[分享] 6 Bobcats scenarios to watch for in today's draft
http://www.charlotte.com/sports/story/684827.html
The word of the day is “contingencies.”
In a draft where there's negligible difference between the third- and
10th-best player, it's impossible for the Charlotte Bobcats to reliably
predict who will be available at No.9 tonight. So to some extent, they've
stopped trying.
They're exploring the chance to trade up, but short of that, they're
preparing for contingencies. So with that in mind, let's explore six ways
tonight could play out with the ninth pick.
If the Bobcats select UCLA guard
Russell Westbrook …
THE POTENTIAL BENEFIT: They need another point guard to, at minimum, back up
Raymond Felton. (Remember: Felton is the only point guard under contract for
the Bobcats.) While Westbrook isn't a pure point guard, he's a fine perimeter
defender. The NBA has cracked down on hand-checking along the perimeter, so
having a player with the feet to cut off penetration is crucial. New Bobcats
coach Larry Brown will demand defense, and Westbrook has the tools to deliver.
THE RUB: If you're looking for instant gratification, Westbrook isn't your
guy. By Brown's description, the Bobcats would be drafting Westbrook for the
future. He's not an experienced point guard, so patience would be crucial.
THE BOTTOM LINE: It's doubtful Westbrook will be available at No.9, but he
makes sense if he's there. Bobcats managing partner Michael Jordan wants to
address a need with this pick. A point guard who plays defense does that.
If the Bobcats select Arizona guard
Jerryd Bayless …
THE POTENTIAL BENEFIT: It's probably a long shot that Bayless would be there,
but they'd get a dynamic scoring point guard. He'd sure prop up the scoring
with the second unit, and the attention he'd draw defensively might open
shots for Matt Carroll in the corner.
THE RUB: Is this guy just a little too much like what they already have in
Felton? They're both guys who score at least as much as they create for
others, yet need to be primarily point guards to be effective at their size.
THE BOTTOM LINE: If Bayless is there, the talent is probably too apparent to
pass on him. However, he has a big ego and would complicate the minute
distribution in the backcourt.
If they select Stanford center
Brook Lopez …
THE POTENTIAL BENEFITS: What's not to like about drafting a low-post scorer
with true center size? An NBA team turning its back on a center is something
like an NFL team turning its back on drafting a left tackle – you never know
when you'll get another chance to acquire one.
THE RUB: Lopez would not be a particularly good complement to Emeka Okafor,
who is already a core piece of this team. Neither Lopez nor Okafor is a
particularly fluid athlete. One of them would have to guard the power
forward, a position increasingly populated by sleek jump-shooters.
THE BOTTOM LINE: If he's there, the Bobcats have to seriously consider
drafting him because his value is too obvious to a team drafting ninth.
If they select Texas point guard
D.J. Augustin …
THE POTENTIAL BENEFITS: The prototypical Larry Brown point guard does
precisely as instructed, doesn't count his shots and measures success in
victories, not all-rookie teams. In basketball IQ and attitude, Augustin
already fits what Brown sometimes has to will his point guard into becoming.
THE RUB: He's a little guy and that's not going to change. Teams will be able
to throw the ball over Augustin's outstretched arms, and you have to question
how his body will stand up to the pounding of an NBA season.
THE BOTTOM LINE: One way or another, the Bobcats have to add another point
guard for the start of next season. Augustin is different from Felton; but
it's yet to be determined whether he's better. Some scouts wonder if Augustin
will end up a career backup at the NBA level.
If they select LSU forward
Anthony Randolph …
THE POTENTIAL BENEFITS: If everything goes just so, Randolph could end up a
combo forward, with the quickness and skill to dribble past the big guys and
the length to go over the smaller guys. The comparison to Chris Bosh is a
reach, but the guy is graceful and coordinated for his height the way Bosh
always was.
THE RUB: He's not close to being physically developed by NBA standards. He'll
get pushed around something terrible as a rookie and one scout said it could
be two seasons or more before he's ready to contribute in an NBA rotation.
That's a long time horizon for a top-10 pick.
THE BOTTOM LINE: His lacking strength means he'd have to play small forward
more than power forward in the foreseeable future. That means Randolph would
join a crowd of small forwards (Gerald Wallace, Jared Dudley and Jason
Richardson part-time.)
If they select Indiana guard
Eric Gordon …
THE POTENTIAL BENEFITS: There's little doubt they'd be adding a player good
enough to be in an NBA rotation. He averaged nearly 21 points against Big Ten
competition in his only college season. He has size and the kind of big,
sturdy frame that can stand up to NBA pounding.
THE RUB: Managing partner Michael Jordan would really like to address a need
with the ninth pick and it's hard to view shooting guard as a need on a team
short on point guards and big men. Richardson ended the season as this team's
best player and the Bobcats made a large financial commitment to Carroll at
the same position.
THE BOTTOM LINE: It's probably unlikely Gordon will still be available when
the Bobcats pick ninth. It would complicate things if he is still around,
because he'd add to one of the few positions where they're loaded with talent.
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