[外電]Forecasting the National League West …

看板Diamondbacks作者seven8211 (Archer)時間14年前 (2011/08/26 21:29)推噓4(4推 0噓 4→)

留言8則, 5人參與討論串1/1

This is shaping up to be the best-race of the year, with two teams looking to battle down the stretch for the right to square off against the mighty Philadelphia Phillies. How do the odds stack up for both teams? Here’s a look at the National League West: Team W L W-L% GB Rs/G Ra/G Dbacks 71 59 0.546 - 4.4 4.3 Giants 69 61 0.531 2 3.4 3.6 Rockies 63 68 0.481 8.5 4.6 4.6 Dodgers 60 69 0.465 10.5 3.8 3.9 Padres 60 71 0.458 11.5 3.8 3.8 Interesting how, according to run differential, the world champion San Francisco Giants rank dead last in the division in run differential. And yet, thanks in large part to a 29-19 record in one-run games, the Giants are right there in the division, well ahead of statistically better teams and just two games behind the division-leading Arizona Diamondbacks. Those same Diamondbacks, by the way, have shocked the baseball world with their turn around this season, led mostly by a pitching staff that went from the bottom of the league to the middle in most pitching categories while maintaining their 4.4 runs per game from last season. Ian Kennedy has emerged not only as a staff ace, but as a legitimate contender for Cy Young votes. Justin Upton, meanwhile, could be your National League MVP. Coolstandings.com basically gives the Diamondbacks a 2-1 shot at winning the division over the Giants. And who can blame them? The Diamondbacks sport by far the better lineup balance; whereas the Giants are second in the league in pitching and last in hitting, the Diamondbacks rank near the middle in both. The Giants recently lost All-Star closer Brian Wilson to the disabled list along with lefty starter Jonathan Sanchez. In my mind, the Giants can and will flip this thing around. For one thing, Carlos Beltran is finally back in the lineup, thus giving the Giants the offensive shot-in-the-arm that they will need to stay in contention. Secondly, the Giants open up a 10-day homestand starting with matchups against the two worst teams in the National League, the Astros and Cubs. With those teams coming to AT&T Park, the Giants should be looking at six wins in seven games. The next three games will be against the very Diamondbacks they need to beat to earn the division crown. Arizona does not get to face either of these two teams—their only remaining inter-divisional games after tonight’s game in the nation’s capital are a three-game set against the much more formidable Pirates. Thirdly, both teams square off almost exclusively against National League West opponents down the stretch. The Giants have a much better record (29-18) against this division than the Diamondbacks (23-21) do, and I have a feeling that this will manifest itself down the stretch. The smart money is to bet on the Diamondbacks coming out on top. I'm apparently not smart so I’m going to give the edge to the Giants, with both teams ending up somewhere in the mid-80’s in victories. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 蠻有趣的一篇文章我覺得作者認為我們最終會失去分區冠軍的寶座巨人會在Beltran 歸隊之後再次奪回西區冠軍的寶座雖然我們現在領先兩場(今天變成三場) 作者會這樣認為的原因有三 1.Beltran歸隊之後他們會擁有更為強大的火力 2.巨人接下來10場都是在主場分別是對上Astros and Cubs 還有我們這位作者估計巨人前7場會贏六場然後會在跟我們的三連戰中試圖問鼎西區冠軍的寶座然而我們卻要三連戰海盜(再來不是對教士嗎? 還是我誤解了作者的意思) 作者認為我們不會取得太大的優勢(? 這邊我看不太懂) 3.跟同區的戰積當中巨人29-18明顯得比我們的23-21來的有優勢作者相信這將會是我們落敗的原因 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 在這篇文章發表的隔天巨人的七連戰第一場已經輸了再來要取得6連勝才能符合作者的估計我們在來對上教士的三連戰這一季到現在我們對教士的戰績是4-4 但是在明星賽之後我們的救援投手表現得蠻好的 J.J. Putz (11-for-11), David Hernandez (4-for-4) and Zach Duke (1-for-1) 16次的救援成功全都拿下這將會是我們取得勝利的一個保障希望我們可以順利封王XDD PS:話說巨人claim Bell的消息是錯誤的巨人沒這麼做原文網址 : http://0rz.tw/CVUMN(原文)http://0rz.tw/RPbYL(官網教士三連戰的報導) -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.129.113.151 ※ 編輯: seven8211 來自: 220.129.113.151 (08/26 21:30) ※ 編輯: seven8211 來自: 220.129.113.151 (08/26 21:32)