[閒聊] Mo 老了嗎?

看板FBaseball (Fantasy Baseball)作者charliee (Double E)時間16年前 (2009/06/07 21:48)推噓7(7推 0噓 5→)

留言12則, 7人參與討論串1/1

Mariano Rivera (RP,Yankees) I hate to say this but for the first time, I think we might be seeing some chinks in Mariano Rivera旧 armor. Thats like saying the Grand Canyon is losing its attraction or Fenway Park needs to be replaced by something more modern and contemporary. Is this really happening? Is Rivera starting to slow down? Say it aint so, Mo. On Saturday night against the Rays, Rivera took his 2nd loss of the season allowing 4 runs (3 ER), in 2/3 of an inning, allowing 3 hits and 1 BB. Rivera's旧 ERA stands at 3.47, jumping a full run in this outing. While that is not a bad ERA for a pitcher, it's shocking to see Rivera with an ERA over 3.00. His K/9 and BB/9 are still amazingly good at 11.1 and 0.4 respectively. But here's the part that concerns me: this season Rivera has his highest H/9 at 9.1 and even more worrisome is a HR/9 at 2.0. With the exception of his first year in the Majors, Rivera has never has a HR/9 over 0.6. If we look at his percentage of pitches that are swung on and missed, it's down 5% from his career average and his CT % is up 5% over his career mean as well. While Rivera is still an elite closer and remains a must start, there are some eyebrow raising indicators this season that Rivera might just be slowing down. Watch him carefully to see if his numbers fall more in line with his career averages or (gasp!!) if they start to drop 簡譯:這是我第一次，但我恨我自己必須這樣說，Mo無堅不摧的盔甲似乎出現縫隙了。這樣說Mo，就好像說芬威球場的綠色怪物不合時宜要被拆掉了一般痛苦。昨天下午， Mo被光芒打爆，讓他的ERA來到3.47，這對一般的投手來說還是很不錯的數字，但不是對Mo。他的K/9跟BB/9還是令人尊敬的11.1/0.4，但我還是必須拿些負面的數據給你看。Rivera今年的H/9是生涯新高的9.1；他的HR/9是2.0，除了他在大聯盟的第一年以外，他的HR/9從未超過0.6。他讓打者揮空的機率變低，相對地代表打者對他的球棒接觸率也變高許多。Mo當然還是聯盟中數一數二的終結者，但我們不能不小心謹慎地地看待這些退化中的數字。短評:Lidge:「Mo的數據有任何問題嗎?」 -- 更多亂七八糟的Fantasy Baseball News http://www.wretch.cc/blog/moneyball -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 123.192.192.222