[農場] AaronGleeman's top 40 prospects of 2009: 26-30
30. Philip Humber | Starter | DOB: 12/82 | Throws: Right | Trade: Mets
YEAR LV G GS ERA IP H HR SO BB
2006 A+ 7 7 2.37 38.0 24 4 36 9
AA 6 6 2.88 34.1 25 4 36 10
2007 AAA 25 25 4.27 139.0 129 21 120 44
2008 AAA 31 23 4.56 136.1 145 21 106 49
MLB 5 0 4.63 11.2 11 4 6 5
Taken by the Mets with the third overall pick in the 2004 draft after a
brilliant run at Rice University, Philip Humber underwent Tommy John elbow
surgery 15 starts into his pro career and has lacked anything resembling the
same overpowering stuff since. He was acquired by the Twins last winter as
part of the four-player package for Johan Santana and was the first pitcher
from the trade to make it to Minnesota, but his September call-up came after
a second straight underwhelming season at Triple-A.
Humber在開了TJ後就再也變不回以前那個高壓制力的投手
人們不會忘記他是山大王交易裡的一員
在連續兩個不怎麼樣的3A球季後,他終被call-up上了major
Humber is three-plus seasons removed from surgery and turned 26 years old
last month, so what you see is what you get at this point and he now looks
like a potential back-of-the-rotation starter or reliever. Humber's curveball
has always been MLB-quality, but his post-surgery fastball tops out in the
low-90s and he's managed just 226 strikeouts in 275.1 innings at Triple-A.
He's also an extreme fly-ball pitcher who's served up 42 homers in those 275
frames, which helps explain his 4.41 ERA.
他從TJ後已經三個多球季,所以他大概就是這樣了
頂多就是後段輪值或是RP
曲球ok,但是速球不夠快 (又是一個low-90s的 冏)
此外,又是一個極端的飛球投手,極容易被送出牆外
Toss in mediocre control and it's tough to see a lot of upside in Humber,
although he did put together a good second half at Rochester after rejoining
the rotation following a demotion to the bullpen. He's out of minor-league
options, so the Twins must either hand him a spot on the Opening Day pitching
staff or risk losing him on waivers. A rotation spot should be out of the
question, but he may do some long relieving since the Twins are unlikely to
give up a high-profile piece of the Santana deal for nothing.
控球普普,實在無法對他有太多的期望
最重要的是,他已經out of option了
他不可能進入輪值,但是成為一個long reliever倒還有可能
29. Jason Pridie | Center Field | DOB: 10/83 | Bats: Left | Trade: Rays
YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
2006 AA 503 .230 .281 .304 5 20 31 93
2007 AA 300 .290 .331 .441 4 27 14 45
AAA 274 .318 .375 .539 10 30 22 47
2008 AAA 603 .270 .305 .435 13 50 30 152
Jason Pridie had a breakout 2007 season, hitting .303/.352/.487 in 134 games
between Double-A and Triple-A, which convinced the Twins to acquire him from
the Rays as part of the Matt Garza-for-Delmon Young swap two years after
briefly holding him on their roster as a Rule 5 pick. Pridie predictably came
crashing back down to earth at Rochester last year, performing so badly in
the first half (.243/.276/.392) that a big second half (.326/.364/.522) left
him at just .270/.305/.435 in 138 games overall.
2007爆發,成為Garza-Young交易的一員
2008回到正常,不過後半球季表現不錯
Pridie has persuaded the Twins that he's promising enough to acquire twice,
but it's tough to see him becoming more than a fourth outfielder given his
non-existent plate discipline, horrendous strike-zone control, and .278
career batting average. He's an excellent athlete with good wheels and some
pop in his bat, which is no doubt the combination of tools that had Twins
scouts smitten, but Pridie has yet to consistently turn his physical ability
into actual baseball skills and time is running out.
選球實在爛到不行
雖然擁有很好的運動細胞,但無法將之應用在棒球賽場上
以目前看來,最多最多就是4th outfielder
Pridie's strong finish provides some reason for optimism heading into 2009,
but even while putting up big second-half numbers he posted an awful 51-to-12
strikeout-to-walk ratio. For the season he struck out 152 times while drawing
28 non-intentional walks, which is abysmal strike-zone control that keeps
Pridie from taking full advantage of his speed or power. He made his MLB
debut in September and will likely see more of Minnesota this season, but
right now Pridie is just an unused toolbox.
再次強調糟糕透底的選球,這點非常關鍵
因為這還會連帶拖累了他速度及力量上的優點
九月擴編應該會上到major來
28. David Winfree | Right Field | DOB: 8/85 | Bats: Right | Draft: 2003-13
YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
2006 A+ 287 .276 .328 .490 13 28 19 59
2007 AA 490 .267 .308 .426 12 44 26 106
2008 AA 502 .252 .319 .450 19 49 41 87
David Winfree hacked at everything through five pro seasons, drawing just 25
walks per 500 trips to the plate while striking out 20 percent of the time to
take some luster off his strong power numbers. He finally showed some
improvement in both areas last year, walking 41 times compared to 87
strikeouts in 502 plate appearances at Double-A. More walks and fewer
strikeouts while continuing to hit for good power as a 22-year-old certainly
qualifies as promising news.
去年終於在選球上有了進步,BB多了,SO少了
power也維持一定水準,現在看起來還ok
On the other hand, Winfree was repeating Double-A and posted a career-worst
.252 batting average in the process while moving completely away from third
base defensively. With minimal defensive value Winfree's bat will have to
carry him, which makes his .269 career average in 537 games concerning even
for someone who has been very young for every level. With that said,
Winfree's power potential is legitimately outstanding and has been undersold
by pitcher-friendly environments.
從3B移防到RF,守備價值減低了
但BA反而更難看
power是最大的賣點
Last season Winfree ranked sixth among Eastern League hitters in homers as a
22-year-old and the five guys ahead of him were 26, 24, 24, 29, and 25 years
old. In two seasons at Double-A he's posted a .178 Isolated Power, which is
30 percent above the EL average. It's tough to project stardom because he's
yet to advance past posting an OPS in the .750 range despite seemingly being
around forever, but Winfree won't turn 23 years old until August and has
shown enough power to have an MLB role in time.
他的全壘打數在EL排第六,但最年輕
再次強調他的power值得期待
27. Dustin Martin | Center Field | DOB: 4/84 | Bats: Left | Trade: Mets
YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
2006 A- 293 .315 .399 .454 2 24 28 50
2007 A+ 548 .290 .361 .426 8 44 53 118
2008 AA 573 .290 .355 .447 10 52 49 125
Acquired from the Mets in exchange for Luis Castillo in mid-2007, Dustin
Martin moved up to Double-A for the first time last season and established
himself as a legitimate prospect with a strong all-around campaign. He's
never going to hit for big-time power, but Martin has developed a bit more
pop as he's moved up the organizational ladder and smacked a career-high 10
homers among 52 total extra-base hits in 133 games last season.
2007的交易大限前,透到Castille的交易來到雙城
2008在2A的表現穩定
Only New Britain teammate Erik Lis had more doubles than Martin among Eastern
League batters and his eight triples ranked fourth in the league. Martin
sports a .295 batting average in 332 pro games and offers decent plate
discipline to go with above-average speed and solid range in center field, so
there's plenty to like. However, he'll be 25 years old before his first
Triple-A at-bat and has struck out in over 20 percent of his career plate
appearances, including 125 times last season.
長打很多,速度不錯,選球勉強可接受
但被三振有點多
而且即將25歲,卻還沒上過3A
Martin is an underrated prospect and potentially could be a starting-caliber
center fielder if his defense holds up, but he's more likely to end up as a
fourth outfielder who offers a little bit of everything without thriving at
anything. Unfortunately for Martin the Twins are overflowing with young
outfielders throughout the organization and seemingly view Pridie as the
superior backup option regardless of whether that's really warranted.
Martin是個被低估的球員,有可能成為先發
不過他沒有某項特別突出的專長,所以頂多是四號OF
更不幸的是,雙城近幾年堆了太多的OF在農場
不說遠的,3A就有一個Pridie
26. Rene Tosoni | Right Field | DOB: 7/86 | Bats: Left | Draft: 2005-36
YEAR LV PA AVG OBP SLG HR XBH BB SO
2007 RK 286 .301 .407 .428 3 20 32 48
2008 A+ 170 .300 .408 .414 1 11 21 30
Drafted by the Twins in 2004 out of a Canadian high school and in 2005 out of
a Florida junior college, Rene Tosoni signed in mid-2006 and made his
long-awaited pro debut at rookie-level Elizabethton in 2007. He made a good
first impression, hitting .301 with 13 steals in 63 games while ranking
second among Appalachian League hitters in on-base percentage and eighth in
OPS. He was so good that the Twins had Tosoni finish the year at low Single-A
to join Beloit for the Midwest League playoffs.
被Twins選過兩次,才終於在2006年中簽了約
2007表現不錯,在RK階層的分區中,BA排第二,OPS排第八
Tosoni appeared set to spend his first full season at Beloit last year, but
instead the Twins decided to have him skip the level and pushed him up to
high Single-A. Aggressively promoting Tosoni proved to be a good move when he
hit .325 through 36 games, but he suffered a broken foot in mid-May and was
sidelined for over three months. He went just 1-for-14 after returning for
the final week of the regular season, but then batted .389 in the Florida
State League playoffs to end the year on a high note.
Twins對Tosoni的規劃很積極
即使2008跳升A+,依舊表現不錯
At just 22 years old Tosoni will be young for the level of competition even
if the Twins send him back to Fort Myers again, which makes his
.305/.408/.433 line through 109 pro games so impressive. He's yet to show
much pop and doesn't have the size to suggest a ton of future power, but
hitting .305 with great plate discipline and the underrated ability to get
plunked by pitches is plenty promising at his age and Tosoni is considered a
good defensive right fielder who even played center field occasionally last
year.
還年輕,雖然power不足
但打擊技巧不錯,選球不錯
守備技巧不錯,甚至偶爾充當CF
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