[翻譯] 新秀Q&A with Bill Mitchell of BA

看板Diamondbacks作者fountainNess (秋本平吉千人將)時間9年前 (2015/11/19 05:12)推噓11(11推 0噓 16→)

留言27則, 4人參與討論串1/1

Kel (Flagstaff, AZ): Your thoughts on Taylor Clarke? Thx Bill Mitchell: We've got plenty of questions about Taylor Clarke, so we'll start the chat with Arizona's 3rd round pick from the College of Charleston. Clarke had a very nice debut at Hillsboro, not allowing an earned run in over 20 innings. The big right-hander's strength is his Plus command and control, projecting as a fourth starter with a good three-pitch mix. One of my biggest disappointments during the recent instructional league season was that Clarke didn't pitch, so I didn't get a chance to see him on the mound. He'll be a high priority for me in spring training. Bill Michell(下稱BM):今年第三輪,強像是plus的command跟control,預測是四號,三顆球種的mix(速、變、滑) Dave (Phoenix): Is Marcus Wilson still someone to dream on, or is he not progressing? Bill Mitchell: Marcus Wilson has made slow but steady progress during his two years in the organization. The Diamondbacks knew that the young California outfielder was a project who would take time. He got a little stronger in 2015 but still needs to add strength so that he can make better contact at the plate. It wouldn't surprise me to see him get more time in short-season ball, which will be alright since he won't turn 20 until late next season. He'll be ranked in the Prospect Handbook, so you'll be able to read more about Wilson when that fine book comes out early next year. BM:M.Wilson雖慢但穩定的進步.他需要變得更強壯,讓他的contact更好.還很年輕. 會排在Top30裡面 @Jaypers413 (IL): Thanks for the chat, Bill. Could Austin Byler become the second coming of Goldschmidt, or is that too generous a comp? How close was he to this list? Bill Mitchell: Don't get too excited about Austin Byler yet. Arizona's 11th round pick from Nevada, Byler was a four-year college guy playing in a rookie-level league and in a very good park for hitters. While he put up very good numbers there, he also struck out in 23 percent of his at-bats. Byler was suspended for 50 games in September for a positive PED test. The clock on that penalty doesn't kick in until the start of the 2016 Pioneer League season which will in effect wipe out most of the year for him. He'll be 24 until he gets a full season under his belt in 2017. I didn't write a report on him this year, but we'll take another look at Byler next year. BM:禁賽50場,等到打第一個完整球季已經24歲了 Grant (NYC): What did you think of Cody Reed during his Hillsboro debut? Bill Mitchell: Cody Reed put in a good season for the Northwest League champion Hops and is in the mix for the top 30. Conditioning will always be a concern for Reed, and he reported to instructional league in better shape than earlier in the year. His fastball was in the 87-91 range this year, and scouts are concerned that his secondary pitches aren't good enough to offset the lower fastball velocity. Let's see how he handles full-season ball next year. BM:Top30.需要控制體型.速球87-91.不過第二球路不夠好,製造不出速差 Eric (Tampa): Impressions of Gabby Guerrero this year? Is he in your 30? Bill Mitchell: Gabby Guerrero was in the discussion for the Dbacks top ten list, but will instead rank somewhere in the teens. He struggled with plate discipline and pitch recognition in Double-A this year, both before and after the trade from Seattle. I recently talked with his Mobile hitting coach, who indicated that Guerrero knows what he needs to improve and is dedicated to working on improving. The raw power and arm strength are both plus or plus-plus tools, so there's a major league outfielder in there if he can improve his approach. He was young for Double-A this year so expect a return to Mobile in 2016 for more seasoning. BM:有在前十順位的討論中.本壘板紀律跟球路判斷不好.Gabby知道自己哪裡需要加強,而且有付諸努力.力量跟臂力都是plus或plus-plus.如果打擊策略能進步會是MLB外野手.還年輕繼續再2A努力 Ezra Cornell (Ithaca, NY): Any buzz around the rare Cornell baseball prospect, Brent Jones? Pre draft word was that he could be a quick riser with back end potential. Any change? Bill Mitchell: We ranked Jones in the 20s last year and, as you said, looked like he could move quickly. But injuries put him out of action for most of the second half of the season. Scouts believe his stuff will be better out of the bullpen. With better health in 2016 he could be back on the fast track. BM:因為下半季傷勢而無法出賽.球探認為他的stuff比較適合以牛棚出擊. Dave (dallas tx): Are you convinced that Bradley's future is not as a SP at this point? Bill Mitchell: I don't believe that anyone's ready to give up on Archie staying in the rotation, especially since he looked good there at the start of 2015, but more scouts than before are voicing the opinion that the back end of the bullpen may (and I say MAY) be his best role moving forward. Let's see how he looks when pitchers and catchers report in the spring. BM:阿漆...更多球探認為牛棚比較適合他 (有一題土雞的跳過XD) DR (MD): Isan Diaz put up great numbers and showed defensive versatility, yet most DBacks lists have him low. Is that simply a product of the hitter friendly league? Or do scouts not think the bat is for real? Bill Mitchell: Scouts and Pioneer League managers were universally high on Diaz during my research into that league's prospects. As good as the reports were from the Pioneer League, scouts were even more glowing about his potential after viewing him in instructional league. He probably won't stay at shortstop, but it looks like the bat is real. BM:大家都很看好Diaz.越來越看好.可能不會留在游擊.但打擊應該是真的. Rick (Arizona): Can you tell us about Josh Taylor? Do you consider him a top 30 prospect? Bill Mitchell: Josh Taylor is a strong-armed lefty acquired mid-season from the Philadelphia organization. He's not in the top 30 but is on my list of potential sleepers who could boost their stock next season. His fastball gets up to 94 and he complements it with a big, slow curveball. He's one to watch when he moves up to the Cal League. BM:強壯的左腕.速球有到94mph而且有個變化幅度大且慢的曲球 Patrick (Glendale, AZ): Hi Bill, do you have a scout report for Tyler Mark? He was a college relief pitcher but transit into a SP for Hillsboro Hops this year. I am wondering if he has what it takes to be a SP in professional baseball? Bill Mitchell: The Diamondbacks are giving 6th round pick Tyler Mark a chance to start, but so far most scouts believe he'll wind up back in the bullpen but with a chance he could be a back-end starter if he improves his command. He's got a good sinking fastball up to 94 and good feel for his changeup. His delivery needs work but he's athletic and should improve with experience. Look for Mark in full-season ball in 2016. BM:大部分球探認為會是牛.不過控球進步的話可能有後段的潛力.有94mph不錯的下速球. 變速的感覺不錯.不過投球機制還需要修 Nick (Nashville): Will Stryker Trahan ever hit enough or catch well enough to be a regular? Bill Mitchell: It was a very rough year for Stryker, who still has big power but doesn't make enough contact and hasn't progressed behind the plate. The fact that he's dropping out of the top 30 should answer your question. BM:還是有砲瓦.不過沒contact而且防守也沒進步.掉出Top30.(慘了) Irene (Phoenix): What is the latest status of Felipe Perez? He was once a top 30 but didn't didn't pitch in 2015? Bill Mitchell: Felipe Perez was suspended last January for 50 games for a second positive test of a drug of abuse. I can't find any record of him being released, but I haven't seen or heard anything about him in over a year. His stuff had backed up after he was signed as a non-drafted free agent out of high school, but that's as much as I know on him right now. BM:禁賽.Stuff還在. Patrick (Glendale AZ): Both Jason Morozowski and Zach Nehrir performed well in the short season leagues. Who do you rank higher? Can you tell us about these two 2015 draft signings? Bill Mitchell: Jason Morozowski was Arizona's 13th round pick from Mount Olive in North Carolina. I got good reports on him as a potential sleeper when I was researching my Pioneer League list. He also pitched in college so he's relatively inexperienced as a position player for a college product. He's still plenty raw but showed good bat speed, gets on base and has above-average speed. Nehrir was the 16th round pick from Houston Baptist and anchored the Hillsboro outfield. Neither player made the top 30 but are ones to keep an eye on next year when they both likely head to Low-A. BM:13輪那隻打者的經驗相對不足.不過有好的揮棒速度、上壘技巧、高於平均的速度. 第二個沒特別說明. Brad (Taiwan): How did Huang rank in D-Backs farm system? Thanks! Bill Mitchell: Wei-Chieh Huang is a right-handed pitcher from Taiwan who made his stateside debut in the Midwest League at the age of 22. He had an excellent season with Kane County after starting the year in extended spring training due to a back issue. Huang uses a fastball that sits 91-92 and has a double-plus changeup that rates as the organization's best. He'll rank somewhere in the 11-20 range when the Prospect Handbook shows up in your mailbox next year. BM:91-92速球,plus plus變速(很高的評價)11-20之間 (一直再宣傳Handbook XD) Rich (NJ): Can you please give us your opinion on the future of young catcher Jose Herrera. Also, where do you see him starting in 2016 and do you see him ranking in the 11 - 20 range? Bill Mitchell: I've always been high on Jose Herrera, a switch-hitting catcher from Venezuela who signed with Arizona for just over a million in 2013. He had a small setback this season, spending a second season in the Arizona League due to a foot injury that kept him from an assignment to one of the other short-season affiliates. Scouts still like his ability to catch and the potential to hit. He'll still be only 19 next year when he gets a second chance to move on to Missoula or Hillsboro. We had him at #15 last season and he'll still be a top 30 guy in what is now a deeper organization. BM:兩打捕手.今年有傷.球探喜歡他接捕的能力還有打擊潛力.明年才19.Top30. Ray (New York): How do you rank the three Kane County outfielders (Bray, Reyes, Taylor)? Who do you think have the upside to become a MLB regular? Bill Mitchell: I've got them on the depth chart in this order: Victor Reyes, Colin Bray, Chuckie Taylor. Reyes, who the Dbacks got from Atlanta in that two-part trade with Atlanta that allowed them to dump Trevor Cahill's salary, is the only one of the three likely to rank in the top 30. Reyes has hit well at every level but with absolutely no over-the-fence power. None of his other tools stand out so he'll have to continue to rope line drives into the gaps to project as a starting outfielder at the big league level. He's got the frame to add more strength so he could develop more power, but he doesn't get much loft in his swing. I'll be curious to see how much power comes out when he moves up to the hitter-friendly California League. BM:Reyes是三個裡面唯一比較有機會top30的.打得很好,不過沒有打出全壘打的能力.沒有特別突出的tool,所以需要持續打出找洞的平飛球才有可能成為MLB OF.有可能可以增加砲瓦. Sam (LA): Thanks for the chat. Carlos Hernandez pitched really well in 2015. Did he receive any top 10 consideration? Bill Mitchell: Carlos Hernandez ranked as the 20th best prospect in the Northwest League, but didn't get any push to rank high in the Dbacks organization. He's a small right-hander with good pitchability and a plus slider . He'll need to prove he can get advanced hitters out as he moves through the system, with his first taste of full-season ball expected in 2016. BM:小右投,耐投,有plus滑球.不過必須證明能夠解決更高階的打者. Noel (Portland, OR): Will the Dbacks use Drury as a utility guy? Play some 3b and 2b. Maybe learn the of and play SS in a pinch. Bill Mitchell: Drury projects to have enough bat for a starting job, but he could fill a utility role until a spot opens up. I expect that he'll head back to Reno for more seasoning since Phil Gosselin is around to be the utility infielder. But if Drury has as good a spring as he had last year, I wouldn't rule out the chance for him to make the 25-man roster coming out of spring training. BM:可能會回去3A練一下.不過春訓打的好的話可能成為25人. @Jaypers413 (IL): I'm curious why a power hitting, defensively-challenged player such as Pete O'Brien got traded to an N.L. club in the first place. Doesn't he fit more into the role of a future DH to you? Bill Mitchell: At the time I believe there was hope that O'Brien could catch well enough that if the bat also developed he could be a Mike Piazza type of offensive backstop. I'm not saying he had Piazza-like potential but at least to be that kind of power-hitting catcher. He's going to get another chance to catch but few observers see that working out for him. It wouldn't surprise me to see him heading back to the American League at some point. BM:仍然對O'Brien成為攻擊型替補捕手抱有期望.不過很少人覺得回去捕手可行. Albert (Phoenix): Did you have a chance to see Luis Madero and Emilio Vargas in the AZL? They pitched well for AZL D-Backs so I am wondering if you are high on them? Bill Mitchell: Madero and Vargas are both interesting enough to rate positions on the Dbacks right-handed starting pitcher depth chart. As first year rookie ball pitchers they both classify as lottery tickets to file away for the future. On a quick search I was able to find my notes on Madero: good command, fastball up to 92, loose actions, good shape on his breaking ball. Vargas has more zip to his fastball, consistently sitting 94. Secondary stuff is still inconsistent. One more name to file away for the future is a right-hander out of the DSL - Melvin Ovalles. BM:前者控球不錯,92mph,柔軟的投球動作,變化球軌跡不錯.後者速球有94mph,但沒有第二武器(還不穩). Harry (Phoenix, AZ): While you don't get a vote in this, how many of the top 10 do you think are worthy of making BA's top 100? Bill Mitchell: I'm guessing the top five on the list (Swanson, Blair, Shipley, Bradley, Drury) will all get consideration for the final BA top 100. BM:前五名都會是BA top100. Mick (Chicago): I'm guessing recent draft pick SS Kal Simmons may appear in the top 30 prospect book. Is his ceiling any higher than utility player? Bill Mitchell: Like Austin Byler, Simmons received a 50-game suspension and will miss most of the 2016 season. I heard that the Dbacks were going to give him a chance to work behind the plate in instructional league. He was at their Salt River complex for early workouts but then I never saw him in a game during the fall. No top 30 for Simmons this year. BM:禁賽50場.可能練捕手. Teddy (Granville): Hey Bill, living in Chicago, are there any players I should look forward to watching next season at Kane County? or is it just Isan Diaz Bill Mitchell: You should have a solid crop of prospects making their way to Kane County in 2016, including most of the Hillsboro pitching staff (Taylor Clarke, Alex Young, Carlos Hernandez, Cody Reed, Breckin Williams, Tyler Mark, etc.). As you mentioned, Diaz will probably be there, as well as Jason Morozowski (mentioned in an earlier post) and Sergio Alcantara getting a second try at that level. It will be a fun team to watch. BM:明年Kane County有很多人可以看. Ringo (Octopusses Garden): Who just missed the top 10? Bill Mitchell: I mentioned Gabby Guerrero, Taylor Clarke and Wei-Chieh Huang earlier, but I'll throw one more name your way --- Anthony Banda. The southpaw acquired from 2014 from Milwaukee had a nice season in Visalia and could be a potential top-10 candidate with a strong showing in Double-A. BM:跟Top10擦肩而過的除了Gabby,Clarke,黃還有Anthony Banda. Dan (Augusta, ME): Thoughts on 3rd rdr Taylor Clarke? The Dbacks kept him in the pen for his pro debut just to limit innings right? Thanks. Bill Mitchell: I talked earlier about Clarke, but I'll answer your question about his bullpen role in Hillsboro. Yes, that was to limit his innings in his first pro season. The organization did the same with Alex Young, who only pitched one inning at a time after a long season with TCU. BM:球團為了保護他們讓他先投一些後援. Chung Han (Taipei): Wei-Chieh Huang is the first Taiwanese pitcher signed by Arizona and finished a good season for class A Kane County. Other than Huang, do you know if there is any Taiwanese players signed by Arizona that will have their debut in the U.S. In 2016? Bill Mitchell: They recently signed another right-handed pitcher, Kai-Wei Lin, who participated in instructional league this fall. He'll debut in the system next year but it's too soon to tell at what level. BM:簽了林凱崴. Chung Han (Taipei): Arizona has demonstrated the ability to sign good talents from the Independent Leagues. Can you suggest some Independant League signings that we can follow in 2016? Bill Mitchell: One player to watch is right-handed pitcher Ethan Elias, who pitched in the independent Frontier League in 2014 after being released by the Cubs. The 22-year-old Elias had a nice season in Low-A before playing with Team Canada in the Premier 12 tournament. BM:Elias值得關注.今年在低階A投得不錯.代表加拿大打P12. (Chung Han是誰!來自首XD) Ringo (Octopusses Garden): Did Silvino Bracho make the handbook? Can he close at the big league level? Bill Mitchell: Bracho jumped from High-A to Double-A to the big leagues this year, and pitched well during the latter part of the season. His stuff is average across the board but I've heard he has "nerves of steel." He can't close at the big league level, profiling instead as a productive 7th inning reliever. We haven't yet finalized the rest of the top 30, but it wouldn't surprise me to see Bracho in there when it's all said and done. BM:聽說他有鋼鐵般的意志.不過stuff只有平均. Roy (Indiana): Wasted year as expected for Oscar Hernandez. Does he still have roster time at big league level and what are the impressions of him? Bill Mitchell: Oscar Hernandez was the Dbacks Rule 5 pick from Tampa Bay last year, thus requiring him to spend all season in the big leagues. He spent time on the DL after breaking his hamate, but can now be sent back to the minor leagues without Arizona losing his rights. He'll probably start next year at Double-A Mobile. Hernandez is near major league ready defensively, but has a lot of work to do at the plate. BM:明年可能2A開季.防守是大聯盟級.打擊需要加強. (賣掉的Palka略過) JD (Arlington, VA): Given his advanced pedigree, is there a chance Swanson makes it to The Show next year, or is mid-2017 looking more likely? With the desert air there in Arizona, is there a chance he hits 30 homers a year? Bill Mitchell: 2017 is more likely for an arrival date for Swanson, but I wouldn't put it past him to be able to handle the big leagues as early as late 2016. As for 30 homeruns, that's a little rich for him even in hitter-friendly Chase Field. He's not that kind of hitter. BM:可能2016有辦法handle大聯盟等級.不過打不出30轟啦. a.j. (las vegas): I know Nick Ahmed is not good enough to "block" a #1 overall pick but might the Diamondbacks look at Swanson at second base in the minors this year? Bill Mitchell: Another question on Swanson's future: I'm sure they will keep him at shortstop for now, but I wouldn't rule out a move to second base at some point in his career. We know he can handle it. If Ahmed's bat comes around enough to go with his superb defense, it could create an interesting dilemma for the team in a few years. BM:應該會讓他留在游擊.以後可能會練練看.他守二壘應該沒問題. Joe (South Bend): Seth Simmons. Still a prospect? Bill Mitchell: Simmons, a short right-handed reliever with a big fastball, has been on my annual "sleeper guys waiting to break out" list for several years. He had a strong season split between Double-A and Triple-A, but still hasn't made it to the 40-man roster. He'll be 28 by mid-season next year, so the clock is ticking. BM:長年都在沈睡者名單.28歲,快沒時間囉. John (Michigan): Not long ago, Jose Martinez wasn't far behind Bradley, Blair & Shipley. He's still young. What are the chances he regains top prospect status? Bill Mitchell: Martinez suffered a stress fracture in his elbow in 2014, finally making it back to full-season ball in June. His days in the rotation are now over and he's taken to a relief role very well. The mid-90s fastball is back as well as the plus curveball. If he can stay healthy and get better command, he's got 8th inning potential and perhaps even a future as a closer. BM:受傷缺陣2014,終於在六月回來.可能無法當SP,在牛棚投得很好.mid-90的速球跟plus的曲球都回來了.可能的8局人選甚至是終結者. mez (SC): Ryan Burr a quick riser? Could he make it all the way to the backend of the bullpen? Bill Mitchell: Burr, no stranger to Phoenix-area baseball fans after his three-year career at Arizona State, had an excellent season split between Hillsboro and Kane County. The slider improved with a change in the grip and he showed better command than at ASU. It's a power arm with a fastball that touched 99 this year. With major college experience on his resume, Burr is a candidate to move quickly. I'm betting he gets to Double-A at some point in 2016 . BM:滑球跟控球都有進步.能投到99mph.可能會迅速爬升. Bill Mitchell: While there are still plenty of solid questions in the queue, I'm out of time for today. Thanks to all for your participation. You may hit me up on Twitter @billazbbphotog with more questions. Don't forget to order the Prospect Handbook so that you can read all 30 reports from every organization. Join us on Friday when Mike Lananna covers the Rockies organization. I'll be back in the chat room in January to talk about the Angels system. (最後不忘推銷一下Handbook) 感謝他回答這麼多問題...好多沒聽過的名字,未來某一天也許能看到他們 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 123.193.214.219 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Diamondbacks/M.1447881120.A.78B.html

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