Evans像誰?
http://www.hoopsanalyst.com/0809ew9.htm
1. Tyreke Evans, Memphis: I decided SG will be his ultimate place, rather
than point or combo. I know Memphis moved him to the point in late December
and the team took off after that move. But there were other factors fueling
that streak. Most important is the lineup change was part of a major lineup
shuffle that eventually saw Doneal Mack and Shawn Taggart replacing Wesley
Witherspoon and Pierre Henderson-Niles in the starting lineup. In short, when
Evans was playing PG it was with stronger teammates than when he was playing
SG. The second reason is Memphis’ non-conference schedule featured more
strong teams than their conference schedule. There were still some patsies,
but the 3 early losses came to Xavier, Georgetown and Syracuse, all superior
teams than anything they’d face in Conference USA. So the idea that Evans
blossomed when he moved to the point isn’t exactly correct. The team was
already winning the games they should win and losing games they could be
expected to lose. This was a team that lost a lot of talent to the NBA over
the summer and they spent the first couple of months of the season
transitioning to a new lineup. Once they found the right mix the team took
off, but Evans was pretty much the same player in March that he was in
December:
Tyreke Evans 2 pt pct 3 pt pct P40 A40 A/TO RSB40
Nov-Dec .519 .277 26.1 6.3 1.1 12.4
Jan-Mar .512 .273 21.8 4.8 1.1 9.9
He was actually a little better during the early months, which is probably a
case of a player fattening up stats against weaker competition, something
every major college player does.
The reason I like Evans so much as a prospect is his high RSB40 number. He
finished at 11.0 which led all major college guards in this draft. It’s a
stat that might indicate the dominant athleticism needed to excel at the next
level. Here are other major college freshmen SGs who also surpassed 10.0 RSB40:
Player 2 pt pct 3 pt pct P40 A/TO RSB40
Dwayne Wade .505 .346 24.4 1.2 13.9
Ray Allen .548 .402 23.4 1.1 10.9
Jerry Stackhouse .493 .100 23.3 0.8 12.8
Eddie Jones .517 .351 17.4 1.0 10.2
Joe Johnson .496 .368 20.1 0.8 10.3
Doug Christie .600 .255 14.6 1.2 11.2
Tyreke Evans .514 .274 22.9 1.1 11.0
Wade was actually a year older at the time, having missed his freshman year.
This was his initial NCAA season though. The top 5 were all-stars at least
twice in their careers. Christie had a long, productive career. Buckner and
Richardson have been solid role players. Stith and Burrell hung around the
league until their 30s with unremarkable careers. As for the others, Clack
and Moten were listed as guards, but seem more like SFs. Clack was heavy for
a guard at 230 lbs. Seals never got his FG pct. over .400 in 4 seasons and
such players rarely make it. Blunt regressed after his freshman year. The
problem in looking at some of these prospects, is all I have are numbers and
whatever information I can find by googling. But it’s not uncommon in
college basketball for a 6’3” forward to be listed as a guard. I suspect
this is the case with Moten, Seals, Clack and Blunt. Richardson was more of a
forward in college and was only able to transition to the pros because he
developed a nice 3-point shot. These players just weren’t quick enough to
play guard at the next level and not tall enough to play SF. Evans doesn’t
have that problem. He’s definitely quick enough for the guard spot, so I see
his career going much more like that of the top 6 than anything.
It would be a very good thing for his career if he could get that 3-pointer
to fall more often. I think he probably can. He was hovering around .300,
when a 4-30 slump to finish the season knocked him down to .274. There’s
have been no shortage of NBA guards who shot less than .300 from behind the
arc as college freshmen, but went on to become at least adequate long range
shooters including, but not limited to: TJ Ford, Jason Kidd, Keyon Dooling,
Derek Fisher, Mo Williams, Greg Buckner, Fred Hoiberg, Derek Anderson, Doug
Christie, Allen Iverson, Gilbert Arenas, Jerry Stackhouse, Larry Hughes and
Jason Richardson.
One more thing I wanted to add on Evans is how impressive it was how well
Memphis played this year with him as the star. This was a team that lost the
best player in the nation in Rose, their leading scorer in Douglas-Roberts
and their best inside player in Dorsey. Evans was the only major addition,
yet he had this team very close to gaining a top seed by the time the season
was finished. That they were upset by a very good #3 seed in Missouri in the
tournament is no shame at all. Tyreke Evans looks like a very good prospect
to me. He has good size and dominant athleticism. He moved comfortably into
the role of star on a good team and led them to a terrific season. He shows
all the characteristics of a future all-star SG.
Most similar players to Tyreke Evans:
Doug Christie, sophomore: .939
Donny Boyce, sophomore .898
Vonteego Cummings, sophomore: .886
Shandon Anderson, sophomore .877
David Vanterpool, sophomore: .869
Boyce was a very good all-around player who could never get his shooting
efficiency to where it needed to be. Improving this area of his game will be
a key for Evans. Not an impressive group in general, but both Grant Hill and
Dwayne Wade were close at .845.
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