[外電] 30Q：上罰球線的表現能好一點嗎？

看板Kings (沙加緬度國王)作者kingpredrag (I love Man Utd!!!!!!!!!)時間15年前 (2010/09/15 20:35)推噓2(2推 0噓 1→)

留言3則, 2人參與討論串1/1

30Q: Can the Kings Do Better at the Line? 30問：上罰球線的表現能好一點嗎？ http://0rz.tw/sQsO5 We're asking 30 questions about the Kings' 2010-11 season. Why was the Kings' 2009-10 offense mired in the bottom third of the league? The Kings were excellent on the offensive glass, and while the team may improve due to the selection of DeMarcus Cousins and the replacement of Spencer Hawes with Samuel Dalembert, that's practically gravy. The Kings shot an effective field goal percentage of .491, just a shade off the league average of .501. The Kings averaged 84 FGAs per game. Had they shot league average from the floor, they would have scored 1.5 points more per game. The Kings were 19th in the league in turnover rate, with a giveway on 13.6 percent of possessions. League average was 13.3 percent. If the Kings cut their turnover rate to league average, they would gain a possession for every fourth game. That would mean the addition of roughly one points per week. Where's the real big glaring problem? At the line. 又到了30問的時間。為甚麼2009-10賽季國王的進攻排在全聯盟倒數第三？球隊的進攻籃板表現出色，而且現在球隊選了表弟，又用阿屁換來 Sammy，真的是跟撿到一百塊一樣爽。球隊的投射算有效率，投籃命中率達.491，只略低於聯盟平均.501，球隊平均每場比賽有84次出手機會，如果球隊的出手機會能達到聯盟平均數，球隊平均得分還能再增加1.5分。球隊失誤率則排在全聯盟第19位，每次持球時有13.6%的機率把球權送給對手，聯盟平均為13.3%，如果能把失誤壓低到聯盟平均，每四場比賽球隊就能多一次進攻機會，這意味著每週我們大約能多得一分。那球隊最大的漏洞在哪裡？罰球。 The Kings averaged .207 made free throws for every field attempted. The league average was .228 FTM/FGA, and the league-leading Nuggets were all the way up at .290. How much did that mediocrity hurt the Kings on a game-to-game basis? The average team earned two free throw attempts for every six field goal attempts, and made about 76 percent of those free throws. In an 84-FGA game, that equates to a bit more than 19 points a game from the stripe. The Kings earned two FTAs for every seven FGAs, and made less than 73 percent of those free throws. In an 84-FGA game, that equates to about 17 points a game from the stripe. 每次國王球員出手有.207的機會能站上罰球線，聯盟平均為.228 FTM/FGA，排在首位的金塊為.290，來看看這之間的差距。成績為聯盟平均數的隊伍每六次出手機會就能賺到兩罰，然後約有 76%的機會拿下兩分，在一場84次出手機會的比賽中，約能在罰球線上多拿19分左右。國王每七次出手才能製造兩罰，而球隊的罰球命中率又低於73%，一場出手84次的比賽，國王只能在罰球線上得到約17分的分數。 That's a pretty big problem, bigger than the team's field goal shooting problem on a gross scale, even though shots from the floor are so much more common than shots from the line. Think about that: improving the team's foul-drawing and foul-shooting would have a larger impact on the team's performance than improving the team's shooting from the floor. That's pretty amazing. (And there happens to be four teams worse in free throw rate.) What's the bigger problem, drawing the fouls or shooting the free throws? Raising the draw rate to league average but maintaining the team's 2009-10 free throw percentage would add an average of about 1 point per game for the team. Raising the team's free throw percentage to league while maintaining its draw rate would add an average of about 1 point per game for the team. So they are about even. 這個問題很嚴重，雖然在球場上的出手機會通常都比罰球機會還多，但這個問題比球隊投籃命中率低迷的問題還嚴重。思考一下這件事：加強球隊製造犯規的能力和罰球命中率的效果會比加強球隊投籃命中率的效果來的大。﹝只有四隊的罰球命中率比我們爛﹞ 但哪一件事又比較緊要？吸引犯規的能力？還是罰球命中率？把球隊的製造犯規率提升至聯盟平均值，但罰球命中率維持原狀，每場比賽我們平均能多得一分。把球隊的罰球命中率提升至聯盟平均值，但製造犯規率維持原狀，每場比賽我們平均能多得一分。兩者結果近乎相同。 Now is it feasible? Cousins taking Hawes' minutes is a wonderful step in the right direction for draw rate. Another year of experience for Tyreke Evans should help as well. Carl Landry's aggressiveness, as well as the same attribute applied to Omri Casspi and Donte Greene, matter a good deal for the draw rate problem. Converting the foul shots at a higher rate relies on some combination of the team's average foul shooters (Evans, Landry) doing better, and Cousins improving greatly on his college performance. 所以重點是？表弟取代阿屁的上場時間，這項改變無疑能提升球隊製造犯規的能力，累積一年經驗的REKE無疑也會有同樣效果，藍錐的侵略性，還有綠卡雙寶都能在製造犯規上有不錯的表現。整體來說提高球隊製造犯規的能力我們能冀望REKE和藍錐的表現以及表弟的進步。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.167.176.241 ※ 編輯: kingpredrag 來自: 118.167.176.241 (09/15 20:37)