PTT體育區 / Lakers (洛杉磯 湖人)

Fw: [情報] LBJ下家去哪裡的賭盤

看板Lakers (洛杉磯 湖人)作者 (愛上速霸路)時間2小時前 (2026/06/29 08:01), 1小時前編輯推噓32(32推 0噓 38→)
留言70則, 31人參與, 12分鐘前最新討論串1/1
※ [本文轉錄自 NBA 看板 #1gGR73jn ] 作者: Subaru5566 (愛上速霸路) 看板: NBA 標題: [情報] LBJ下家去哪裡的賭盤 時間: Mon Jun 29 07:44:01 2026 https://tinyurl.com/44cchxpp Odds of LeBron returning to Cleveland more than double as free agency speculation swirls LBJ去騎士的機會大增，機率上漲2倍有餘 By Danny Gallagher Jun 28, 2026 Rumors that LeBron James could return to Cleveland have pushed traders to more than double the odds of a homecoming over the past week. The market for James' next team shows the price on Cleveland climbing from 10% on June 21 to as high as the high-20s by June 26, before settling at 22% as of June 28. Over the same stretch, the chance he stays in Los Angeles or retires fell from 70% to 50%. James going to Miami now carries a price of 16%, while Golden State sits at 14%. For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. Kalshi is not affiliated with Lebron James or the NBA. LeBron and LA The speculation has grown louder as talks between James and his current team have reportedly stalled. Yahoo Sports reported that Los Angeles is weighing its options now that the team has roughly $50 million in cap space to work with. ESPN’s Shams Charania said, “There was a check-in call made, to my understanding, early in free agency once teams were able to start negotiating with their own free agents after the end of the NBA Finals. Since then though there hasn’t been much communication, from my understanding, between [Los Angeles] and LeBron James’ side. And certainly not an offer yet.” LeBron returning to Cleveland So far, rumors seem to be driving the market’s prediction that LeBron’s free-agency status will take him back to Cleveland for his final chapter in pro-basketball. One of those rumors has attracted attention because of the person who shared it. Cleveland.com's Chris Pugh writes that local fitness trainer Joshua Teplitz posted on his X page, “Supposedly, LeBron IS coming back for a third and final stint.” It may sound innocuous and just a post from a local fan who hopes their most famous pro-basketball player returns to their hometown for one more run on the court. However, Teplitz accurately predicted that James would return to Cleveland in 2014. So the post is getting a lot of viral attention. Some sports media members aren’t so sure Cleveland will be able to make a deal to bring James back to his home state’s pro-basketball team. ESPN's Brian Windhorst said on The Pat McAfee Show that he thinks it's unlikely James will go back to Cleveland because of salary restrictions since they “can only offer LeBron $4 million bucks.” “One of the things I’ve learned about LeBron is you never count his money and never spend his money,” Windhorst added. “So, making assumptions that LeBron would take a lot less money, I see people making that assumption, and I just don’t think it’s smart.” Windhorst also noted if Cleveland wanted to make that happen, they would have to give up a star player to Los Angeles like Jarrett Allen. “I think if [Cleveland was] willing to do that, they could have LeBron,” Windhorst added. “Obviously, LeBron would have to want to with [Cleveland]. But your pathway to pay LeBron the money is to trade Jarrett Allen for him. The Lakers would kill for Jarrett Allen. Kill for him! They would do that deal in 17 tenths of a second.” Even with those hurdles in place, traders haven't backed off the reunion story. The takeaway: Kalshi markets now predict James staying with Los Angeles or retiring: 50% James going to Cleveland: 22% James going to Miami: 16% 上面的文章概要在講，因為湖人和LBJ的新合約談判沒結果，所以在賭盤反映，LBJ回 騎士的機率就越來越高, 6/21最低點是10%, 機率一度飆高到30% 溫胖也提到，如果騎士肯拿LBJ來簽換Jarrett Allen，湖人人求之不得。 但"大盤"走向，LBJ留在湖人或退休的機率，還是壓倒性最高的。 然後也有些許消息提到，熱火和勇士，對於LBJ也有興趣， 最後LBJ留在湖人/退休機率50%，去騎士22%，去熱火16% -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 36.14.181.252 (日本) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1782690243.A.B71.html ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ※ 轉錄者: Subaru5566 (36.14.181.252 日本), 06/29/2026 08:01:20
推
06/29 08:05, 2小時前 , 1F
勇粉是說底薪也不收 勇士高層跟Kerr應該也沒有勇粉懂球吧
06/29 08:05, 1F
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06/29 08:11, 2小時前 , 2F
推文記得刪
06/29 08:11, 2F
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06/29 08:20, 2小時前 , 3F
湖人今年還是沒搞頭？
06/29 08:20, 3F
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06/29 08:20, 2小時前 , 4F
簽換JA,應該有夢最美......
06/29 08:20, 4F
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06/29 08:22, 2小時前 , 5F
今年能夠操盤出一個未來框架就很有搞頭了
06/29 08:22, 5F
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06/29 08:23, 2小時前 , 6F
應該會留啦，拿少少之後應該不用他抗責吧？應該啦...
06/29 08:23, 6F
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06/29 08:23, 2小時前 , 7F
不會真有人覺得一年就要直接能拿冠軍吧
06/29 08:23, 7F
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06/29 08:23, 2小時前 , 8F
今年至少要構築出一個藍圖跟未來可操控的樣子給77看
06/29 08:23, 8F
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06/29 08:33, 1小時前 , 9F
簽換騎士要降到第一層以下 而且老詹為什麼要送中鋒給湖
06/29 08:33, 9F
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06/29 08:33, 1小時前 , 10F
人啊 你誰啊
06/29 08:33, 10F
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06/29 08:35, 1小時前 , 11F
因為他想拿多一點錢只有這個方法 錢 懂嗎?
06/29 08:35, 11F
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06/29 08:37, 1小時前 , 12F
目前看來LBJ應該會等市場塵埃落定再決定去留
06/29 08:37, 12F
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06/29 08:38, 1小時前 , 13F
想太多 騎士又降不到稅線之下
06/29 08:38, 13F
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06/29 08:38, 1小時前 , 14F
他又不缺錢 錢=尊重 湖人看起來像有尊重他嗎 簽換也是
06/29 08:38, 14F
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06/29 08:38, 1小時前 , 15F
騎士給尊重 又不是湖人給的
06/29 08:38, 15F
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06/29 08:40, 1小時前 , 16F
老詹最大的問題就是不能交易而已 論戰力他根本沒有輸花
06/29 08:40, 16F
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06/29 08:40, 1小時前 , 17F
生凱子樂AR
06/29 08:40, 17F
※ 編輯: Subaru5566 (36.14.181.252 日本), 06/29/2026 08:42:54
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06/29 08:42, 1小時前 , 18F
湖人的決定很明顯吧 上一季一直嘲諷他就是要他滾 結果他
06/29 08:42, 18F
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06/29 08:42, 1小時前 , 19F
自己拉尾盤把身價拉回來 搞得湖人不知道要怎麼操作球迷
06/29 08:42, 19F
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06/29 08:42, 1小時前 , 20F
才不會暴動XD
06/29 08:42, 20F
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06/29 08:44, 1小時前 , 21F
球迷哪會暴動
06/29 08:44, 21F
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06/29 08:47, 1小時前 , 22F
有人暴動嗎
06/29 08:47, 22F
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06/29 08:54, 1小時前 , 23F
在商言商 湖人跟LBJ又沒有互相欠什麼 沒什麼好扯尊不尊重的
06/29 08:54, 23F
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06/29 08:54, 1小時前 , 24F
應該也不少希望他離開吧-.-
06/29 08:54, 24F
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06/29 08:56, 1小時前 , 25F
對單純粉隊伍的球迷來講 花大錢尊重才會想暴動吧...
06/29 08:56, 25F
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06/29 09:02, 1小時前 , 26F
不缺錢跟預想是哪個價碼不衝突吧0.0
06/29 09:02, 26F
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06/29 09:08, 1小時前 , 27F
球迷開心都來不及了還暴動
06/29 09:08, 27F
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06/29 09:13, 1小時前 , 28F
以年紀來說覺得該下滑了，沒想到一個季後賽變他最抗。但
06/29 09:13, 28F
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06/29 09:13, 1小時前 , 29F
這季又回到該下滑不會年年這樣的心態，不想花太多錢在他
06/29 09:13, 29F
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06/29 09:13, 1小時前 , 30F
身上。
06/29 09:13, 30F
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06/29 09:17, 1小時前 , 31F
老詹要退不退的，簡直像是顆不定時炸彈，沒人知道他
06/29 09:17, 31F
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06/29 09:18, 1小時前 , 32F
能打多久？他的數據能否維持？會不會突然斷崖式下滑？
06/29 09:18, 32F
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06/29 09:18, 1小時前 , 33F
這些沒人知道...
06/29 09:18, 33F
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06/29 09:23, 1小時前 , 34F
不過如果是一年約的話 也不用擔心啥斷崖式下滑
06/29 09:23, 34F
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06/29 09:23, 1小時前 , 35F
那是長約才要擔心的 一年約不用擔心這個
06/29 09:23, 35F
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06/29 09:24, 1小時前 , 36F
AR季後賽穩定下滑湖人也沒在擔心的 擔心甚麼
06/29 09:24, 36F
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06/29 09:26, 59分鐘前 , 37F
退不退是大家對年紀的刻板印象，從還沒40就在猜了
06/29 09:26, 37F
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06/29 09:32, 53分鐘前 , 38F
老詹都說過他想當最賺錢的籃球運動員了，為什麼會覺得
06/29 09:32, 38F
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06/29 09:32, 53分鐘前 , 39F
他不在意薪水？
06/29 09:32, 39F
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06/29 09:32, 53分鐘前 , 40F
簽換的話就不可能是騎士 因為騎士無法簽換
06/29 09:32, 40F
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06/29 09:32, 53分鐘前 , 41F
而且他幹嘛低薪投靠騎士？騎士很強？
06/29 09:32, 41F
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06/29 09:33, 52分鐘前 , 42F
騎士連Wade都不一定留得住
06/29 09:33, 42F
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06/29 09:35, 50分鐘前 , 43F
是的 如果傳聞屬實 騎士還真不一定能留下wade
06/29 09:35, 43F
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06/29 09:35, 50分鐘前 , 44F
從他32歲就開始被說下滑，到37變本加厲，現在都準備
06/29 09:35, 44F
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06/29 09:35, 50分鐘前 , 45F
要42歲了，不看好他維持也是正常。
06/29 09:35, 45F
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06/29 09:36, 49分鐘前 , 46F
雖然老詹本人不一定喜歡，但看他每年被喊退休然後一路
06/29 09:36, 46F
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06/29 09:36, 49分鐘前 , 47F
打到底其實滿有趣的XD
06/29 09:36, 47F
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06/29 09:38, 47分鐘前 , 48F
湖人不尊重也沒差 還有另外12隊可以出頂薪
06/29 09:38, 48F
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06/29 09:38, 47分鐘前 , 49F
你那句話套到湖人也一樣啊 那老詹為什麼要留呢
06/29 09:38, 49F
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06/29 09:42, 43分鐘前 , 50F
有大空間的不是剩底特律跟籃網了
06/29 09:42, 50F
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06/29 09:43, 42分鐘前 , 51F
老熟了，每年說今年要下滑，開季打得掙扎真的不行了，季後
06/29 09:43, 51F
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06/29 09:43, 42分鐘前 , 52F
賽哇老人還有油
06/29 09:43, 52F
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06/29 09:50, 35分鐘前 , 53F
上季就算只看BOX也是下滑 而且下滑注定持續 沒什麼好吹的
06/29 09:50, 53F
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06/29 09:55, 30分鐘前 , 54F
想再奪冠 去籃網也怪怪的
06/29 09:55, 54F
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06/29 09:56, 29分鐘前 , 55F
是下滑 而且這兩年的火箭季後賽打不贏老人是火箭爛
06/29 09:56, 55F
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06/29 09:57, 28分鐘前 , 56F
去年靠FVV才跟勇士打到搶7 今年沒FVV結果季賽都在操KD
06/29 09:57, 56F
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06/29 09:57, 28分鐘前 , 57F
季後賽連KD也沒了 年輕人打得荒腔走板
06/29 09:57, 57F
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06/29 10:01, 24分鐘前 , 58F
我是覺得別被媒體帶著情緒
06/29 10:01, 58F
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06/29 10:02, 23分鐘前 , 59F
現況就是只能慢慢等 等湖人跟姆斯真的開始談
06/29 10:02, 59F
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06/29 10:02, 23分鐘前 , 60F
不管是繼續 還是好聚好散 對R
06/29 10:02, 60F
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06/29 10:05, 20分鐘前 , 61F
之前不就有消息說老詹看補強狀況再看看降薪幅度 都還沒開
06/29 10:05, 61F
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06/29 10:05, 20分鐘前 , 62F
市當然還沒有他薪資的事
06/29 10:05, 62F
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06/29 10:06, 19分鐘前 , 63F
真的湖迷應該都希望球隊以未來發展為重吧 如果老詹有更
06/29 10:06, 63F
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06/29 10:06, 19分鐘前 , 64F
好的去處也不強求啊 但現階段就是湖能給的最多 洛杉磯
06/29 10:06, 64F
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06/29 10:07, 18分鐘前 , 65F
也有他想要的
06/29 10:07, 65F
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06/29 10:08, 17分鐘前 , 66F
77也即將邁入中年，真的需要幫手來幫他
06/29 10:08, 66F
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06/29 10:10, 15分鐘前 , 67F
之前湖人出季後賽球衣，一場都沒打的77印最大
06/29 10:10, 67F
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06/29 10:10, 15分鐘前 , 68F
老人什麼版面都沒有，湖人高層明顯是想蛋雕的
06/29 10:10, 68F
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06/29 10:11, 14分鐘前 , 69F
圍繞77+AR就好，這組合在聯盟是前3等級的
06/29 10:11, 69F
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06/29 10:13, 12分鐘前 , 70F
早點帶著你的天賦去其他高薪十二隊吧，何苦為難彼此
06/29 10:13, 70F
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