[轉錄] 專家看好熱火前景建立王朝仍存變數

看板LeBronJames (雷霸龍·詹姆士 - 詹姆斯)作者Paraguay (巴拉圭)時間14年前 (2011/08/12 11:53)推噓1(1推 0噓 0→)

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※ [本文轉錄自 NBA 看板 #1EG-Y7xV ] 作者: sampsonlu919 (父親，願你安息) 看板: NBA 標題: [新聞] 專家看好熱火前景建立王朝仍存變數時間: Thu Aug 11 22:34:42 2011 [球隊] 專家看好熱火前景建立王朝仍存變數 http://nba.pixnet.net/news/article/2011-08-11/43680/46127 發表時間：2011-08-11 進入休季期後，《ESPN》每天都會邀請旗下五位籃球專家，來探討一些不同的熱門話題，這一次專家們把矛頭對向甫在決賽敗給小牛的邁阿密熱火，對於這支話題球隊，五位專家多半看好三巨頭能在新賽季取得聯盟最佳戰績，同時在未來10年內能夠有所作為。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ What's in store for Miami Heat in '11-12? http://es.pn/ov4cpi ESPN.com and the TrueHoop Network 熱火隊在2011-12賽季能打出全聯盟最佳戰績嗎？ Fact or Fiction: Miami will have the NBA's best record in '11-12 溫德霍斯特(Brian Windhorst, 熱火部落格Heat Index)： Fact. Although it is hard to predict how the league will look post-lockout, let's assume the top teams will mostly have stability in their rosters for the short-term. The Heat had the third-best regular-season record in the league (58-24) last season despite a 9-8 start, and simple growing pains cost them several games. The Bulls would have a strong case as well, but the Heat seem like they could carry the back half of last season into major regular-season success next season. 可以。雖然停擺讓新賽季的前景變得難以難測，但我預測不會受到太大的影響。上季熱火前17戰僅僅拿下9勝8負，但最終他們卻取得了58勝24負的出色戰績。第一個賽季是他們的陣痛期，相信第二個賽季才是他們真正的收穫期。當然，芝加哥公牛也很值得期待，他們有望成為熱火最大的攔路虎。但相比之下，我更看好熱火在例行賽排名第一。史特勞斯(Ethan Sherwood Strauss, 影音部落格HoopSpeak)： Fact. The best record goes to the team least validated by getting it. 可以。即便下季他們再次錯失總冠軍，但稱霸例行賽應該沒有太大的難度。哈伯史特羅(Tom Haberstroh, 熱火部落格Heat Index)： Fact. LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh won't require an extended jell phase like we saw in 2010-11. They have the best chance at the top overall seed, although I'll peg the Chicago Bulls and the Oklahoma City Thunder to be right there with them. 可以。因為詹姆士(LeBron James)、韋德(Dwyane Wade)和波許(Chris Bosh)已經沒有退路，他們必須全力以赴。就像我們在2010-11賽季中途所看到的那樣，他們完全可以統治整場比賽，可以為他們的季後賽贏得主場優勢，我相信體力充沛的三巨頭在下個賽季是不會錯過這個機會的。另外，我還看好公牛和雷霆，這兩支球隊也有望衝擊例行賽冠軍。梅森(Beckley Mason, 影音部落格HoopSpeak)： Fiction. I think it's even money between Oklahoma City, Chicago and Miami -- whoever is healthiest wins. I'll take the field, but I think if everyone on every team is healthy all season, the Heat are primed for a monster season. 不行。我認為熱火難以在例行賽中保持同一個狀態，他們的起伏會比較大。我認為聯盟例行賽冠軍將會在公牛、雷霆和熱火三隊之間產生，健康的球隊將會笑到最後，相比之下，前兩者的希望更大一些。當然，如果三支球隊都能保持健康，那熱火的勝算也許會增加一些。狄賈瑪(Ryan DeGama, 賽爾提克部落格Celtics Hub)： Fact. They nearly got there last season fielding a team filled with utterly dispensable spare parts behind James, Wade and Bosh. But this Miami squad is being judged on LeBron's pledge to win seven-plus NBA titles, not whether they can stay focused through the regular season. 可以。實際上，上個賽季他們已經有機會在例行賽登頂，只是磨合時間稍長耽誤了他們的一些勝利，而這在下個賽季完全是可以避免的。展望2011-12賽季，熱火球員之間的配合將更加有默契，詹姆士和韋德有望發揮出更大的能量。不過熱火能否稱霸例行賽仍需觀察。熱火隊能成為一支統治聯盟未來10年的王朝球隊嗎？ Fact or Fiction: The Heat are the team of the next decade. 溫徳霍斯特： Fiction. They probably will be in good position to challenge for a title next season and perhaps the season after that. But new restrictions in a reworked CBA, especially if a hard salary cap is instituted, may paint the Heat into a corner. If the owners get their way -- and don't think for a second that the majority isn't targeting the Heat's grand plans as a pleasant side benefit of their desired new structure -- Miami simply may not be able to keep all three of its All-Stars together and field a well-rounded team. 這要取決於新的CBA(勞資協議)。如果聯盟實行硬性薪資上限，那麼熱火將很難再進行人員補強，他們的未來將很難完全施展，他們甚至不得不為薪資問題進而拆散三巨頭。如果不能同時保留三巨頭並進行補強的話，熱火將很難建立起一個王朝。 Then again, maybe it will. Right now everyone is guessing at what the future might look like. But many in the league are guessing the new rules won't favor a Heat dynasty. 但話又說回來，誰知道未來10年會發生什麼事情，現在猜測這個還為時尚早。史特勞斯： Fact. In my crystal ball, I see the Heat winning four rings, followed by all of us contriving stories about how LeBron's grown as a person, because obviously you can't win a shiny thing unless you grow as a person. 我認為可以。如果詹姆士能夠進一步成長和成熟起來，我相信熱火在未來十年至少應該能夠贏得4個總冠軍。哈伯史特羅： Fact. No team has a collection of three players as woefully underpaid going forward as the Heat do with LeBron, Wade and Bosh. In the long haul, bang- for-the-buck is what matters. And they have a lot of bang. 可以。因為如今聯盟沒有一支球隊能夠像熱火那樣同時擁有三名最頂級球星。如果詹姆士、韋德和波許保持健康並始終在一起並肩作戰，那麼他們早晚肯定能開創出一個王朝。梅森： No idea. It will take three titles to definitively own that accolade, and no potential "Team of the Decade" has won one. Miami better start collecting titles soon because Wade, 29, seems headed for a big drop-off after 2014-15. However, three other teams have won three titles in five years since 1996, why not the team featuring two of the game's five best players? 我不清楚。如果以10年內拿下至少三個冠軍來作為王朝的定義，我認為熱火很難做到。如今韋德已經29歲了，他的巔峰期頂多能夠維持到2014-15賽季。當然，自從1996年以來，已經有三支球隊在5年內3奪總冠軍，熱火也並不是完全沒有機會。狄賈瑪： Fiction. I have enough lingering concerns about Wade's future health that I'd probably take OKC, which has better roster balance and no lack of young, top-of-the-rotation talent. The Heat should own the next couple of years though. 不行。韋德的年齡和傷病是你必須考慮的事情，相比之下，我更看好奧克拉荷馬雷霆，他們的球員結構更加平衡，而且不缺年輕和天賦，未來10年他們更有可能統治聯盟。但我同意一點，至少最近幾個賽季熱火有望成為王者 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 另外補充痞客邦沒有翻到的三個問題 Fact or Fiction: The Heat are the most despised sports team ever 熱火是有史以來最被瞧不起的球隊？＃Brian Windhorst: Fiction，他的反例是1980年奧運的蘇俄冰球隊，因為當時比較被看好的他們在決賽爆冷輸給了實力較弱的美國隊，此事後來也被拍成電影 "冰上奇蹟" ＃Ethan Sherwood Strauss: Fact. ＃Tom Haberstroh: Fiction，反例為1988-89被稱為Bad Boys的活塞隊＃Beckley Mason: Fiction，反例為1972年奧運的蘇俄籃球隊，不少美國球評認為俄佬當年的冠軍其實有不少僥倖成分，講白一點就是另類的黑哨＃Ryan DeGama: Fact，但他認為這也跟媒體有不小的關係 Fact or Fiction: LeBron's fourth-quarter struggles are a major concern LBJ的第四節軟手症是球隊的一大隱憂？＃Brian Windhorst, Heat Index: Fiction. ＃Ethan Sherwood Strauss, HoopSpeak: Fiction. ＃Tom Haberstroh, Heat Index: Fiction. ＃Beckley Mason, HoopSpeak: Fact. ＃Ryan DeGama, Celtics Hub: Fact. Fact or Fiction: The Heat are Dwyane Wade's team. 熱火是韋德的球隊？＃Brian Windhorst, Heat Index: Fact. ＃Ethan Sherwood Strauss, HoopSpeak: Fiction. ＃Tom Haberstroh: Fiction，他並補充正名熱火其實是Micky Arison（老闆）的球隊＃Beckley Mason, HoopSpeak: Neither. ＃Ryan DeGama, Celtics Hub: Fiction. 對東南組有興趣的球迷，可以順便參考ESPN另外兩隊的分析文老鷹：http://es.pn/qzkBmn 魔術：http://es.pn/pCFS1l -- / \ Ｕ　 ny ★ 小　Ｇ　　鷹囧 ◆ 口 / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ Ｖ　口口口口口口口口英囧大囧寧小囧寧囧莫囧利斯囧傑斯囧克囧萊迪囧-Roe -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 59.115.129.118 ※ 編輯: sampsonlu919 來自: 59.115.129.118 (08/11 22:38)

[轉錄] 專家看好熱火前景 建立王朝仍存變數

[轉錄] 專家看好熱火前景建立王朝仍存變數