[偷] Interesting Marvin Williams read Sam …
Interesting Marvin Williams read Sam Bowie???
By SmooveTheFuture
Posted on: 02/03/06 01:29 AM
I still would have picked Chris Paul all day long but whats
done is done. This guy is gonna be better then Isiah Thomas
should be an allstar this year.
So good has Chris Paul become through his first 45 games,
that there is a growing perception that the three players
selected ahead of him are already in danger of joining Sam
Bowie in a category no player wants any part of.
First of all, Sam Bowie wasn’t a horrible player. In his
rookie season, he averaged 10 points and 8.6 rebounds per
game in 76 appearances. He appeared in fewer games over
the next three seasons combined (63) and it was then that
the Blazers decided to cut their losses and deal him to
the Nets (along with the 12th pick that became Mookie
‘Pearl Jam’ Blaylock) for Buck Williams.
Bowie had the most productive season of his career during
that first year on a dreadful Nets team that went 17-65.
He averaged 14.7 points and 10.1 rebounds per game that
season while his former club lost to the Pistons in the
Finals. The next two seasons were also productive as he
averaged 12.9 and 7.7 and then 15 and 8.1.
The mistake of drafting Bowie has been artificially
magnified by Michael Jordan’s once-a-generation career.
Drexler, of course, was there already, so it might have
been a mistake for the Blazers, who clearly had prioritized
the need for a big man, not to select Sam Perkins, Charles
Barkley or Kevin Willis, more than the Jordan pass that
they are chastised for.
Darko Milicic, another 2nd overall pick, has a long ways
to go to even sniff Sam Bowie’s league. Carmelo Anthony,
Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade are all on their way to having
franchise-player careers, but like that Blazers team that
went to the Finals twice, the mistake the Pistons made has
been far from monumental, as they have already won one
championship and are on their way to their third straight
Finals appearance. Many have even argued that the presence
of a star caliber player like Anthony would have disrupt
the development of TayShaun Prince, who at small forward,
is the axis of the Pistons dominant starting-five.
The question though is this, how big was the mistake not
to select Chris Paul? Three teams passed on the Wake Forest
point guard in favor of Andrew Bogut, Marvin Williams and
Deron Williams.
The Bucks were optimistically counting on T.J. Ford returning
and he has, so they are withdrawn from consideration.
Utah’s biggest need was at point guard and they traded up
to the third spot and selected one, except not Paul. Deron
Williams came out of the gate very strong, averaging 13.6
points per game in November. Like many young point guards
that have played for Jerry Sloan in the post-Stockton era
(ask Carlos Arroyo and Raul Lopez their opinion of Sloan),
Williams has fallen out of favor and has seen his minutes
drop and now averages almost 10 mpg less than Paul, though
in actuality it has been closer to 15 minutes less per game
since the New Year.
For a rookie, comparing life with Byron Scott to life with
Jerry Sloan, is like comparing life with Sadie Frost to life
with Sienna Miller. One will let you do unequivocally do
what you want, while the other is fierce, frustrating and
unpredictable. The difference is so striking that if the
two point guards were flipped, like Nick Coppola and Vincent
Vega in ‘Face/Off,’ Deron Williams' play would look a lot
like Paul’s if he were in O. City and vice versa.
The jury will remain out on these two until Williams gets
the consistent minutes his play warrants. The Jazz are
better with Williams on the floor than not, as their only
+20 or more five-man units (see 82games.com) both contain
the rookie. Meanwhile, Paul’s net +/- is -5.3, but I’m
not exactly sure what’s going on with the +- stats in New
Orleans/Oklahoma City as David West’s is -8.4. From what
I’ve seen, West and Paul are having unbelievable seasons
and are spearheading the Hornets' surprising year more
than anyone else.
But like 1984 and 2003, it all goes back to that second
pick. With Bowie and Darko in that second pick lexicon
are Wayman Tisdale, Len Bias, Shawn Bradley and Jay
Williams, and there have been rumblings already that
Marvin Williams could join that group, instead of second
pick successes like Gary Payton, Alonzo Mourning, Jason
Kidd and Steve Francis.
I hope that this is because of the talent Paul has shown,
combined with the Hawks glaring need for a point guard
and their wealth of similar players to Williams, than it
is their assessment of the former Tar Heel, because that
short sightedness is unfair and flat out inacurrate.
I was at the Final Four in April and saw Williams score
8 points and grab 5 boards in the national final against
Deron Williams’ Illini and the strides that he has made
from then to the times I’ve seen him this year are
profound. The strides that he has even made since November
have given the Hawks a silent optimism while they endure
the ‘Why didn’t you draft Paul?’ backlash.
His shooting percentage has improved each month (37% in
November, 44% in December and 49% in January), all the
while coach Mike Woodson has kept his minutes consistently
around 22 a night. When you adjust his numbers to per 40
minutes, he comes in at 12 and 8.
Marvin’s chosen position remains undefined, though he is
clearly a small forward at present, but when Al Harrington
is dealt this month, his time at power forward will increase.
The Hawks drafted Williams because he has the potential to
develop one of the NBA’s best inside/outside games the sport
has seen. The mechanics of his shot are as good as most
shooting guards and because of this, he can become Rasheed
Wallace without the Jail Blazer wrap, he can become Dirk
Nowitzki with more explosiveness and he can become Tim Thomas
without the apathy. All three of these players are small
forward/power forward tweeners and they are so good, Thomas
excluded of course, because they create match-up problems for
even the best defensive clubs.
In a recent article, I suggested that Rasheed Wallace is the
purest shooter at the power forward position that the game
has ever seen. In that article, I asked readers to suggest
an alternative if they disagreed. I received about a dozen
or so emails and all of them said ‘Dirk.’ He can play power
forward, but I still think his game is that of a small forward,
much the same as Joe Johnson, Williams’ Atlanta teammate, a
combo guard who remains more comfortable at the two. As Dirk
ages and slows down, he’ll go to the block more and begin the
second phase of his career and at that point, I’ll reconsider.
But back to Williams versus Paul, if I was named general manager
of the Hawks and could go back to late June of 2005, I would
take Chris Paul. I’d select the point guard because the Hawks
need a point guard, a selection for need at a position that
is the toughest to fill outside of center. It would be a
reluctant selection though, because it wouldn’t be who I
believe is the B.P.A. and it is when teams draft for need
(re: Sam Bowie), where the results are most mixed.
The results will not be mixed for Chris Paul, but nor will
they be for Marvin Williams, as he is developing the NBA's
next great inside/outside game.
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