PTT體育區 / Lakers (洛杉磯 湖人)

Fw: [情報] LBJ下家去哪裡的賭盤

看板Lakers (洛杉磯 湖人)作者 (愛上速霸路)時間3周前 (2026/06/29 08:01), 3周前編輯推噓484(486推 2噓 974→)
留言1462則, 127人參與, 3周前最新討論串1/3 (看更多)
※ [本文轉錄自 NBA 看板 #1gGR73jn ] 作者: Subaru5566 (愛上速霸路) 看板: NBA 標題: [情報] LBJ下家去哪裡的賭盤 時間: Mon Jun 29 07:44:01 2026 https://tinyurl.com/44cchxpp Odds of LeBron returning to Cleveland more than double as free agency speculation swirls LBJ去騎士的機會大增，機率上漲2倍有餘 By Danny Gallagher Jun 28, 2026 Rumors that LeBron James could return to Cleveland have pushed traders to more than double the odds of a homecoming over the past week. The market for James' next team shows the price on Cleveland climbing from 10% on June 21 to as high as the high-20s by June 26, before settling at 22% as of June 28. Over the same stretch, the chance he stays in Los Angeles or retires fell from 70% to 50%. James going to Miami now carries a price of 16%, while Golden State sits at 14%. For informational purposes only. Not trading advice. Kalshi is not affiliated with Lebron James or the NBA. LeBron and LA The speculation has grown louder as talks between James and his current team have reportedly stalled. Yahoo Sports reported that Los Angeles is weighing its options now that the team has roughly $50 million in cap space to work with. ESPN’s Shams Charania said, “There was a check-in call made, to my understanding, early in free agency once teams were able to start negotiating with their own free agents after the end of the NBA Finals. Since then though there hasn’t been much communication, from my understanding, between [Los Angeles] and LeBron James’ side. And certainly not an offer yet.” LeBron returning to Cleveland So far, rumors seem to be driving the market’s prediction that LeBron’s free-agency status will take him back to Cleveland for his final chapter in pro-basketball. One of those rumors has attracted attention because of the person who shared it. Cleveland.com's Chris Pugh writes that local fitness trainer Joshua Teplitz posted on his X page, “Supposedly, LeBron IS coming back for a third and final stint.” It may sound innocuous and just a post from a local fan who hopes their most famous pro-basketball player returns to their hometown for one more run on the court. However, Teplitz accurately predicted that James would return to Cleveland in 2014. So the post is getting a lot of viral attention. Some sports media members aren’t so sure Cleveland will be able to make a deal to bring James back to his home state’s pro-basketball team. ESPN's Brian Windhorst said on The Pat McAfee Show that he thinks it's unlikely James will go back to Cleveland because of salary restrictions since they “can only offer LeBron $4 million bucks.” “One of the things I’ve learned about LeBron is you never count his money and never spend his money,” Windhorst added. “So, making assumptions that LeBron would take a lot less money, I see people making that assumption, and I just don’t think it’s smart.” Windhorst also noted if Cleveland wanted to make that happen, they would have to give up a star player to Los Angeles like Jarrett Allen. “I think if [Cleveland was] willing to do that, they could have LeBron,” Windhorst added. “Obviously, LeBron would have to want to with [Cleveland]. But your pathway to pay LeBron the money is to trade Jarrett Allen for him. The Lakers would kill for Jarrett Allen. Kill for him! They would do that deal in 17 tenths of a second.” Even with those hurdles in place, traders haven't backed off the reunion story. The takeaway: Kalshi markets now predict James staying with Los Angeles or retiring: 50% James going to Cleveland: 22% James going to Miami: 16% 上面的文章概要在講，因為湖人和LBJ的新合約談判沒結果，所以在賭盤反映，LBJ回 騎士的機率就越來越高, 6/21最低點是10%, 機率一度飆高到30% 溫胖也提到，如果騎士肯拿LBJ來簽換Jarrett Allen，湖人人求之不得。 但"大盤"走向，LBJ留在湖人或退休的機率，還是壓倒性最高的。 然後也有些許消息提到，熱火和勇士，對於LBJ也有興趣， 最後LBJ留在湖人/退休機率50%，去騎士22%，去熱火16% -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 36.14.181.252 (日本) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1782690243.A.B71.html ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ※ 轉錄者: Subaru5566 (36.14.181.252 日本), 06/29/2026 08:01:20
推
06/29 08:05, 3周前 , 1F
勇粉是說底薪也不收 勇士高層跟Kerr應該也沒有勇粉懂球吧
06/29 08:05, 1F
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06/29 08:11, 3周前 , 2F
推文記得刪
06/29 08:11, 2F
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06/29 08:20, 3周前 , 3F
湖人今年還是沒搞頭？
06/29 08:20, 3F
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06/29 08:20, 3周前 , 4F
簽換JA,應該有夢最美......
06/29 08:20, 4F
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06/29 08:22, 3周前 , 5F
今年能夠操盤出一個未來框架就很有搞頭了
06/29 08:22, 5F
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06/29 08:23, 3周前 , 6F
應該會留啦，拿少少之後應該不用他抗責吧？應該啦...
06/29 08:23, 6F
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06/29 08:23, 3周前 , 7F
不會真有人覺得一年就要直接能拿冠軍吧
06/29 08:23, 7F
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06/29 08:23, 3周前 , 8F
今年至少要構築出一個藍圖跟未來可操控的樣子給77看
06/29 08:23, 8F
推
06/29 08:33, 3周前 , 9F
簽換騎士要降到第一層以下 而且老詹為什麼要送中鋒給湖
06/29 08:33, 9F
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06/29 08:33, 3周前 , 10F
人啊 你誰啊
06/29 08:33, 10F
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06/29 08:35, 3周前 , 11F
因為他想拿多一點錢只有這個方法 錢 懂嗎?
06/29 08:35, 11F
推
06/29 08:37, 3周前 , 12F
目前看來LBJ應該會等市場塵埃落定再決定去留
06/29 08:37, 12F
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06/29 08:38, 3周前 , 13F
想太多 騎士又降不到稅線之下
06/29 08:38, 13F
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06/29 08:38, 3周前 , 14F
他又不缺錢 錢=尊重 湖人看起來像有尊重他嗎 簽換也是
06/29 08:38, 14F
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06/29 08:38, 3周前 , 15F
騎士給尊重 又不是湖人給的
06/29 08:38, 15F
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06/29 08:40, 3周前 , 16F
老詹最大的問題就是不能交易而已 論戰力他根本沒有輸花
06/29 08:40, 16F
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06/29 08:40, 3周前 , 17F
生凱子樂AR
06/29 08:40, 17F
※ 編輯: Subaru5566 (36.14.181.252 日本), 06/29/2026 08:42:54
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06/29 08:42, 3周前 , 18F
湖人的決定很明顯吧 上一季一直嘲諷他就是要他滾 結果他
06/29 08:42, 18F
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06/29 08:42, 3周前 , 19F
自己拉尾盤把身價拉回來 搞得湖人不知道要怎麼操作球迷
06/29 08:42, 19F
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06/29 08:42, 3周前 , 20F
才不會暴動XD
06/29 08:42, 20F
推
06/29 08:44, 3周前 , 21F
球迷哪會暴動
06/29 08:44, 21F
推
06/29 08:47, 3周前 , 22F
有人暴動嗎
06/29 08:47, 22F
推
06/29 08:54, 3周前 , 23F
在商言商 湖人跟LBJ又沒有互相欠什麼 沒什麼好扯尊不尊重的
06/29 08:54, 23F
推
06/29 08:54, 3周前 , 24F
應該也不少希望他離開吧-.-
06/29 08:54, 24F
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06/29 08:56, 3周前 , 25F
對單純粉隊伍的球迷來講 花大錢尊重才會想暴動吧...
06/29 08:56, 25F
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06/29 09:02, 3周前 , 26F
不缺錢跟預想是哪個價碼不衝突吧0.0
06/29 09:02, 26F
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06/29 09:08, 3周前 , 27F
球迷開心都來不及了還暴動
06/29 09:08, 27F
推
06/29 09:13, 3周前 , 28F
以年紀來說覺得該下滑了，沒想到一個季後賽變他最抗。但
06/29 09:13, 28F
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06/29 09:13, 3周前 , 29F
這季又回到該下滑不會年年這樣的心態，不想花太多錢在他
06/29 09:13, 29F
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06/29 09:13, 3周前 , 30F
身上。
06/29 09:13, 30F
推
06/29 09:17, 3周前 , 31F
老詹要退不退的，簡直像是顆不定時炸彈，沒人知道他
06/29 09:17, 31F
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06/29 09:18, 3周前 , 32F
能打多久？他的數據能否維持？會不會突然斷崖式下滑？
06/29 09:18, 32F
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06/29 09:18, 3周前 , 33F
這些沒人知道...
06/29 09:18, 33F
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06/29 09:23, 3周前 , 34F
不過如果是一年約的話 也不用擔心啥斷崖式下滑
06/29 09:23, 34F
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06/29 09:23, 3周前 , 35F
那是長約才要擔心的 一年約不用擔心這個
06/29 09:23, 35F
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06/29 09:24, 3周前 , 36F
AR季後賽穩定下滑湖人也沒在擔心的 擔心甚麼
06/29 09:24, 36F
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06/29 09:26, 3周前 , 37F
退不退是大家對年紀的刻板印象，從還沒40就在猜了
06/29 09:26, 37F
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06/29 09:32, 3周前 , 38F
老詹都說過他想當最賺錢的籃球運動員了，為什麼會覺得
06/29 09:32, 38F
還有 1384 則推文
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06/29 23:04, 3周前 , 1423F
06/29 23:04, 1423F
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06/29 23:05, 3周前 , 1424F
吉巴說想待.嘴綠跳出.冒出個AD詹.巧合?我不覺得XDDD
06/29 23:05, 1424F
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06/29 23:05, 3周前 , 1425F
如果LBJ去勇士 我是蠻看好他的發展 就ker最喜歡的
06/29 23:05, 1425F
推
06/29 23:05, 3周前 , 1426F
這絕對不是巧合啦，球員都已經談好了只差巫師點頭。
06/29 23:05, 1426F
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06/29 23:05, 3周前 , 1427F
LBJ就ker最愛的高球商控球前鋒
06/29 23:05, 1427F
推
06/29 23:05, 3周前 , 1428F
賭盤變成勇士第一了 wow
06/29 23:05, 1428F
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06/29 23:06, 3周前 , 1429F
不過也可能勇士只願意出一首輪，這樣巫師吞不下去吧
06/29 23:06, 1429F
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06/29 23:06, 3周前 , 1430F
附加賽隊伍 9 10也能拿兩顆樂透球
06/29 23:06, 1430F
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06/29 23:06, 3周前 , 1431F
Haynes說老詹跟LBJ還是有聯繫 但因為勇士的追求開始鬆
06/29 23:06, 1431F
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06/29 23:06, 3周前 , 1432F
阿銀加入給巫師好簽 這事就能成
06/29 23:06, 1432F
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06/29 23:06, 3周前 , 1433F
動這點了
06/29 23:06, 1433F
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06/29 23:06, 3周前 , 1434F
若AD先有新聞說去勇士那LBJ一定也成了..期待囉XD
06/29 23:06, 1434F
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06/29 23:06, 3周前 , 1435F
啊 老詹跟湖人 打太順
06/29 23:06, 1435F
推
06/29 23:07, 3周前 , 1436F
勇士給三首輪有可能成吧 勇士能給老漢多少錢？
06/29 23:07, 1436F
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06/29 23:07, 3周前 , 1437F
其實勇士簽留著新制下拿高順位機率也不小本來就是 附
06/29 23:07, 1437F
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06/29 23:07, 3周前 , 1438F
這種流量大隊 阿銀不可能拒絕
06/29 23:07, 1438F
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06/29 23:07, 3周前 , 1439F
湖人未來不確定性太高了
06/29 23:07, 1439F
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06/29 23:07, 3周前 , 1440F
加賽 9 10區間的保底兩顆了
06/29 23:07, 1440F
推
06/29 23:07, 3周前 , 1441F
頓寶執行了
06/29 23:07, 1441F
推
06/29 23:08, 3周前 , 1442F
頓寶留了
06/29 23:08, 1442F
推
06/29 23:08, 3周前 , 1443F
是的
06/29 23:08, 1443F
推
06/29 23:08, 3周前 , 1444F
06/29 23:08, 1444F
推
06/29 23:08, 3周前 , 1445F
恭喜啊 這樣至少有一個中鋒能頂
06/29 23:08, 1445F
推
06/29 23:08, 3周前 , 1446F
AD到那隊就有狀元 勇士其實下很大一盤
06/29 23:08, 1446F
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06/29 23:08, 3周前 , 1447F
頓寶留了有底氣了餒
06/29 23:08, 1447F
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06/29 23:08, 3周前 , 1448F
湖人還沒跟老詹有溝通
06/29 23:08, 1448F
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06/29 23:09, 3周前 , 1449F
龍大可能迪克生片語還要複習一下XD
06/29 23:09, 1449F
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06/29 23:09, 3周前 , 1450F
笑死有夠迷因
06/29 23:09, 1450F
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06/29 23:10, 3周前 , 1451F
呼。這樣至少下季中鋒不會降檔。最差維持原樣
06/29 23:10, 1451F
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06/29 23:11, 3周前 , 1452F
佩總大概要等到FA大致確定才會聯繫LBJ吧
06/29 23:11, 1452F
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06/29 23:12, 3周前 , 1453F
他們要組樂見其成，至少話題性夠
06/29 23:12, 1453F
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06/29 23:25, 3周前 , 1454F
笑死直接無縫銜接奧運
06/29 23:25, 1454F
推
06/29 23:27, 3周前 , 1455F
湖人還有51m空間 可以大衝特衝
06/29 23:27, 1455F
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06/29 23:56, 3周前 , 1456F
今年自由市場最強的就是LBJ 結果湖人把他當空氣
06/29 23:56, 1456F
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06/30 00:02, 3周前 , 1457F
最強…？
06/30 00:02, 1457F
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06/30 00:11, 3周前 , 1458F
勇士要搶人 結果換湖人急了
06/30 00:11, 1458F
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06/30 01:04, 3周前 , 1459F
不是最強嗎 不然哪個FA比LBJ強？
06/30 01:04, 1459F
推
06/30 03:31, 3周前 , 1460F
原本覺得可能回騎士
06/30 03:31, 1460F
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06/30 03:32, 3周前 , 1461F
但勇士殺出來
06/30 03:32, 1461F
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06/30 03:32, 3周前 , 1462F
我覺得柯瑞跟嘴綠的年紀 勇士蠻可能梭哈的
06/30 03:32, 1462F
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