[綜合] CHAD FORD MOCK 2.0
1 Nerlens Noel Orlando Magic (25 percent chance to win lottery)
COLLEGE: Kentucky AGE: 18HT: 6-11WT: 215 POS: C
Analysis: I'm not sure there will be a Disney World parade down the streets
of Orlando if the Magic win the No. 1 pick. According to sources, Orlando had
its heart set on Oklahoma State's Marcus Smart until he broke its heart when
he decided to stay in college. While the Magic need just about everything,
point guard might be their biggest area of need. So, does Orlando roll the
dice on Trey Burke or do they go after Noel, who gives the Magic something
else they desperately need (shot blocking)? The Magic were tied for 24th in
the league in blocked shots and could use an athlete in the paint next to
Nikola Vucevic. While there will be a solid argument for Burke here,
high-ceiling players like Noel are hard to come by.
2 Ben McLemore Charlotte Bobcats (19.9)
COLLEGE: Kansas AGE: 20HT: 6-5WT: 195 POS: SG
Analysis: The Bobcats need everything. With the POSsible exception of 2012's
No. 2 pick, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, the team requires upgrades everywhere.
McLemore makes a lot of sense here. The Bobcats ranked 27th in the league in
3-point shooting percent AGE last season, and McLemore has a beautiful
stroke. Anthony Bennett and Alex Len are other POSsibilities, though their
recent injuries cast doubt on whether teams would take them this high.
3 Otto Porter Cleveland Cavaliers (15.6)
COLLEGE: Georgetown AGE: 19HT: 6-8WT: 200 POS: SF
Analysis: Porter is the perfect fit for Cleveland, and according to sources
he is the No. 2-ranked player on the Cavs' board right now. With two dynamic
scorers in their backcourt and good size up front, they need a wing like
Porter who can excel without having the offense run through him.
4 Victor Oladipo Phoenix Suns (11.9)
COLLEGE: Indiana AGE: 20HT: 6-5WT: 214 POS: SG
Analysis: Though the Suns just hired Ryan McDonough as the new general man
AGEr, the team still has many basketball needs. Right now its biggest problem
seems to be character and drive. The Suns are a leaderless group that
desperately needs toughness and energy. While Oladipo is far from a polished
product, his lockdown defense, elite athletic abilities and super-high motor
seem like the perfect antidote to the malaise in which Phoenix found itself
this season. C.J. McCollum could be another POSsible pick at No. 4. He would
give the Suns the pure scorer it lacked all season.
5 Trey Burke New Orleans Pelicans (8.8)
COLLEGE: Michigan AGE: 20HT: 6-1WT: 175 POS: PG
Analysis: Burke certainly will get a look as the potential No. 1 pick if the
Magic draft there. The other team that seems to fit Burke are the Pelicans.
Yes, Greivis Vasquez is coming off a breakout season, but Burke is a totally
different player and could complement Vazquez coming off the bench early on.
The Pelicans' other big need is at small forward. Shabazz Muhammad could get
a look here. So could Croatia's Dario Saric. Sources say that the Pelicans
are one of the two or three strongest suitors for Saric at the moment.
6 Anthony Bennett Sacramento Kings (6.3)
COLLEGE: UNLV AGE: 20HT: 6-8WT: 240 POS: PF
Analysis: The team is in flux right now as the NBA works out who is going to
own the team and where it will be located. So any real inside information is
pretty hard to come by. The team's biggest need probably is at small forward.
However, adding a shoot-first player like Muhammad seems like a disaster
waiting to happen, as much of the Kings' roster is populated by similar
players.
Enter Bennett. While he also has a tendency to let it fly, there's an upside
there that Muhammad lacks. Tuesday's news that Bennett will have rotator cuff
surgery, which could keep him out up to four months, might give the Kings
second thoughts about drafting him this high. But overall, I think Bennett's
the best talent at this point in the draft.
7 Shabazz Muhammad Detroit Pistons (3.6)
COLLEGE: UCLA AGE: 20HT: 6-6WT: 225 POS: SF
Analysis: The Pistons have had a bit of luck the past few years in the
lottery. Every year a player who is ranked very high at the start of the
season seems to slide to them later in the draft and somehow fits a perfect
need. First it was Greg Monroe in 2010. Brandon Knight slid in 2011. Last
year it was Andre Drummond. At times, all three were ranked in the top five
with Monroe and Drummond going as high as No. 2. Could it happen again this
year with Muhammad? The Pistons clearly have a need for a shooter, and before
the season began, many scouts had Muhammad as a top-three pick. He didn't
look like one at UCLA, but draft prospects rarely shine in Ben Howland's
system.
8 Alex Len Washington Wizards (3.4)
COLLEGE: Maryland AGE: 19HT: 7-1WT: 225 POS: C
Analysis: Before last week's news that Len was undergoing surgery and would
miss the NBA draft workouts, the combine and summer league, it seemed
improbable that the 7-foot-1 big man would fall this low. Now, it appears
that he's right within Washington's range. Len could be a steal at No. 8 and
could fit a long-term need for Washington. He's one of the two or three most
skilled big men in the draft and still has enormous upside.
9 C.J. McCollum Minnesota Timberwolves (1.7)
COLLEGE: Lehigh AGE: 21HT: 6-3WT: 190 POS: PG
Analysis: McCollum is getting looks as high as No. 4 to the Suns, but if he
falls to No. 9, it will be a coup for the Wolves. The team ranked dead last
in the NBA in 3-point percent AGE, while McCollum shot a scintillating 51
percent from 3 this season. He could be a terrific backcourt mate for Ricky
Rubio -- the Stephen Curry they should have had four years ago.
10 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Portland Trail Blazers
COLLEGE: Georgia AGE: 20HT: 6-5WT: 190 POS: SG
Analysis: Right now, Caldwell-Pope is one of the fastest risers on NBA draft
boards. He is a terrific shooter and a very good athlete. While the Blazers
already have Wesley Matthews, adding Caldwell-Pope to the mix gives Portland
great depth in the backcourt.
11 Cody Zeller Philadelphia 76ers (0.8)
COLLEGE: Indiana AGE: 20HT: 6-11WT: 210 POS: C
Analysis: While there still are a few scouts clinging to the Zeller
bandwagon, it's gotten less crowded over the past few months. While there are
a few teams with which Zeller fits ahead of the Sixers' pick, this looks like
the most obvious fit. With the exception of Spencer Hawes, the Sixers just
don't have a lot of size. While I don't think Zeller is worthy of a top-five
pick anymore, he's a good value here.
12 Gorgui Dieng Oklahoma City Thunder (0.7) via Toronto Raptors
COLLEGE: Louisville AGE: 23HT: 6-11WT: 235 POS: C
Analysis: Really, Oklahoma City is set at every POSition. However, Dieng is
the one player left on the board who probably could help them now. Not only
is he physically ready for the NBA, he's a good shot-blocker, a solid
rebounder and an excellent passer out of the high POSt. With the Thunder a
little weak up front, I think Dieng could be a nice addition to their
frontcourt.
13 Dario Saric Dallas Mavericks (0.6)
COLLEGE: Croatia AGE: 19HT: 6-10WT: 223 POS: SF
Analysis: The Mavs will have a tough call here between Syracuse point guard
Michael Carter-Williams and Saric. The Mavs want a player with big upside,
and both Carter-Williams and Saric have it. But I'm hearing the Mavs, who
have historically been on the cutting edge of drafting international players,
feel Saric could be a star someday -- especially if he has a year or two of
mentoring from Dirk Nowitzki.
14 Kelly Olynyk Utah Jazz (0.5)
COLLEGE: Gonzaga AGE: 21HT: 7-0WT: 238 POS: C
Analysis: The Jazz's biggest need is at point guard, but I don't see the next
point guard on the board -- Carter-Williams -- as a fit. The Jazz need their
point guards to be able to shoot the basketball, and that's Carter-Williams'
biggest weakness. The Jazz also will have needs in the frontcourt. With Al
Jefferson most likely leaving this summer via free AGEncy, they'll need big
bodies. Olynyk was the most efficient big man in college basketball and would
add another wrinkle to a bright up-and-coming tandem of Enes Kanter and
Derrick Favors.
15 Glen Rice Jr. Milwaukee Bucks
COLLEGE: Georgia Tech AGE: 22HT: 6-5WT: 206 POS: SG
Analysis: We put Rice in our top 30 several months ago after he started
getting more minutes in the D-League and broke loose. It wasn't a fluke. Rice
led the Rio Grande Vipers to the D-League championship, scoring 25 PPG in the
finals. He's a bit of a tweener, but he has NBA athleticism, can really shoot
the basketball and is an excellent rebounder for his size. Most importantly,
in the D-League he excelled at a high level among elite college players and
former NBA rotation guys. He could help the Bucks right away next season.
16 Michael Carter-Williams Boston Celtics
COLLEGE: Syracuse AGE: 21HT: 6-5WT: 175 POS: PG
Analysis: With Rajon Rondo's future up in the air, Carter-Williams could be a
very good pick here. The Celtics already are accustomed to having a long,
athletic point guard who can't shoot. His size would allow him to share the
backcourt with Avery Bradley. Some scouts have Carter-Williams ranked as high
as No. 5 on their boards, so landing him at No. 16 would be a steal.
17 Rudy Gobert Atlanta Hawks
COLLEGE: France AGE: 20HT: 7-1WT: 220 POS: PF
Analysis: Atlanta is in rebuilding mode and can afford to swing for the
fences. Gobert's best attribute is a 7-foot-9 wingspan. He's played
adequately in the French League this year, but he's still very much a work in
progress. With most of the team heading into free AGEncy, they need depth
everywhere -- especially on the front line.
18 Jamaal Franklin Atlanta Hawks via Houston Rockets
COLLEGE: San Diego St. AGE: 21HT: 6-5WT: 195 POS: SG
Analysis: Atlanta is somewhat set in the backcourt, but I think Franklin, who
also can play some small forward, might be worth the gamble. His infectious
energy and athletic ability should give the team a real shot in the arm.
19 Steven Adams Cleveland Cavaliers via Los Angeles Lakers
COLLEGE: Pittsburgh AGE: 19HT: 7-0WT: 240 POS: C
Analysis: Cleveland still is rebuilding, so it can afford to take a gamble.
Right now, scouts feel Adams has the most upside of the young bigs left on
the board. Adams has the NBA body and toughness, but he remains incredibly
raw offensively. With Anderson Varejao as a mentor, it seems Adams could be a
good long-term fit.
20 Mason Plumlee Chicago Bulls
COLLEGE: Duke AGE: 23HT: 6-10WT: 230 POS: PF
Analysis: Plumlee had a terrific season at Duke, but he's struggling to
convince NBA teams that he could put up similar numbers in the pros. He's
big, athletic, a solid rebounder and runs the floor well. I'm not sure he
falls this far, but if he does, the Bulls certainly will snatch him up. They
could use another athletic body in their frontcourt. Sergey Karasev, a
sharpshooter from Russia, also is a real POSsibility here.
21 Shane Larkin Utah Jazz via Golden State Warriors
COLLEGE: Miami AGE: 20HT: 5-11WT: 176 POS: PG
Analysis: The Jazz still need a point guard, and among the point guards still
left on the board, Larkin could be the best fit for Utah. Yes, he's
undersized. But he's a great athlete, sees the floor well and shot more than
40 percent from 3 this season. Look for Baylor's Pierre Jackson and Germany's
Dennis Schroeder also to be in the conversation with this pick.
22 Sergey Karasev Brooklyn Nets
COUNTRY: Russia AGE: 19HT: 6-7WT: 205 POS: SF
Analysis: No, I'm not just placing Karasev here because he's Russian.
Brooklyn is playing to win now, and there aren't a lot of players on the
board who could step in and help the Nets right away. Karasev is putting up
impressive numbers in Russia, and the Nets could use another sniper from
beyond the arc.
23 Dennis Schroeder Indiana Pacers
COUNTRY: Germany AGE: 19HT: 6-2WT: 168 POS: PG
Analysis: Indiana is thrilled with George Hill's production but still hasn't
found the right fit at backup point guard. Schroeder could be a steal for the
Pacers here. He's super quick, has a 6-foot-7 wingspan and sees the floor
really well. He wowed teams at the Nike Hoop Summit, and if he doesn't fall
to the Pacers, I could see him going as high as No. 16 to the Celtics.
24 Jeff Withey New York Knicks
COLLEGE: Kansas AGE: 23HT: 7-0WT: 235 POS: C
Analysis: The Knicks have a strong front line but an aging one. Withey is one
of the best two or three shot-blockers in the draft and could immediately
help the Knicks' interior defense.
25 Pierre Jackson Los Angeles Clippers
COLLEGE: Baylor AGE: 21HT: 5-10WT: 180 POS: PG
Analysis: The Clippers can't afford to keep Eric Bledsoe, so most likely
he'll be traded this summer. The Clippers will need a cheap replacement, and
Jackson could fill that need. Clippers fans will love Jackson, an elite
athlete who plays with reckless abandon. He's got the potential to be another
Nate Robinson.
26 Giannis Adetokunbo Minnesota Timberwolves
COUNTRY: Greece AGE: 18HT: 6-9WT: 215 POS: SF
Analysis: The Timberwolves have an excellent international scouting staff,
and with one lottery pick already in the books at this point, they can afford
to take a huge gamble on Adetokunbo. Granted, he's playing against very poor
competition in the second division of the Greek League, but the physical and
basketball skills are undeniable. Minnesota can afford to wait and develop
him overseas or in the D-League for a few years before trying him out in the
NBA.
27 Allen Crabbe Denver Nuggets
COLLEGE: Cal AGE: 21HT: 6-6WT: 210 POS: SG
Analysis: Denver is one of the deeper teams in the league right now and might
opt for an international player just to save a roster spot. However, Crabbe
could be the one guy on the board who intrigues them. He's an excellent
shooter with deep range. It's an area with which the Nuggets struggled all
season and in the playoffs. Crabbe could be an inexpensive solution.
28 Alex Abrines San Antonio Spurs
COUNTRY: Spain AGE: 20HT: 6-5WT: 195 POS: SG
Analysis: Abrines actually is getting decent minutes for one of the best
teams in Europe right now. He's a scorer who can get it going from wherever.
Abrines is a major sleeper in my opinion, which is exactly the type of guy
the Spurs always seem to find.
29 Ricardo Ledo Oklahoma City Thunder
COLLEGE: Providence AGE: 20HT: 6-6WT: 180 POS: PG
Analysis: Ledo was one of the country's best high school scorers in 2011-12,
but he wasn't able to showcase his talents after being ruled academically
ineligible by the NCAA. Still, a number of GMs believe he could be a
late-first-round steal. With the Thunder going for a safe big man in Dieng at
the top of the first round, it might not hurt to roll the dice in the second
half.
30 Archie Goodwin Phoenix Suns via Miami Heat
COLLEGE: Kentucky AGE: 18HT: 6-5WT: 195 POS: PG
Analysis: This is a pure talent grab by the Suns. Goodwin has elite speed
and quickness. But his wild shot selection and poor outside shooting
contributed to Kentucky's woes this season. The Suns, however,
can afford to be patient with him and wait to see if he develops.
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