[情報] BP: NL East 2011 Preseason Preview：Florida Marlins

看板Marlins作者Iukak (阿~~)時間14年前 (2011/02/20 14:18)推噓7(7推 0噓 4→)

留言11則, 5人參與討論串1/1

雖然過了一陣子了還是來翻一下=w=/ http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12973 by Ben Lindbergh Florida Marlins: 84-78 projected 2011 record Why They Might Win: Even after unloading Uggla on a division rival, the Marlins are projected to score the most runs in the division, as PECOTA foresees the usual offensive brilliance from Hanley Ramirez being supplemented by strong sophomore seasons from Mike Stanton and Logan Morrison, with few glaring holes outside of veteran third baseman Wes Helms. 贏球的理由：即便把阿哥送給了同區對手，PECOTA仍預計有小憨利、二年級生Stanton、 Morrison常駐的打線能在這個分區拿到最多的分數。打線上除了三壘是由老將Wes Helms 擔任外，並無其他明顯漏洞。 Why They Might Not Win: Good glovemen are still thin on the ground in Miami, though receiving a full season of Mike Stanton and exchanging Uggla for Omar Infante at the keystone should help. As usual, the Marlins will also be attempting to make do with a largely reconstructed bullpen. 輸球的理由：雖然Stanton和在阿哥交易案中來到Miami、負責守中線的硬方鐵可以加強球隊守備能力，但馬大魚的守備還是很爛。此外，一如過去幾年，馬大魚還是試圖用拼裝牛棚來度過球季。 Player Who Could Surprise: Ruben Gotay hasn't sniffed the majors since 2008, but he posted a .410 OBP at Triple-A last season. PECOTA thinks that would translate to a .370 mark in the majors if the third baseman could crack the roster, and Helms shouldn't represent much of an obstacle. 可能帶來驚喜人物：Ruben Gotay自2008年以後就未再上過大聯盟，但他去年在3A有上壘率.410的不錯成績。PECOTA預計如果他能進入到打線中----Helms實際上也不是多強而有力的競爭對手----的話，仍能保有.370左右的上壘率。 Player Who Could Disappoint: Michael Dunn's 1.89 ERA in abbreviated action in Atlanta last season got him included in the Uggla deal, but since he misses the strike zone even more often than he misses bats, that figure is sure to rise. PECOTA thinks he'll get his walk rate under six per nine, which might not be enough to avoid a 5.00-plus ERA. 可能令人失望人物：Michael Dunn去年在亞特蘭大小樣本的1.89 ERA使他被放進阿哥交易案的包裹中，但他去年可是BB比被安打數還要多！所以很明顯今年的ERA一定會上升。 PECOTA認為他今年的BB/9至少不會超過6，但ERA超過5大概是跑不掉的。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.214.79