[外電] 2013 Preview

看板MIN-Twins作者 (中信魚京云鬼!!)時間12年前 (2013/03/23 22:43), 編輯推噓10(10028)
留言38則, 3人參與, 最新討論串1/1
2013 Preview: Minnesota Twins 硬球時報的分析 The Big Question: Did the Twins do enough to improve their AL-worst rotation? After a decade-long run as a consistent winner in the AL Central the Twins fell apart in 2011, losing 99 games and firing general manager Bill Smith while replacing him with the man he replaced, Terry Ryan. Things were supposed to be better last season and I suppose technically they were, but the Twins lost 96 games despite a far healthier team and some strong individual performances because they simply couldn’t pitch. Twins starting pitchers had the worst ERA in baseball among teams that don’t call Coors Field home and the pitching staff as a whole recorded the fewest strikeouts in baseball for the second straight season. At the beginning of the offseason Ryan spoke of big plans for addressing the terrible rotation, but when the dust settled the only moves were trading for Vance Worley and signing Kevin Correia and Mike Pelfrey as free agents. Worley was a sound pickup who should be a solid mid-rotation starter long term and Pelfrey is a reasonable enough reclamation project with mid-rotation potential as he comes back from Tommy John elbow surgery, but giving a two-year, $10 million deal to Correia made little sense when similar or better pitchers were agreeing to one-year deals all winter. Of the 91 pitchers to throw at least 400 innings as starters since 2010 he ranked 88th in ERA, 81st in strikeout rate, and 80th in strikeout-to-walk ratio. And that was it. That was the full extent of the Twins addressing their awful rotation. Would-be Opening Day starter Scott Diamond will begin the season on the disabled list following a setback with what the team called minor elbow surgery in December and former first-round pick Kyle Gibson isn’t ready for the majors after Tommy John surgery in late 2011, so the Twins will likely turn to Samuel Deduno and/or Cole DeVries to fill out the rotation. It’s not a good sign when the same career minor leaguers who joined the rotation as emergency options during a miserable season are already back in the mix before Opening Day. What else is going on? ‧ As dark as things look for the Twins now the future is extremely bright. Thanks to the combination of shrewd international signings, high draft picks, and veteran-for-prospect trades the Twins have built one of the best farm systems in baseball. They placed six prospects on Baseball America‘s top-100 list, including Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton in the top 10, and will add the No. 4 overall pick in the draft to the farm system in June. I’ve been writing about the Twins on my personal blog for 11 years and this is the best, deepest farm system they’ve had in that time. ‧ Sano and Buxton are still teenagers and years away from the majors, but the Twins look likely to get an immediate impact from the farm system by naming Aaron Hicks their Opening Day center fielder. Hicks has yet to play above Double-A, but the former first-round pick is a standout defender with an elite arm and improved significantly at the plate last season by adding power to his already strong patience. Delaying the start of his service time clock by sending him to Triple-A for a month or so would seemingly make sense, but all signs point to the Twins handing Hicks the job now. ‧ Ron Gardenhire enters his 13th season as Twins manager without a contract beyond this year and most of his coaching staff was fired or reassigned during the offseason, leading to speculation that another 90-loss season would lead to his exit. He’s the second-longest tenured manager in MLB behind Mike Scioscia. ‧ If the Twins get off to another bad start it’ll be interesting to see if they begin shopping veterans. In the past they’ve largely shied away from that, choosing to let guys like Michael Cuddyer and Jason Kubel leave via free agency, but Justin Morneau will be a free agent after the season and Josh Willingham isn’t exactly part of the long-term plans at age 34. ‧ Joe Mauer took an incredible amount of heat locally for an injury wrecked 2011 season, which tends to happen when you miss half the year after signing a $184 million contract. He bounced back in a huge way last season, setting career-highs in games and plate appearances while hitting .319 with the highest on-base percentage in the league. Mauer was paid $23 million last season and Fan Graphs calculated his on-field value at … $23 million. Joe Mauer ain’t the problem. ‧ Target Field is an amazing place to watch a game and easily one of MLB’s best ballparks, but as the Twins enter Year 4 there they’ve already squandered much of the new ballpark excitement by putting out a terrible product. Only the Astros had a bigger attendance drop last year as Minnesota fell into the middle of the pack, and 20 percent of season ticket holders did not renew. And that becomes a chicken-or-egg situation, because the Twins have sliced payroll from $115 million in 2010 to $80 million this year in part due to decreased revenue, but the lack of spending has also helped turn the team into something no one wants to watch. Prediction: Fifth place, American League Central http://ppt.cc/-vqo -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.167.56.169

03/23 23:19, , 1F
Worley有solid mid-rot? If, that is huge value.
03/23 23:19, 1F

03/23 23:19, , 2F
I don't think it.
03/23 23:19, 2F

03/23 23:20, , 3F
Hicks is our opening day CF.
03/23 23:20, 3F

03/23 23:25, , 4F
Pelfrey no breaking ball. Not mid-rotation type.
03/23 23:25, 4F

03/23 23:28, , 5F
May最近兩場丟了9IP OER 8K. FB 91-94
03/23 23:28, 5F

03/23 23:29, , 6F
都是對紅襪,缺點還是command不夠好
03/23 23:29, 6F

03/23 23:32, , 7F
http://tinyurl.com/ce3svxf 這是唯一免費的資訊
03/23 23:32, 7F

03/23 23:37, , 8F
Hicks慢熱的問題絕對是他接下來面對最大的問題
03/23 23:37, 8F

03/23 23:41, , 9F
Hicks確定要在開幕戰先發啦@@
03/23 23:41, 9F

03/25 17:38, , 10F
教召回來Hicks就是開幕先發了 比較好奇五號先發是誰?
03/25 17:38, 10F

03/25 22:45, , 11F
鑽石回來前,應該是Deduno + De Vries 撐一下
03/25 22:45, 11F

03/25 22:52, , 12F
De Vries春訓表現很棒!
03/25 22:52, 12F

03/25 23:11, , 13F
官網上的25人名單應該就是開幕的名單了吧!
03/25 23:11, 13F

03/25 23:17, , 14F
更正一下應該不是 Tim Wood受傷應該會在DL出發
03/25 23:17, 14F

03/25 23:20, , 15F
13 Hitters: Mauer, Morneau, Dozier, Florimon
03/25 23:20, 15F

03/25 23:21, , 16F
Plouffe, Willingham, Hicks, Parmelee, Doumit,
03/25 23:21, 16F

03/25 23:21, , 17F
Mastro, Escobar, Carroll, Ramirez
03/25 23:21, 17F

03/25 23:27, , 18F
Ramirez當5th OF跟PH喔 投手剩12位
03/25 23:27, 18F

03/25 23:30, , 19F
投手只帶12位 應該是剛開始的關係吧 還不會用到5th
03/25 23:30, 19F

03/25 23:36, , 20F
教練團對於投手信心強大.....沒辦法
03/25 23:36, 20F

03/25 23:37, , 21F
最快4/7就會用到5號先發 只有6頭牛可操.....
03/25 23:37, 21F

03/25 23:37, , 22F
7頭啦!!!!又打錯
03/25 23:37, 22F

03/25 23:42, , 23F
12 Pitchers應該是這樣 Worley, Burton, Pelfrey,
03/25 23:42, 23F

03/25 23:43, , 24F
Perkins, Correia, Hendriks, Duensing, Pressly,
03/25 23:43, 24F

03/25 23:43, , 25F
Fien, De Vries, Burnett, Roenicke
03/25 23:43, 25F

03/25 23:44, , 26F
Wood 回來後就有人可能要走了
03/25 23:44, 26F

03/26 00:02, , 27F
還有Diamond 不知道會砍誰 De Vries還有??
03/26 00:02, 27F

03/26 22:54, , 28F
Deduno、Walters被砍 Burnett、Roenicke、Robertson
03/26 22:54, 28F

03/26 22:56, , 29F
牛棚應該是這三位搶兩個位置 實在不怎麼喜歡Burnett
03/26 22:56, 29F

03/26 22:56, , 30F
他還有一次option可以用 不過Roenicke也沒多好
03/26 22:56, 30F

03/27 20:06, , 31F
那三位我都不愛,等 Tonkin、Chargois 火球牛上來
03/27 20:06, 31F

03/27 20:07, , 32F
他們就要掰掰了
03/27 20:07, 32F

03/28 16:27, , 33F
Burnett被貶回3A了 爽 看來Ramirez會在正選名單了
03/28 16:27, 33F

03/30 08:58, , 34F
為了給Ramirez位置 Burnett被藍鳥claim了 祝他順利
03/30 08:58, 34F

03/30 09:01, , 35F
這樣看的出來球團有多愛Butera Burnett丟回去練一練
03/30 09:01, 35F

03/30 09:02, , 36F
說不定會變好一點 雖說過去三年爛 但畢竟他也才25歲
03/30 09:02, 36F

03/30 09:02, , 37F
這叫愛無限,別人送上門來要Butera,我們死不放
03/30 09:02, 37F

03/30 09:05, , 38F
換個角度想..Butera再見的話 可以從minors補兩隻牛
03/30 09:05, 38F
文章代碼(AID): #1HJR-2FV (MIN-Twins)
文章代碼(AID): #1HJR-2FV (MIN-Twins)