[情報] two lessons for next season

看板FBaseball (Fantasy Baseball)作者taiwanrules (taiwanrules)時間13年前 (2012/10/06 02:10)推噓15(15推 0噓 13→)

留言28則, 16人參與討論串1/1

Two Lessons for Next Season by Chris Cwik - October 4, 2012 The fantasy baseball season is officially over. Whether you won your league or stopped playing weeks ago, there’s a lot to take away from the past season. While wounds are still fresh for some of you, it’s always important to reflect on your fantasy team. Knowing where you went wrong, or what went right can help you formulate a winning strategy in future seasons. As you look back on your team, here are a few things to keep in mind for next season. 趁著傷口還新鮮, 趕快搞清楚做錯了什麼. 這可以幫你你擬定下一季的贏球策略 This one seems obvious, but it’s actually pretty tough to follow. Every year, there are a couple of mid or late round picks that get off to poor starts and are dropped just weeks after the draft. Immediately after they are cut, it seems, these players go on a tear and wind up as some of the more valuable fantasy players. Last season, it was Michael Morse. And this season, a solid case can be made for Paul Goldschmidt. By season’s end, the original owner of those players is kicking themselves for letting them go. 第一, 要對你的選秀有信心這似乎很明顯, 但還蠻難實踐的. 一些中後段的選秀常常因為開季爆胎沒幾週就被丟, 然後過不了多久就開始爆走. 上季是 morse, 這季是Goldschmidt.從此撿不回來的玩家只能感嘆何必當初啊 That doesn’t have to happen. Assuming that you’ve done your research, and put together a solid list of sleepers, you need to stay confident in your guys. If you believed in their talents enough to invest a draft pick in them, you shouldn’t be willing to cut bait with a guy after only a few weeks. Hell, sometimes it takes a month for a guy to get going. Now, obviously, injuries are a part of fantasy sports, and they could force you to give up on a guy too early. But if you can help it, try and stick with your guys for a month at the very least. 如果你事前已經做足了功課, 你應該對你選的傢伙們有信心. 有時候是需要一個月才能起飛的. 就算有些傷病, 至少也嘗試持有一個月吧 Mike Trout and Bryce Harper are the exception, not the rule. There’s usually a ton of risk involved with drafting rookie or top prospects in fantasy leagues. But with the success of Trout and Harper, there’s a chance that owners will be far more confident in selecting the next crop of rookies much earlier than usual. That means guys like Dylan Bundy, Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are likely to cost quite a bit next season. While Bundy, Machado and Profar are highly regarded prospects, it’s pretty rare for those guys to come up and perform as well as Trout or Harper. In most leagues, Trout had an outside chance at being the most valuable player, and he missed the first month of the season. That’s just not likely to happen again. 第二, Trout 和 Harper 是特例因為這季選到他們的實在太賺了, 下一季可能可能有人對新秀信心大增而太早選. 這表示 Dylan Bundy, Manny Machado, Jurickson Profar 可能很難偷. 但他們實在很難複製 Trout 或 Harper 的成績, 畢竟 Trout還可能是MVP Now, there are some rookies that are able to come up and play well immediately, but even the best prospects are far from a sure thing. It look Jay Bruce and Phil Hughes years before they finally reached fantasy relevance. Owners that invested in Jeremy Hermida are still waiting for a breakout. On the other hand, Jason Heyward and Buster Posey immediately produced. While there’s some upside in young guys, there’s also a fair amount of risk. Harper and Trout succeeded because they were considered two of the best prospects of all time. Same with Stephen Strasburg. Bundy, Machado and Profar are going to top a lot of prospect lists this summer, but all three of them carry more risk than Trout or Harper. That’s not to say they aren’t worth a decent draft pick, but don’t go overboard because rookies looked good this year. Jay Bruce和 Phil Hughes花了幾年的時間才成材. Jeremy Hermida ? 莫再提 Jason Heyward, Buster Posey是馬上有實績的. Harper 和 Trout之所以成功是因為他們本來就是史上最佳新秀, 天才小史也是. 其他人就沒那麼好了.下季千萬別對新秀一頭熱. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.248.12.186

推

samuel01

10/06 02:22, , 1^F

10/06 02:22, 1^F

→

samuel01

10/06 02:23, , 2^F

10/06 02:23, 2^F

推

xavior1102

10/06 09:28, , 3^F

10/06 09:28, 3^F