
Chris Sale和Jose Fernandez。
Derek Holland makes the Honorable Mention list, and Keri also references
Martin Perez as someone who nearly cracked the list.
Derek Holland和 Martin Perez也是差一點進入前50大名單。
http://ppt.cc/TFn3 TOP #1~~#35
http://ppt.cc/TPEj TOP #36~#50 & 特別名單
擷取達爾#11
Group 17: The K Kings
11. Yu Darvish, SP, Texas Rangers (33): Both pitchers in Group 17 move up this
year after huge seasons. In 2013, Darvish posted a 2.83 ERA in one of the
toughest environments in the majors for pitchers. He also led the league in
strikeout rate by a mile. The contract that he signed after getting posted by
the Nippon-Ham Fighters always projected as a bargain, once the posting fee was
covered. With Darvish establishing himself as a perennial Cy Young candidate,
though, the four years and $41 million he has left on his deal look like typos.
11. Yu Darvish, SP, Texas Rangers (33):二位投手在第17組2013年球季皆是大躍進,
2013年達比修在聯盟裡其中一座對投手最不利的的球場內繳出2.83 ERA的成績,且三
振率領先其他人-大概有不是只有一點點的差距,自從他從日本火腿到遊騎兵,這張合
約一直被認為是一個划算的合約(即使已含入札),達比修今年展示他的能力可以成為
每年都有能力去角逐賽揚獎,他剩下的4年/41M的合約讓人以為是打錯數字。
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http://www.baseballprof.com/2013/12/are-all-strikeouts-the-same/
Are All Strikeouts the Same ? 三振都一樣 ?
"Are all strikeouts valued the same in the eyes of a scout?" Are strikeouts
earned via swing and miss worth more valuable than strikeouts where the
batter is looking?
They both said they preferred strikeouts that come from the swing and miss.
"所有的三振在球探眼中都是一樣的嗎?"
"揮空三振比站著被K更有價值嗎"
當被問到這個問題,球探皆回答,他們比較喜歡揮空三振。
I sought out to see if starting pitchers with higher WHIFF (swing and miss)
rates are more likely to have higher strikeout percentages.
剛好,一個投手有高揮空率,他的K/9也會是高的。
When I evaluate pitchers I look at strikeout percentage rather than K/9
because it provides a clearer picture a pitcher’s true ability to strikeout
batters. K/9 is a flawed statistic because it uses a static number in innings
to determine the strikeout percentage and does not take into an account the
actual numbers of hitters he faced.
當我去衡量一個投手,比起 K/9 ,我寧看 K %,
因為它才是一個投手真正的三振能力。
K/9 是有些缺點的,它只衡量一局裡面三振了幾位打者。
而不管在這局裡面,投手面對了幾位打者。
Pitchers who allow a lot of base runners will benefit from K/9 while pitchers
who minimize the hitters who reach base will get the short end of the stick.
Not every pitcher will face the same number of batters in an inning so it’s
important to understand what percentage of batters he is striking out. That
is what strikeout percentage accomplishes; it divides strikeouts by plate
appearances.
一個投手如果讓打者不斷上壘,對於K/9 也不能說不利,一個都沒讓人上壘的
投手,也有可能少了一些衝K/9的機會。不是每個投手每局都面對一樣數量的打者,
所以,最好的衡量反而是 K% (一局裡面上來的打者有幾個被三振)。
For example, suppose a pitcher walks the bases loaded and strikes out the
side in one inning. His K/9 for that inning would be three and his strikeout
percentage would be 50 percent. However, suppose instead of walking the bases
loaded he strikes all three of the batters he faced. The K/9 would still be
three, but his strikeout percentage would be 100 percent.
舉例來說,假設投手讓壘包全部塞滿,然後連續再K掉3個人,他的K/9 將會是3 ,
而 K% 會是50%,但如果完全沒有塞壘包,而是連三K,K/9一樣會是3,但K%=100%。
.
.
接下來太專業...我們直接跳結論吧
Yu Darvish’s 2012 and 2013 Opponents’ Contact Rates are the two lowest in in
the league in the last nine years.
達爾2012/2013 連二年打者打不到球的% ,在聯盟裡是9年來最低的二年。
(2013 K/9第一;2012 K/9是第二名,僅次Scherzer)
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