[情報] Marlins Top 20 Prospects In Review
Finishing up our reviews of the Top 20 pre-season prospect lists, we complete
the National League with the Miami Marlins. Remember, this is a pre-season
list. It is not a new list.
This list was originally published December 18, 2011.
My next big project is a revision of the Top 120 list, to include 2012 draftees.
1) Christian Yelich, OF, Grade B+: Hitting .316/.390/.525 with 12 homers, 39
walks, 71 strikeouts, 17 steals in 320 at-bats for High-A Jupiter. Coming along
very nicely.
2) Marcell Ozuna, OF, Grade B: .242/.309/.435 with 19 homers, 38 walks, 94
strikeouts in 409 at-bats for Jupiter. Unusually sharp reverse platoon split:
.289/.351/.498 against right-handers but .167/.241/.333 against lefties. If he
can fix that, look out.
3) Jose Fernandez, RHP, Grade B: 1.59 ERA with 99/18 K/BB in 79 innings in
Low-A, 2.57 ERA with 35/11 K/BB in 35 innings in High-A. One of the top
pitching prospects in baseball, great combination of stuff and command.
4) J.T. Realmuto, C, Grade B-: Borderline B. Hitting .252/.319/.350 with 33
walks, 50 strikeouts, 12 steals in 369 at-bats for Jupiter. Has thrown out 33%
of runners but made 15 errors. Still has the necessary tools, still learning
how to use them.
5) Matt Dominguez, 3B, Grade B-: Traded to Astros. .254/.306/.373 with eight
homers, 29 walks, 44 strikeouts in 386 Triple-A at-bats between New Orleans and
Oklahoma City. Impressive defensive skills but bat appears stagnant.
6) Rob Rasmussen, LHP, Grade B-: Traded to Astros. 4.24 ERA with 100/46 K/BB in
119 innings between High-A and Double-A, 118 hits. I think there is more here
and he could do much better next year.
7) Chad James, LHP, Grade B-: 4.80 ERA with 73/36 K/BB in 101 innings for
Jupiter, 119 hits. Not making much progress, little to no improvement since
last year. Too soon at age 21 to give up.
8) Adam Conley, LHP, Grade B-: 10-5, 3.13 with 120/36 K/BB in 112 innings, 98
hits between Low-A and High-A, 1.75 GO/AO. He's made good progress converting
from relief to starting and I think he is an underrated prospect who deserves
more attention.
9) Noah Perio, 2B, Grade C+: .237/.287/.303 with 25 walks, 56 strikeouts in 389
at-bats for Jupiter. Defense has improved a great deal, but he can't hit, lacks
power, lacks patience. Hope exists with the low strikeout rate.
10) Mason Hope, RHP, Grade C+: 3.99 ERA with 34/19 K/BB in 47 innings for
Jamestown in the New York-Penn League, 57 hits, 2.23 GO/AO. Good sinker, good
curveball, rather raw but at age 20 he has time.
11) Jose Ceda, RHP, Grade C+: Out all year with bad elbow.
12) Charlie Lowell, LHP, Grade C+: 4.21 ERA with 111/57 K/BB in 105 innings for
Greensboro, 85 hits, 1.42 GO/AO. Erratic due to command issues, but when
everything is working he has a plus fastball and solid secondary pitches. Note
strong K/IP and H/IP marks.
13) Kyle Jensen, OF, Grade C+: Hitting .205/.319/.368 with 14 homers, 59 walks,
140 strikeouts in 361 at-bats for Jacksonville. He has power and will work
counts, but scout concerns that his swing wouldn't work consistently against
better pitching were accurate. Contact a big problem.
14) Mark Canha, 1B-OF, Grade C+: .295/.383/.411 with 45 walks, 69 strikeouts in
336 at-bats for Jupiter. He has some pure hitting skills but lacks the power
normally associated with a corner player, this year anyway; he hit 25 bombs in
the Sally League in '11 but the FSL is more difficult.
15) Kevin Mattison, OF, Grade C+: .232/.297/.384 with 10 homers, 35 walks, 120
strikeouts, 21 steals in 409 at-bats in Triple-A. Streaky, has some tools but
doesn't use them consistently.
16) Grant Dayton, LHP, Grade C+: 1.83 ERA with 71/18 K/BB in 59 innings, 46
hits for Jupiter. He throws hard and has always performed well, I'm not sure
why they have moved him through the system so slowly but he's clearly ready for
another challenge.
17) Jose Urena, RHP, Grade C: 3.03 ERA with 87/22 K/BB in 116 innings for
Greensboro, 116 hits. Under the radar but has made a lot of progress, touches
mid-90s, slider and changeup have improved, only 20 years old. Big breakthrough
candidate for next year.
18) Jesus Solorzano, OF, Grade C: .284/.341/.490 with eight homers, 12 walks,
40 strikeouts in 155 at-bats in the New York-Penn League. Just turned 22 so
he's behind the ideal age curve, but there's potential here with the power bat.
19) Scott Cousins, OF, Grade C: .292/.355/.472 in 195 at-bats for New Orleans,
with 12 steals; .162/.184/.284 in 74 at-bats for the Marlins with 2/21 BB/K.
Still profiles as fourth outfielder, but now 27 years old.
20) Chris Hatcher, RHP, Grade C: 0.77 ERA with 45/15 K/BB in 47 innings, 33
hits allowed for New Orleans, 11 saves. Former catcher has made very successful
conversion to mound work, should be a useful middle reliever.
The following comments are impressionistic and not intended to provide a
comprehensive overview of the Marlins farm system.
The big news here this year is the rapid development of Jose Fernandez, who has
become one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. Christian Yelich looks
terrific, Marcell Ozuna and Adam Conley have made progress. After that it thins
out quickly.
They do have some sleepers I like, including Charlie Lowell, Jose Urena, and
Grant Dayton. Outfielder Brent Keys and catcher Austin Barnes have played well
in Low-A. Teammate Josh Hodges is raw but projectable and should also be
tracked.
The 2012 draft class brought in Andrew Heaney, the top lefty in college
baseball, then three high school picks of promise in Avery Romero (3B), Kolby
Copeland (OF), and Austin Dean (2B). Budget-oriented college picks filled out
the rest, with LSU defensive specialist shortstop Austin Nola the biggest name,
drafted in the fifth round. They came in $74,400 under slot budget but managed
to add some upside to the organization.
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