[選秀] 1. Barret Loux
Barret Loux (Texas A&M)
Born: Apr 6,1989
Height / Weight: 6-5 / 220
Position: RHP
Bats/Throws: R/R
IP BB SO HR ERA
2008 90.1 35 81 10 4.18
2009 48.0 21 62 2 4.13
2010 105.0 34 136 7 2.83
BA report: The Tigers spent heavily to sign high school pitchers Rick Porcello
($7 million contract in the first round) and Casey Crosby ($748,500 in the
fifth) in 2007, and thought they also met the $800,000 asking price of Loux,
their 24th-rounder. He changed his mind about signing and instead opted to
attend Texas A&M, where his 2009 season was halted by bone chips in his elbow.
After having the chips removed, Loux is healthy again and racking up strikeouts
with a 90-92 mph fastball that touches 95. The 6-foot-5, 220-pounder throws
with such ease that his fastball appears even harder. If he had a standout
second pitch, he'd be a first-round pick, but he may have to settle for the
sandwich round because his curveball and changeup are merely effective. His
curveball was his best pitch in high school but hasn't been as sharp since
his elbow surgery. He'll show an average changeup, though not on a consistent
basis. Some teams have medical concerns about Loux, who missed two months of
his high school senior season with a tender shoulder.
PG report: SCOUTING PROFILE (3/1):Loux has emerged from off-season surgery to
remove bone spurs in his elbow to become one of the most-dominant pitchers in
college baseball over the first half of the 2010 season. He quickly surpassed
his victory total from his injury-impacted sophomore season (3-3, 4.12) and
was 4-2, 1.98 with 64 strikeouts (second in the country) in only 41 innings
through the first weekend of April. He limited opposing hitters to a .179
average. Loux has a smooth, repeatable delivery with a long arm action and a
high three-quarters release point that creates very good downward angle to
the plate. His fastball has been steady in the 92-94 mph area all spring, and
he does a good job of spotting the pitch to make up for its relative lack of
movement. Both Loux’s downer curveball and changeup have flashed signs of
being plus pitches at different points this spring, and he has even been
known to mix in a low-80s slider as a fourth offering. Some scouts have been
critical of Loux’s inability to pitch deep into games (he was averaging less
than six innings per start), and feel he pitches away from contact too much,
especially for a pitcher with his superior command and raw stuff. On the
other hand, A&M has one of the top bullpens in the country, led by sophomore
closer John Stilson, and Loux’s pitch counts have been very modest coming
off his surgery.—DAVID RAWNSLEY
UPDATE (5/15): Loux has been dominant all season (9-2, 2.05, 83 IP/111 SO
through mid-May) and saved his best performance for one of his last starts of
the spring, a complete-game shutout over Oklahoma State on May 14. His
three-pitch mix (91-94 mph fastball, curve and changeup) and overall command
paint him as probably a fast mover in professional ball.—DR
Fangraphs: One of Division I’s top recruits three years ago, Loux was
inconsistent for his first two seasons, before transforming into the ace the
Aggies needed this season. He’s your typical tall-and-fall big righty, with
little tempo in his delivery, but a ton of arm speed on his 92-94 mph fastball.
He maintains the arm speed on a very good changeup that has been his best pitch
this spring, helping to shut down left-handed hitters. He’ll need work
refining a breaking ball, as neither his slider or curveball made much
headway in three years at college. (Bryan Smith)
5 Tool Talk: After a strong freshman year that put Loux in the early
conversation as a potential first-round pick for this June’s draft, he
regressed during his sophomore year, when he really struggled with his command.
He has had some difficulty controlling anything past his fastball at times,
although is doing a much better job mixing things up this spring. Even if his
secondary stuff were to continue to fail him, he is going to get as many
chances to succeed as he needs with his size and natural arm strength. He
throws 92-94 consistently, and can maintain that velocity deep into ballgames,
with the ability to touch a few ticks higher than that if he need to. He also
throws a curveball and changeup, and while both pitches have shown improvement,
he needs to continue to hone them if he expects to remain in a starting role at
the next level. With his size he projects as a workhorse, and has been among
the national leaders in strikeouts all spring.
(6/6/10) This will probably be one of my last notes updates for a while as my
day job ramps up and cuts into my baseball time. I do intend to keep the site
updated thooughout the summer with thoughts on the players I'm able to see. I
will be covering the Northwoods League again this summer as part of my duties
with Perfect Game, and intend to be at their All-Star Game in mid-July.
Because of that I wanted to get one last observation in. I was able to catch
Barret Loux for the first time this year, a player that I was impressed with
in past years even though I had not seen him at his best in one outing.
I caught him in his Regional appearance against Florida International, in
which he went 8 innings, giving up 3 runs while striking out 10. He didn't
seem to be throwing as hard as he's capable of, and was throwing a lot of
breaking balls and changeups early in this outing. He throws both a curve and
a slider, although neither pitch is a huge breaker. His change does have nice
fade, but what makes his pitches look so good is that everything is thrown
the same. He has a nice, in-tempo delivery, and while he did overthrow a
couple of times, everything just seemed to be in sync for him.
I know he usually pithes in the 88-92 range with the ability to touch 94. It
looks like he should throw much harder than that more consistently given his
size. He is frequently discussed as a candidate to sneak into the last 10 or
so picks of the first round, and if he doesn't, should be off the board by
the end of the sandwich round.
Hardballtimes: Consensus seems to be that this was a slot pick; it's certainly
true that Loux will come cheaper than someone like Yasmani Grandal would have.
But I'm going to buck the conventional wisdom and point out Loux's monster
stats—he had the best 2010 season of any college pitcher...and it wasn't
even close.
Loux's secondary stuff has been questioned, so maybe he's a future closer. If
he keeps missing anywhere close to as many bats as he has this year (12 K/9),
he'll have plenty of success in some role or other.
大致上來說就是球速不錯的大隻投手。變化球部分大家看法兩極,有些人認為他的變速球
很好而曲球也有成長空間,其他人則認為他的變化球沒一個上的了檯面。無論如何,他今
年的成績確實是不錯,136 SO排名聯盟第四,而且他面對的球隊強度是SO排行榜中最高的
。控球部份大體上是不錯,不過34 BB是多了一點,PG有提到他有投太開的傾向,因此增加
了用球數,局數也沒吃太多。健康狀況目前是良好投球機制也流暢,但高中時有肩膀問題
,去年也因為手肘骨頭碎片導致整季報銷,未來能不能維持健康有待觀察。大學工作量
偏高是讓人擔心的一點,今年四度投球數超過120,最高134,加入職棒後應該會嚴加控管
局數。預計明年季中應該就會上來。
--
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