[情報] Prospect of the Day: James Paxton, LHP
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John Sickals談James Paxton
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Prospect of the Day: James Paxton, LHP, Seattle Mariners
Fresh off his appearance in the 2011 Futures Game, Seattle Mariners lefty
James Paxton is on a roll for Double-A Jackson. In his last four starts, he
has a 36/4 K/BB ratio in 25.1 innings, allowing 14 hits for a 1.42 ERA. His
path into pro ball was torturous, but he's certainly arrived now and should
appear in the majors soon enough.
Paxton屠殺2A中,雖然進MLB的過程很曲折,不過他馬上就要抵達大聯盟了
Paxton is a Canadian, born in Richmond, British Columbia. He attended college
ball at the University of Kentucky, and while he posted an ugly 5.86 ERA in
2009, his impressive 115/20 K/BB ratio stood out as much as his mid-90s
fastball and knee-bending curve. The Blue Jays drafted him in the
supplemental round, but Paxton ("advised" by Scott Boras) didn't sign.
Paxton是楓葉國人,大學讀肯塔基
09年的ERA不好看,但K/BB很嚇人,而且有mid-90速球+可以掉到地上的曲球
藍鳥用三明治選秀選了他,但Boras組成員沒有簽
At one point it appeared he would return to the University of Kentucky, but
the NCAA started cracking down on players with agent connections. Paxton
ended up pitching for independent Grand Prairie last spring, with mixed
results and less velocity than he showed in college. The Mariners drafted him
in the fourth round last spring, but he didn't sign until this March, earning
a bonus of $924,500. This was about $75,000 more than the Blue Jays offered
him.
本來他要回大學,但NCAA開始嚴管球員聘經紀人的行為,他被抓包了
所以他去了獨立聯盟,但表現不好,球速也不見了
水兵用2010年第四輪選他,但他拖到今年3月才簽
最後拿到924500美金,只比藍鳥的報價多了7萬5鎂
A 6-4, 220 pound, 22-year-old lefty, Paxton made his pro debut for Clinton in
the Low-A Midwest League this spring. In 10 starts, he pitched 56 innings,
allowing 45 hits with an 80/30 K/BB ratio, a 1.72 GO/AO, and just one homer
allowed. His walk rate was high, but his K/IP and H/IP ratios were
outstanding and reflected his quality stuff (more on that below). Promoted to
Double-A Jackson in early July, he's made seven starts with a 1.85 ERA, a
51/13 K/BB, and 28 hits allowed in 39 innings with a 1.31 GO/AO and two
homers allowed. As noted above, he's been exceptionally strong in his last
four outings.
Paxton從1A Clinton出發,10場先發成績很好
雖然保送太多了,但是被安打率和三振率都嚇嚇叫,而且完全回復他原來的身手
七月到2A Jackson,成績更可怕了,特別是最近四場
Paxton threw 94-98 MPH in college, but dipped down into the 88-92 range in
his brief independent ball tenure last year. He has his velocity back now,
working consistently in the mid-90s with movement. His breaking pitch was
spotty in indy ball but is reportedly excellent this year, giving him two
plus pitches. He has a straight changeup which doesn't draw strong reviews,
but he'll change speeds with his breaking ball, which sometimes looks like a
hard slider and other times more of a traditional curve. It's been effective
either way this year.
Paxton大學速球有94-98mph,在獨聯掉到88-92mph
今年他的球速回來了,可以穩定在mid-90而且帶movement
他的變化球在獨連被打爽的,但是今年在小聯盟的效果卓越
他有顆沒啥變化的change,但可以拿來配速
還有個有時候像滑球有時又像曲球的球路,兩者都很好用
Command is the key for Paxton. His walk rate was rather high at Clinton, but
his stuff was so good he thrived anyway. His command has been excellent in
his recent run of starts and the results are obvious. He didn't walk a lot of
guys in college, but his command within the strike zone was inconsistent, and
scouts felt he was hit harder than he should have been given the quality of
his fastball and breaking ball. Note that Kentucky plays in a high-offense
context, and his K/IP and K/BB ratios for the Wildcats were more indicative
of his potential than the elevated ERA. In pro ball, the results have matched
the potential.
控球是Paxton的生存關鍵,他在1A的保送率有點高,但他的stuff讓他能躲開麻煩
最近控球很好,也反映在成績上,
在大學時他其實沒有保送過多的問題,但他在好球帶的控球不穩定
球探也覺得他的運氣太差,其實以內容而言沒有帳面上那麼慘
他在大學的K/IP和K/BB比ERA更能反映他的天賦
在小聯盟的成績也確實印證這一點
There have been a few rumbles that Paxton could be promoted for September,
but it seems more likely that he'll be a candidate for 2012. He is one of
the top pitching prospects in the game, and profiles as a number two starter
if he continues to progress with his command
有些流言說Paxton會在九月上Major
但合理的推測是明年成為rotation人選之一
他是小聯盟現在最頂尖的投手新秀之一,如果他的控球能持續穩定,
未來可望長成2號投手
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