[外電] Of Free Throws & Turnovers

看板Kings (沙加緬度國王)作者eliczone (C'est la vie)時間15年前 (2010/06/13 23:52)推噓13(14推 1噓 11→)

留言26則, 12人參與討論串1/1

http://0rz.tw/aggrc Jason Thompson was on the radio last week, stating that Paul Westphal has mentioned that if the team had just cut turnovers down by a couple per game and made an additional free throw or two, they would have won several more games. That got me thinking (or at least as close as I ever get to thinking). Could it be that simple (now simple is something that I do know about)? 小湯上禮拜上廣播節目，說到西佛提到如果球隊每場比賽能夠減少幾個失誤和多罰進幾球，球隊能夠贏很多比賽。那讓我想到真的有這麼簡單嗎？ The Kings ranked (literally) 28th in free throw percentage last year, and they probably would have finished dead last had Kevin Martin not suited up for a run of games. Their 72.6% rate was a bit behind the 76% league average, and a mile away from #1 Dallas (81.6%). 國王去年在罰球命中率排第28，而如果沒有KM的大力支持，可能會排最後一名。只有72.6% 低於聯盟平均的76%，差第1名的小牛一大截(81.6%)(幹....爛透了) The Kings also rated out as tied for 23rd in the league in turnovers, at 15 per game. The league average was about 14.3, and the leaders were Atlanta at 12.0. The Kings also finished tied for 27th in differential, giving up 1.3 more turnovers than they secured. The average (of course) is zero, with Golden State leading the way, securing an amazing 2.9 more turnovers a game than they yielded. 國王在失誤方面排第23名，每場有15次。聯盟平均大約14.3，第一名是老鷹的12次。國王也在失誤差排第27名，平均多出1.3次失誤。平均當然是0，勇士是第一名，平均讓對方多2.9次失誤。(都自己幹啊，失誤當然少XDDDDDD) I went back over last year’s schedule, focusing on the games that the Kings lost by less than 10 points. My formula, like me, was very simple – back the Kings down to 14 turnovers and increase their FT% to 76% in these games (the league averages), and see if any of them flip from losses to wins. I figure every turnover is worth roughly one point (two turnovers cost you two possessions and you would have converted on one of them…very, very, very simplistic). 看看去年的行程，焦點放在國王輸少於10分的比賽。我的算法很簡單，讓國王在這些比賽失誤低到只有14次，罰球命中率提高到76%，看他們能不能轉輸為贏。我約略算這些失誤等於一分。 11/20 @ Dallas, 102-104 The Kings turned the ball over 21 times and shot 10-14 from the free throw line. Give the Kings 7 points for the reduction in turnovers and another point from the line and the pull out the win by a score of 110-104. 11/20在達拉斯，102-104。國王失誤21次，罰14球中10。國王因失誤得分少7分，再加上罰球的分數會讓他們110-104贏球。 12/8 @ New Orleans, 94-96 The Kings shoot 9-19 from the line. 14-19 is 74%, which would have given the Kings the 99-96 victory. 12/8在紐奧良，94-96國王罰19中9，罰14-19是74%，會讓國王99-96贏得比賽。 12/23 vs. Cleveland, 104-117 (OT) The game was tied 104 all at the end of regulation (yes, the Kings got skunked in overtime). 15-22 from the line, 17-22 would have given them the win in regulation. 12/23對上騎士，104-117(延長賽) 常規賽結束是104平。罰球是22中15，中17會讓他們在常規賽就取得勝利。 12/26 vs. LA L*kers, 103-112 (OT) 2nd verse, same as the first. Like the Cleveland game, the Kings were hurt by a 13-20 performance from the line. Better free throw shooting would have given them the regulation "w." 12/26對上*湖人，103-112(延長賽) 跟對騎士一樣。罰球20中13，又再次受到傷害，罰球多中幾球就會讓他們取得勝利。 1/18 @ Charlotte, 103-105 20 turnovers and 14-21 from the line. 111-105 if the Kings just put up league average numbers here. 1/18在夏洛特，103-105 20次失誤，罰21中14。如果國王有達到平均數字將會以111-105贏球 2/1 @ Denver, 109-112 (OT) 99 all at the end of regulation in a game where the Kings turned the ball over 19 times. I’m not sure how many of these occurred in OT, but one fewer in regulation could have made the difference. 2/1在丹佛，109-112(延長賽) 常規賽是99平，國王失誤19次。我不確定是有多少次發生在延長賽，但只要常規賽少一次就可能會讓事情不一樣。 2/16 vs. Boston, 92-95 19-30 from the line. 23-30 replicates the league average, and delivers a 96-95 win for the good guys. 2/16對波士頓，92-95 罰30中19。同樣以聯盟平均的話罰30會中23，會以96-95贏超賽。 3/19 vs. Milwaukee, 114-118 (OT) StR, the Peachquel. The hail Mary three by Ilyasova stung like a bitch, and the fact that Jennings was 4-15 from two but 8-13 from three didn’t help matters. But the Kings turned the ball over 18 times that night. Better care of the ball and we all go home happy. 3/19對上公鹿，114-118(延長賽)。髒土耳其賽進了三分。但國王那晚失誤了18次。如果多小心一點就能夠快樂回家了。 In total, the Kings would have been a 33-49 team had they just been an average ball handling and free throw shooting team. We would be looking at the #11 pick in the draft, but we would also be glowing over nearly doubling our win total from the year before. 總共算來，國王會是一支33-49的球隊，只要他們是支平均掌控球能力和罰球能力的球隊。我們會拿到第11順位的籤，但我們也會比去年的勝場數多一倍。 The good news is that the Kings could and should get better in these categories. One of the youngest teams in the NBA will be a year older and more experienced. The rookie core should especially benefit, particularly on the road and in tight games (7 of the 8 games listed above were road games and/or overtime games). Hell, just this team knowing each other better should reduce the turnovers, right? Right? 好消息是國王可能會在這些數字越來越好。NBA最年輕的球隊之一會長一歲而且更有經驗。菜鳥核心應該會更厲害，尤其是在客場和相近的比賽(上面所列的8場有7場是在客場和/或是延長賽)。這支球隊越來越瞭解彼此應該要減少失誤吧！！ Put this together with overall improvement by certain players (Evans, Thompson, Hawes, Greene, Landry, Casspi and the yet to be drafted #5 pick all have room for great improvement – pick 3 out of 7 and we’re much better), and suddenly we could be back in the mid to upper 30’s in wins…and that’s without landing any free agents. 將這些和一些球員的進步擺在一起(reke、小湯、Hawes、綠綠、洗衣店和omri還有還沒選的第五順位都有很大的進步空間，只要7個裡面有3個出頭我們就出運了)突然間我們就會回到30勝以上的中段班，而且那還是在沒有買進任何的自由球員的情況下哦。 I know that this is all half-glass-full verbosity, and it could just as easily tip back in the other direction if we are hammered by injuries, Westphal loses the young team, etc. But to me, this is encouraging. Very encouraging, indeed. 我知道這有點太自嗨，而且有太多不可預知的事。但對我而言，這是激勵。的確是很大的激勵。 -- -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 219.70.206.103

→

eliczone

06/13 23:54, , 1^F

06/13 23:54, 1^F

→

eliczone

06/13 23:54, , 2^F

06/13 23:54, 2^F

→

eliczone

06/13 23:54, , 3^F

06/13 23:54, 3^F