[閒聊] 兩個月過去,誰該買?誰該賣?
看板FBaseball (Fantasy Baseball)作者charliee (Double E)時間16年前 (2009/06/15 14:00)推噓8(8推 0噓 16→)留言24則, 8人參與討論串1/1
By Adam Ronis
With two months of the fantasy baseball season complete, the trading frenzy
in leagues should pick up. Teams should now have a good idea of strengths and
weaknesses and work on improving the flaws of their team for a championship
run. Here are some players to consider acquiring or dealing.
Corey Hart (Brewers), OF: Hart has been a major disappointment. His owners
have to be on the verge of giving up on him. He has become a little more
patient with a higher walk rate, but his strikeout rate has got worse and he
still swings at too many pitches out of the strike zone. Hart has gone 20-20
in two consecutive seasons. He’s far off that pace, but he wont cost you
much right now and if you are near the bottom of the standings and need to
shake your team up, Hart is worth the gamble.
買:Corey Hart現在的玩家幾乎都在耐心崩潰的邊緣。但他今年其實變得比以前有耐心,
至少他的BB率變高了;但是他的三振率變得更糟,原因是他揮了太多壞球。不過Hart畢竟
是連兩季20-20的球員,現在的他距離這成績還很遙遠,而且現在換他不需要花太多代價
,值得一賭。
Raul Ibanez (Phillies), OF: Ibanez has been the MVP in the National League so
far. When someone is going this well with 21 home runs, 58 RBIs and a .322
average, I know it’s very difficult to trade. Ibanez won’t have a steep
decline, but with a very high HR/FB ratio of 25.6 percent, the home runs are
likely to come down. His stock is very high and he could get you something
very good to help your team in a weak area.
賣:Raul Ibanez是國聯到目前為止的MVP人選,我知道要賣掉一個這樣的傢伙對任何人來
說都很痛苦,不過我要提醒你的是,Raul Ibanez的成績不會大幅下滑,但是他現在25.6
的HR/FB率實在高得離譜,這點一定會下修。更重要的是,以他現在的身價,要去補強你
的任何一個弱項絕對都可以補到非常好的人。
Michael Young (Rangers), SS/3B: Look at the disappointments at shortstop this
season. There’s Jhonny Peralta, Troy Tulowitzki, J.J. Hardy, Rafael Furcal,
Alexei Ramirez and Jimmy Rollins. A good shortstop is in high demand and
Young has eight home runs and a 13.8 HR/FB ratio, which is well above what he
has done in the past few seasons. He’s a good sell.
賣:看看這一季的SS,幾乎一片哀鴻遍野。Young是現在賣相最佳的SS,而且他的HR/FB率
一樣太高,現在是賣高最好的時機。
Miguel Tejada (Astros), SS: Do his owners really care how old he is right
now? While the younger shortstops went ahead of him in drafts, Tejada has
flourished with a .350 average, six home runs and 33 RBIs. Tejada has a high
BABIP of .356, so his average is likely to decline and he won’t hit for much
power with his high groundball rate. Sell.
賣:現在誰還敢笑Miguel Tejada老了?他現在的成績是.350AVG,6HR,33RBI,是很棒,不過
他的BABIP高達.356,這不太可能維持下去;另外他的滾地球比例也太高,這對他的POWER
也不是好的sign。
Scott Baker (Twins), SP: Baker has dominated at times and also been hurt by
the long ball. Point to his 5.59 ERA and try to acquire him. He will get hurt
by home runs since he is a fly ball pitcher, but a 57/12 K/BB ratio in 67 2/3
innings says he’s in line for some good performances.
買:說過很多次不說了。
Stephen Drew (Diamondbacks), SS: Drew has been a major disappointment, even
with a 14-game hitting streak recently. Drew is hitting .250 with three home
runs and 21 RBIs. Now is the time to buy.
買:連14場安打之後,Drew的股票依然在低點,現在還是可以買進的時候。
Adrian Beltre (Mariners), 3B: Beltre is starting to hit better, but just four
home runs and 28 RBIs have some owners ready to bail. Beltre has a very how
HR/FB rate of 5.1 percent after being around 13 percent the past two seasons.
The power will come and he also has six stolen bases. Buy.
買:Beltre過去的HR/FB率都在13左右,但今年只有5.1,而且他還有6次SB,快買。
All statistics through Thursday.
--
更多亂七八糟的Fantasy Baseball News
http://www.wretch.cc/blog/moneyball
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