[轉錄] Prospect Retro: Hong-Chih Kuo
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2010/5/29/1491864/prospect-retro-hong-chih-kuo
Prospect Retro: Hong-Chih Kuo
by John Sickels on May 29, 2010 9:00 AM EDT
Kuo was signed by the Dodgers back in 1999 out of Taiwan, earning a lofty
$1.25 million bonus. He impressed scouts with his mid-90s fastball and power
breaking ball, and his command was also considered promising, if erratic. He
got off to a good start with three shutout innings for San Bernadino in the
California League, fanning seven... but he blew out his elbow in that game
and had to have Tommy John surgery. I gave him a Grade C in my 2001 book,
noting that he had excellent potential as a power pitcher but we needed to
see how the injury recovery went.
He came back in 2001 and made six starts for the Gulf Coast League Dodgers,
posting a 2.33 ERA with a 21/4 K/BB in 19 innings, allowing 13 hits. Scouting
reports indicated that his 95 MPH fastball was back, but that he seemed
reluctant to use his breaking ball much, resulting in regression. This was
understandable considering the injury, and I gave him a Grade C+ in the '02
book, noting that his stock could rise rapidly if he proved his arm was sound.
The recovery was not as smooth as expected. He pitched in seven games in
2002, pitching 14 innings between the GCL and Vero Beach but limited by more
elbow pain. Scouting reports remained positive about his stuff and he posted
a 17/3 K/BB. I gave him a Grade B- in the '03 book.
Alas, he missed all of '03 with more surgery. The elbow pain got a lot worse
and he ended up needing a second Tommy John procedure, missing the entire
season. He returned to the mound in 2004 but pitched just six innings before
the pain returned. The surgeons went back in and cleaned out some scar
tissue. At least he didn't need another transplant, but at this point it was
an open question if his arm would ever be right.
Kuo looked good in the spring of 2005 but the Dodgers were cautious, moving
him to relief at Vero Beach. He responded with a 2.08 ERA and a 42/10 K/BB in
26 innings. Moved up to Double-A Jacksonville, he posted a 1.91 ERA with a
44/11 K/BB in 28 innings. He got five innings of work for Los Angeles,
fanning 10 but showing command problems with five walks. Still, it was a
successful season: he still threw 95 MPH, and his arm didn't crumple. I gave
him a Grade B- in the '06 book, projecting that he could be an overpowering
reliever if he could stay healthy and refine his command a bit more.
Kuo split '06 and '07 between Triple-A and the majors, then posted a 2.14 ERA
with a 96/21 K/BB in 80 innings for the Dodgers in '08. He was limited to 30
innings by more elbow problems in '09, but remained effective when he was on
the mound. The elbow has been bothersome again this spring, but he's been
great when on the mound with a 1.69 ERA and a 13/3 K/BB in 11 innings with
just five hits allowed.
In his major league career, Kuo has a 3.67 ERA with a 249/89 K/BB in 216
innings, 180 hits, 117 ERA+, 2.95 FIP.
There isn't any secret with Kuo. The guy is a great pitcher, but he's fragile
and his workload has to be monitored carefully. There are occasional rumors
that he could move back to starting, but Kuo has had three elbow surgeries
and the joint still flares up on him frequently. Keep him in the pen, and be
happy if you get 50-60 innings of strong relief out of him. It is a testimony
to modern sports medicine, as well as his own persistence, that he's on the
mound at all.
--
CT sucks.
--
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