[球探報告] Matt Davidson

看板Diamondbacks作者abc12812時間16年前 (2009/06/12 11:56)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)

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Round Overall Player Position 1s 35 Matt Davidson 1B ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BA: Davidson won the home run derby during the Aflac Classic at Dodger Stadium last summer, and only a late rally by the East squad prevented him from being the game's MVP. Athletic and powerfully built at 6-foot-3 and 225 pounds, Davidson has always flashed impressive raw power. As a junior in the spring of 2008, he put on an eye-opening power display during the National Classic home run contest. Actual games, of course, are not home run derbies, and like many young power hitters, Davidson struggles with consistency and had trouble catching up to quality pitching at some showcase events. When hitting well, he waits out the pitch and then uses a short backswing and sweeping follow-through to wallop the ball. When slumping, he struggles to read the pitch, flinches his front side and commits too early or too late. Davidson's speed is well-below-average, but he does have an above-average arm. His hands and footwork will probably force him to first base down the road. Davidson may never produce in games to match the grades scouts put on his raw power, but the lure of that potential should put him as high as the supplemental first round if he's considered signable away from Southern California. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- pgcrosschecker: SCOUTING PROFILE (3/1): Davidson has been a high-profile player in the Southern California prep ranks since the start of his high-school career. He has an extra-strong, well-proportioned build that, right now, plays well at third base, but Davidson will have to work hard as he gets older and the game speeds up to maintain his quickness and agility. He has an easy, quick release on his throws and plenty of arm strength to establish himself at third base, should he maintain his range to remain there. But Davidson's big tool, whether at third base or first, is his power potential. The ball comes off Davidson's bat differently than most other top prospects his age, and tends to go farther as well. Davidson's swing is a bit long, like most power hitters, but it's an effortless swing with excellent extension through the ball. He can get pull-happy at times, and hits best when he squares up balls and sends them to all fields, especially to right-center. Davidson struggled as a junior last year with the weight of high expectations on his shoulders, and hit only .333-7-22 with 26 strikeouts in 78 at-bats. But he performed much better during the summer against superior competition, particularly at the 2008 World Wood Bat Association 17-and-under national championship, where he completely dominated, and later at the Aflac All-American Game, where he won the home-run derby. He's a polished player, who is quietly aggressive and confident in his ability. He also pitches for his high-school team, and posted a 0.88 ERA in 40 innings a year ago, striking out 48. If Davidson performs close to his obvious raw tools this spring, it should push him into the first round of the 2009 draft.-DAVID RAWNSLEY UPDATE (5/15): Davidson rebounded from his mediocre junior season and carried over his summer success to an outstanding spring. Scouts say that Davidson has not only played like a man among boys on one of the top-high school teams in the country (Yucaipa High was 25-2), but is playing the game with an ease and enjoyment that they haven't previously seen. The result has been a senior season that seems to have firmly entrench Davidson in first-round consideration on many team's draft boards. Davidson was hitting a robust .560-10-41 this season, with 17 doubles and a 24-6 walk-to-strikeout ratio. He also served effectively as Yucaipa's closer and had gone 3-0, 1.58 with five saves and 38 strikeouts in 26 innings.-DR ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- baseballbeginnings: PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION: Big boned, big hands, strong forearms and grip. Rounded, sloped shoulders, thick legs and torso, yet to physically mature. STRENGTHS: 7-raw power as HS player. Strong, powerful swing with two-hand finish. Likes to get fully extended; not oblivious to keeping hands inside ball. Aggressive cut, power best pull, but also has RCF and CF power. Feel he will develop power to all fields. Selective, brings a concept to the plate. SA (straightaway) approach when locked in, lower-half contributes, firm front side, quiet head and hip rotation. WEAKNESSES: Will need to show he can keep his hands inside the ball enough at advanced levels. Tight body and limited range at 3B, below-average arm action, below-average accuracy, below-average runner, slow first step. Will have to watch body. Feel most defensive shortcomings are correctable. Feel this is a better athlete than given credit for. Feel best is yet to come, but not sure he’ll get chance to play anywhere other than 1B as pro. SUMMARY: You are buying the bat. Offensive-oriented AL-type player. Should be middle of the order bat on a contending team. Best power I saw this spring. Won’t see me give away a power grade like this very often. Signed to play at USC. Good Luck in future. GRADES (Present/Future) Hit 30/50 Power 40/70 Run 40/45 Arm 40/45 Field 45/50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- camdendepot: Scouted: August 9, 2008 at Aflac All-American Game (film); 2008 Perfect Game National Showcase (film); 2008 Perfect Game West Coast Top Prospect Showcase (film) Frame: Davidson is already an impressive 6'4" / 220 lbs with room to hang even more strength over the coming years. He carries his weight through his core and his broad shoulders, staying relatively mobile side-to-side in the field (though he's easily a below-average runner on the bases). Davidson has smooth movements for a player his size, and shows good body awareness in the field, helping his chances to stick at third. Swing: Load – Davidson has a soft load with quiet hands (they are in prime hitting position in his set-up, so there's no work to be done at this point in his swing). He has a slight leg raise, though it flows almost immediately into his stride, serving more as a trigger than a timing mechanism. He has an easy and balanced 60/40 distro in his lower-half. Stride – Davidson's stride is short and controlled and his head stays quiet through the beginning of his weight transfer. His hands remain in good position to strike all parts of the hit zone, staying fixed to his body, rather than a point in space, as his momentum starts forward. There is no real added length in his swing to this point, instead keeping a short path from hands to contact and setting-up a compact swing. Swing – As expected, Davidson's swing is compact and efficient. He gets good leverage through a solid core and quick hands, maximizing his power through good extension at contact and above-average bat speed. His head remains quiet through his weight transfer, and he flows well from hips to elbow to knob to barrel. There is some natural loft in his swing, helping his power projection. Contact – At contact, Davidson remains well-balanced and under control. He rotates well through his core, and keeps his momentum to and through the ball, avoiding any leaking or drifting. As you'd want, at impact you can draw a line perpendicular to the ground through his helmet, down his torso and thigh, and out his knee. He could stand to let the ball travel a little deeper more consistently, which his bat speed should allow for, but he does a pretty good job already in this regard. Follow-through – Davidson has a long and pretty extended follow-through. He let's the momentum release naturally through a high and easy one-handed finish. He remains under control, seldom spinning-off, and well balanced as he concludes. Swing Summary – Looking at Davidson, you see a swing that is built to succeed. He's balanced throughout, clean and quiet in his hands and head, and compact and efficient in his swing. He has little wasted movement and does an excellent job of pushing his momentum to and through the ball, maximizing his power. His focus as he moves forward will likely focus on approach and allowing the ball to consistently travel deeper, which will put him in better position to drive the ball pole-to-pole. Fielding: Though many have pointed to questions as to Davidson's ability to stick at the hot corner as a pro, he moves well at third and shows soft hands, particularly when charging. His arm is well above-average and should easily play at the next level -- were he in possession of a tick more footspeed he could profile to right field should third base fall through (O's fans will immediately think Billy Rowell). Davidson isn't flashy, but he shows enough athleticism and coordination for us to remain reasonably confident that he can stick at third with continued work. Grading Out (as of date written): Hitting Power Speed Defense Arm 55 55/60 35 45/50 55/60 Nick’s Notes: Davidson has been near the top of our draft board since last summer, and while we understand him dropping on boards that project him to first base we're a little surprised he isn't getting a little more love from the major outlets. He has a classic power hitter's swing and could project to 65/70 power if he's able to refine his approach throughout his professional development and show discipline in pitch selection. We like his chances to stick at third, though even if he eventually shifts to first his bat should easily play. We like his bat as much as any other high schooler in the draft, and while he's probably a bit of an over-draft at 1:5, he'll be incredible value if he slips past the mid-1st round. It's unclear how strong his commitment is to USC, so we'll keep our eye out for more info in the coming weeks. Current Draft Board Status: Projected Positions: 3B/1B Suggested Slot: Top 10 to Mid-1st Round ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MLB.com: Hitting ability: Davidson has some definite hitting ability, though a loop in his swing concerns some. Power: There's a lot of power potential there, average to above average in the future. Running speed:It's not really a part of his game. Base running: Not a bad baserunner. Arm strength: Has an average arm at third. Fielding: He's basically solid defensively, though some feel he'll be better suited to first base in the future. Range: His range is fine for third base. Physical Description: Davidson has struggled a little bit with his body in the past, but he's worked hard and really transformed his body since his junior year. He's naturally strong and looks the part, kind of a Scott Rolen type. Medical Update: Healthy. Strengths: He's a solid high school player with average skills across the board. His power potential is the one tool better than the rest. Weaknesses: He doesn't have a real plus tool that jumps out, leaving him without a "wow" factor. A loop in his swing could cause problems. Summary: A solid, safe high school draftee, Davidson is a great kid with solid, if unspectacular, skills across the board. His best tool might be his future power, but he should have the arm and glove to stay at third defensively. He struggled a bit as a junior, and whether people buy into his summer performance as the real deal will be what determines his Draft status as the spring goes on. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.5.3 ※ 編輯: abc12812 來自: 140.112.5.3 (06/12 13:16) ※ 編輯: abc12812 來自: 140.112.5.3 (06/12 13:44)