[情報] Indians Top 20 Prospects for 2012
1) Francisco Lindor, SS, Grade B+: A strong defensive shortstop who can hit,
at least for average. Not expected to have big power, but not punchless
either. He should be a force at the top of the order while providing a slick
glove, and probably won't need as much time in the minors as many high
schoolers.
2) Dillon Howard, RHP, Grade B-: Borderline B. No pro innings yet, but has
body and stuff of a number two starter. Grade is cautious given lack of pro
data. Could be much higher next year.
3) Tony Wolters, SS, Grade B-: Borderline B. Solid contact hitter had fine
summer in the New York-Penn League, controls zone well, gets on base,
effective runner, Indians say he has a chance to stick at shortstop, although
with Lindor around a switch to second is very likely. That would be a nice
double play combo.
4) Jake Sisco, RHP, Grade C+: Junior college pitcher drafted in the third
round last year, throws hard, projectable, flashes a complete arsenal but not
consistent yet. High ceiling with a chance to be special.
5) Luigi Rodriguez, OF, Grade C+: Tool-laden outfielder with power/speed
potential, played well in Arizona Rookie League. High-ceiling, grade could be
much higher next year with another season under his belt.
5) Ronny Rodriguez, SS, Grade C+: Another tools guy, has plate discipline
problems but hit 11 homers and stole 10 bases in the Midwest League in his
pro debut, skipping short-season ball completely. 19 years old, from
Dominican Republic, raw but has tools to stick at short. Another guy who
could earn much higher grades as he develops.
6) Nick Hagadone, LHP, Grade C+: Power arm from left side has taken well to
bullpen work, held lefties to .127 average in Triple-A. At worst a strong
LOOGY, but could get beyond that. Should help in 2012.
7) Elvis Araujo, LHP, Grade C+: Big lefty is Tommy John survivor, looked very
good in Arizona Rookie League, throws hard but secondary pitches and command
need work. High ceiling.
8) Felix Sterling, RHP, Grade C+: Another raw-but-talented pitcher, throws
hard, thick legs, durable build. Command needs work, like Araujo he could
rank higher with a full season of additional development.
9) Scott Barnes, LHP, Grade C+: On verge of promotion to the majors when he
hurt his knee in July. Decent stuff from the left side, deceptive, command is
somewhat erratic but when it is working he looks like a solid number four
starter. I have liked him since he was in college at St. John's.
10) Cord Phelps, 2B, Grade C+: Shoved aside by Jason Kipnis and didn't hit in
major league trial, but deserves more chances. Fits "scrappy second baseman"
stereotype but has more pop in his bat than most. Probably a utility player
in Cleveland, or trade bait. Worse players have been regulars.
11) LeVon Washington, OF, Grade C+: Had a terrible year at Lake County, but
gets a partial mulligan due to nagging injuries and trying to make
adjustments in batting stance. Still young, draws some walks, still has the
tools that made him an early pick in both '09 and '10 drafts.
12) Chen Lee, RHP, Grade C+: I like this guy and I don't know why he doesn't
get more attention. His numbers are always strong, he throws reasonably hard,
he's deceptive, he's got some control. Seems like he'll be a fine bullpen
asset.
13) Chun Chen, C, Grade C+: Good throwing arm, has power, strike zone got
away from him a bit in Double-A but still an intriguing property as a catcher
with some sock in his bat.
14) Austin Adams, RHP, Grade C+: Live arm, decent year in Double-A but needs
sharper control. Played shortstop in college and is athletic. Could be fourth
starter or a solid reliever.
15) Jake Lowery, C, Grade C+: Excellent plate discipline with power
potential, working on defense, probably won't hit for much of a batting
average at higher levels but should be productive.
16) Matt Packer, LHP, Grade C+: Control artist gets plenty of grounders,
posts strong K/BB ratios but hittable and needs a good defense behind him.
Could be four/five starter with proper support.
17) Enosil Tejeda, RHP, Grade C+: Very good stuff, overpowering K/IP ratio in
New York-Penn League, could move through system rapidly as relief option.
18) Jorge Martinez, SS, Grade C+: 18-year-old switch-hitter impressed scouts
with tools in rookie ball, but quite raw on defense and faces positional
switch. Just scratching the surface of his power potential.
High-risk/high-reward type.
19) Robel Garcia, 3B; Grade C+: Another intriguing bat from Cleveland's
collection of Latin American players in the Arizona Rookie League.
Switch-hitter with power and contact issues.
20) Giovanni Soto, LHP, Grade C+: Not overpowering with the velocity but
still gets his strikeouts, performed well in Carolina League at age 20,
strong component ratios. Plausable he could develop into a mid-rotation
starter.
21) Jesus Aguilar, 1B, Grade C+: Borderline C. He can mash the ball, plate
discipline and defense are big questions.
OTHERS: Cody Allen, RHP; Cody Anderson, RHP; Rob Bryson, RHP; Kelvin De La
Cruz, LHP; Juan Diaz, SS; Paulo Espino, RHP (a sleeper); Eric Haase, C; T.J.
House, LHP; Corey Kluber, RHP; Jason Knapp, RHP; Alex Lavisky, C: Zach
McAllister, RHP; Shawn Morimando, LHP; Bryson Myles, OF; Thomas Neal, OF;
Dorssys Paulino, SS (latest Latin American bonus baby, high-ceiling player
but hasn't even played in DSL yet); Zach Putnam, RHP; Danny Salazar, RHP;
Bryce Stowell, RHP; Tyler Sturdevant, RHP.
This is a very difficult system to analyze.
The top of the organization was lopped off by trades and major league
graduations, and the next wave is primarily at the lower levels. Quite
honestly, spots 5 through 21 could be listed in almost any order, depending
on how you value pure upside, risk, and closeness to the majors. I tried to
find a balance with the list, but every analyst and writer is going to have a
different take on this system once you get past the first four or five slots.
A list based purely on scouting and upside potential is going to look very
different than a purely sabermetric list. Since I combine the two approaches,
the uncertainty factor is quite high right now.
Indians fans may be discouraged by the large number of C+ grades, but they
shouldn't be. While some of those C+s are future role players or relievers,
the younger members of the group are high-ceiling guys who are just too raw
or far away to get a higher grade just yet, but who could blossom within the
next year or two. I'm thinking particularly of Araujo, Sterling, and the
group of hitters who were backing them up in the Arizona Rookie League. The
2013 and 2014 lists could see a lot of those guys bumped up into the B-range
(or maybe even higher) if they develop properly.
The "others" group has some very interesting names as well, beginning with
Dorssys Paulino who could turn into a star, or nothing, or anything in
between. McAllister, Neal, Espino, Putnam, Stovall, and Sturdevant could all
contribute in the majors in 2012. Bryson Myles was an on-base machine with
speed in college and the New York-Penn League.
In short, I like this farm system. It is going to be a lot of fun to see what
happens in 2012, especially at Lake County and Mahoning Valley.
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/1/4/2681058/cleveland-indians-top-20-prospects-for-2012
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