Re: [閒聊] 無用的Dodgers雜聞

看板Dodgers作者madboy (歡樂牛棚在躲人)時間16年前 (2009/07/17 12:52)推噓17(17推 0噓 36→)

留言53則, 11人參與討論串46/81 (看更多)

1. http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/7/16/ 951321/whats-a-fair-return-in-a-roy BtBS對各隊對交易Roy Halladay的分析... Roy Halladay's Trade Value Halladay's under contract through 2010, owed about $7M more this year and $15.75M next year. A rough estimate of production (200 IP at a 3.00 ERA in a 4.40 ERA league) puts him at 6 WAR in 2010, and 3 more WAR in 2009. At $4.5M per marginal win, that production is worth $41M on the free agent market. Add in an expected $5M from Type A free agent compensation picks and a team would get $46M in production at a cost of $23M, or a net trade value of $23M. Not bad. I certainly couldn't afford that. Halladay目前的合約與他的真正價值相比能讓球團省下約23M。於是要看Jays想從各想交易Halladay的球團裡要到多少值錢的東西... 有關prospects的部份我就省略了，BA列出的季中Top 25 + Top 25 prospects裡面， Dodgers沒半個人入選，只能說不意外，而目前某ex-Dodgers prospect (Carlxs Santaxa)因被列在top 10， BtBS說他值36.5M...科科... ( 補註一下，Dodgers現在top 100大概有4隻， ) ( Josh Lindblom (AAA)、Andrew Lambo (AA)、Ethan Martin (以下均low A)、 ) ( Dee Gordon。 ) 有關Dodgers的部份簡評... Dodgers If I were the Dodgers, I wouldn't look to acquire Roy Halladay this season, as they're virtually guaranteed a playoff birth. With the flukiness of the post-season, the high cost of a trade wouldn't result in a significantly higher probability of winning the World Series. If they're thinking forward to next year, why not see if he's available in the off-season at a lower cost or put their money into free agents? 簡單說就是Halladay對幾乎全身已進季後賽的Dodgers言不會有搶季後賽機會的幫助，另也不會增加多少獲得世界大賽冠軍的機會。 (按：這時就該把綠帽GM的名言拿出來用...科科...) 我的想法很簡單，季後賽只需要4位先發， Dodgers已有Billingsley、Kershaw、Wolf和Kuroda。覺得不夠的話為何冬天不簽Lowe？ = 基本上Dodgers目前的弱點在... a.) 牛棚過勞問題，由manager間接造成季初撿到的Belisario肩傷進DL "天天W" Wade又因肩傷進DL Broxton腳趾傷，Torre叫他撐...他也只能這麼做 Mota最近比季初好太多了，但他只是個replacement lvl player，別期望太多... b.) Billingsley過勞問題，manager造成小畢今年每場用球量大增，約在110之譜，遲早會出事，只是早晚問題... c.) GM腦殘交易問題這是每年大家都會心驚膽顫的事... 和去年不同處在Dodgers沒有真正的大物prospects，也沒有足夠的銀彈。 (按：Manny*禁賽省下的錢多是延遲付款，實際上對資金操作省不了多少...) 2. 昨天的quote of day "I've ruined it for the Dodgers with saves against them," he said, "so I'm just doing what I normally do."...by Heath Bell 3. AA的Josh Bell拿下SL ASG MVP... 恭喜他。 4. 官blog的ASG圖... http://insidethedodgers.mlblogs.com/DSC_0347.JPG