[情報] John Sickels Top 20 Prospects
1) Jose Fernandez, RHP, Grade A: Borderline A-. Seems like a conclusive case to
me. First class stuff, good command for a young power pitcher, strong
sabermetric factors, outstanding performance in A-ball at age 19/20. He's
better than expected and he was expected to be pretty damn good to begin with.
2) Christian Yelich, OF, Grade A-: Borderline A. We'll have to see how much
home run power he carries forward, but otherwise he'll contribute in every
department and thrived in High-A at age 20. Hits for average, gets on base, has
at least moderate power, swipes bags, plays well in center field.
3) Justin Nicolino, LHP, Grade B+: The most polished of the terrific rotation
the Blue Jays had at Lansing last year. Superior command and control of solid
fastball and curve, plus changeup. Could become number two starter.
4) Marcell Ozuna, OF, Grade B: Very dangerous power hitter had no problems
hitting homers in difficult Florida State League at age 21. Will Double-A
pitchers take advantage of his aggressiveness? Perhaps, but I am (for some
reason) optimistic about his chances to adjust.
5) Andrew Heaney, LHP, Grade B: Strike-throwing first round pick out of
Oklahoma State has good heat from a skinny frame, projects as a number three
starter who could move fast.
6) Jake Marisnick, OF, Grade B-: Something of a tough grade. All the tools are
here, but his swing gets tied up and he doesn't control the zone well against
advanced pitching. He's young at 21 and has time to fix it, but without
adjustments he will end up as a role player for his speed and glove.
7) Adeiny Hechavarria, SS, Grade B-: Glove will keep him employed for a long
time. Don't expect much hitting in the short run, but he's not helpless and he
could hit better than we currently expect as he gets into his late 20s.
8) Rob Brantly, C, Grade B-: Don't expect him to hit for the power he did in
his first 30 major league games over a full season, but he should have a long
career as a solid defender who can hit for average.
9) Adam Conley, LHP, Grade B-: Good fastball/changeup combination, still
working on slider and had some command wobbles in High-A. If that improves, can
be a three/four starter or a nice relief option.
10) Derek Dietrich, INF, Grade B-: Nice pickup from the Rays this week. Power
is his best tool and he should be a solid defender at second base, but his
plate discipline isn't great and OBP may be an issue.
11) J.T. Realmuto, C, Grade B-: Went backward with the bat in High-A, but
defense remains promising and he's still young at 22 in March. Emergence of
Brantly buys him more time.
12) Jose Urena, RHP, Grade C+: Nice season in Low-A at age 20, 3.38 ERA with
101/29 K/BB in 138 innings. Projectable, still working on secondary pitches but
already throws strikes. Mid-rotation upside arm who doesn't get enough
attention.
13) Mason Hope, RHP, Grade C+: Competitor of Dylan Bundy and teammate of Archie
Bradley in Oklahoma high school ranks is a solid prospect in his own right.
Will move up to Low-A in 2013 and breakout season is possible. Another
mid-rotation potentiality.
14) Alfredo Silverio, OF, Grade C+: Rule 5 pick from the Dodgers, missed entire
season recovering from an auto accident. Tough to rank as a result, could fit
higher depending on what you emphasize. Solid across-the-board tools, had a
great year in Double-A in 2011 at age 24, but his skills are rather raw and it
is unclear how the layoff will impact him.
15) Avery Romero, INF, Grade C+: 2012 third round pick has intriguing bat with
a nice swing, power potential, good approach at the plate. Might wind up at
second or third base, but scouts expect he'll hit. Caution flag: he was one of
the oldest guys in the high school class and turns 20 in May.
16) Kolby Copeland, OF, Grade C+: Tooled up outfielder with power potential
looks like possible steal as supplemental third rounder who got some first
round buzz last spring. Reports on bat are positive, and intuitively there's
something I like about him that is hard to explain.
17) Charlie Lowell, LHP, Grade C+: Sixth round pick from Wichita State in 2011
has a live arm and dominated the Sally League when he threw strikes. He didn't
always throw those strikes, but even marginal improvements will result in a
breakout.
18) Grant Dayton, LHP, Grade C+: Outstanding performance record, lefty bullpen
arm with good fastball/slider combination, stuff is good enough that he doesn't
have to be confined to LOOGY role. Ready to help in next year or two.
19) Tom Koehler, RHP, Grade C+: Veteran minor league inning-chewer posted 13/2
K/BB in first 13 major league innings down the stretch. Older guy at age 26,
but I think his stuff is a bit underrated and he could surprise as a four/five
starter or reliever.
20) Austin Brice, RHP, Grade C+: Posted 4.35 ERA with 122/68 K/BB in 110
innings in Low-A at age 19/20. Low-to-mid-90s fastball and hard curve result in
strong dominance ratios, but needs better command and still working on
changeup. Command is erratic but has mid-rotation upside, could plausibly rank
as high as 13 or 14.
OTHER GRADE C+ PROSPECTS: Austin Barnes, 2B-C; Zach Cox, 3B; Brian Flynn, LHP;
Jesus Solorzano, OF.
OTHERS: Michael Brady, RHP; Arquimedes Caminero, RHP; Mark Canha, 1B; Austin
Dean, OF; Anthony DeSclafani, RHP; Jake Esch, RHP; Chad James, LHP; Dan
Jennings, LHP; Kyle Jensen, OF; Cody Keefer, OF; Brent Keys, OF; Braulio Lara,
LHP; Joe Mahoney, 1B; Scott McGough, RHP; Edgar Olmos, LHP; Noah Perio, 2B;
Kyle Skipworth, C: Nick Wittgren, RHP.
The Marlins system was thin for awhile, but trades and better drafting at the
top the last few years has helped and things are turning around quickly.
On the hitting side, Christian Yelich has developed very rapidly and looks like
a long-term regular with All-Star potential. There is other outfield depth
beside him, and it will be interesting to see Jake Marisnick and Marcell Ozuna
in the same Double-A outfield in 2013. Ozuna's power is outstanding, Marisnick
offers across-the-board tools, but both have serious questions about their
hitting approaches. A healthy Alfredo Silverio could be a very nice Rule 5
pickup, Kody Copeland could be a draft bargain. . .good outfield depth. Brantly
was a good trade acquisition and should hold down the catching job, with J.T.
Realmuto coming up behind. They could use more depth at other positions but
progress has been made.
There's hope on the mound too. Jose Fernandez is one of the top pitching
prospects in the game, and Justin Nicolino isn't far behind. There are very
intriguing right-handers like Urena, and Hope, with Heaney, Conley, and Lowell
provide some left-side balance. None are sure things, but all could end up as
mid-rotation starters.
While it is very annoying for Marlins fans to have to rebuild again, the farm
system is making clear progress rebuilding the organization's base of young
talent.
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※ 編輯: chemikelvin 來自: 42.73.88.251 (12/09 14:35)
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