[閒聊] Dan Uggla

看板FBaseball (Fantasy Baseball)作者charliee (Double E)時間16年前 (2009/05/29 16:52)推噓1(1推 0噓 2→)

留言3則, 3人參與討論串1/1

I havent had a chance to reinforce Dan Uggla's career splits in a while, so let me take the light Thursday schedule as my opportunity. For his career Uggla has posted this OPS by month: March/April .750, May .996, June .913, July .749, August .773, Sept/Oct .735. Now here in 2009: Uggla posted an OPS in April of .745, right in line with his career numbers, but hasnt had the monstrous May we have been accustomed to, positing just an .807 OPS. While some of this is due to a decreased EXBH Rate compared to years past (11.9% vs. 15.4%), the majority of it is simply due to poor luck. His HR Rate has been practically the same as his May career rates (5.9% vs. 6.2%), but his Singles average has been drastically different (.148 vs. .251). The Singles average has been down all year and is the primary reason for Uggla's depressed value (50 pts below 3 year average). His HR Rate is down lightly, but his EYE has improved significantly and his batted ball type is nearly identical in GB, LD, and FB Rates. Uggla is the same player he always been his power pace just isnt able to keep up with last year's monster season. Expect the continued build in his stats through June and then the slow decline that accelerates in the final months, which we've seen from Uggla throughout his career. He's a nice buy-low opportunity now that if you can flip in July would be the best possible play. 簡譯: 我想跟大家分享一下Dan Uggla的行程表，Uggla生涯的OPS是4月.750,5月.996,6月.913 然後七月之後又開始下降，2009年，Uggla四月份的OPS是.745幾乎跟去年一樣，但是他沒有像去年一樣繳出一個怪物的五月，五月的ops只有.807。這其中部分的原因當然是他的XBH%比過去下降，但更大的原因是因為他運氣不好。他五月的全壘打率幾乎跟生涯平均值一樣，但他的安打率卻從.251大幅度下降到.148。這真的是運氣不好，因為他的眼睛其實比過往都好，而且他擊出去的飛球、滾球以及平飛球的比例幾乎是一模一樣。 Uggla的POWER步伐其實跟去年一樣，所以一個瘋狂的六月絕對是可以期待的，然後再開始降溫。因此，如果你可以現在想辦法去逢低買進Uggla然後在七月時賣掉，那你將會是大贏家。 -- 更多亂七八糟的Fantasy Baseball News http://www.wretch.cc/blog/moneyball -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 123.192.192.222