[專欄] 4 Trades Los Angeles Lakers Could Make已回收
4 Trades Los Angeles Lakers Could Make This Summer
by Vytis Lasaitis http://0rz.tw/807XA
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It’s no news – the Los Angeles Lakers are a mess right now.
A team which was predicted to be a lock for the NBA finals, crumbled during
the course of the regular season and eventually got swept in the first
round of the playoffs.
Now, the future of the prominent franchise depends on whether a certain
27-year-old from Atlanta picks up a pen and puts his signature on
a contract extension.
洛杉磯湖人隊現在爛透了 - 但這不是什麼新鮮事了。
一支原本被預測是本季準冠軍的候選球隊，在季後賽第一輪被橫掃出局。
現在球隊未來的希望，就維繫在 Dwight Howard與球隊簽下續約合約。
Even assuming Dwight Howard does re-sign with the Lakers, it doesn’t solve
the team’s short-term issues.
Going into next season, the team will have very little flexibility in
free agency due to their salary cap situation, and any big-time free agent
signing (other than Howard) is out of the question.
Keeping that in mind, the only way this old and flawed roster can improve
is by trading for other players. The Lakers do have some tradable contracts,
and making a big move in the summer is not out of the question.
即使我們假設 Dwight Howard真的與球隊續約，但這也解決不了短期內的問題。
放眼下季，球隊的薪資空間彈性非常小，以至於無法在自由市場簽下大物。
記住，只有一個辦法能夠讓這支老態龍鍾的隊伍起死回生的方法: 交易。
當然，湖人手下還是有值得交易的合約籌碼，能夠在今夏大展身手。
Kobe Bryant will not be back in time for the start of the season.
Let’s assume Howard re-signs and Bryant returns somewhere in the middle
of the season.
Without making any moves, there is no way this team can contend or even
make a deep playoff run. Not unless they trade.
Kobe Bryant將不會在下季一開季時就歸隊。
讓我們假設湖人真的簽下Dwight Howard，並且Kobe Bryant在季中順利歸隊。
即使如此，如果球隊不設法交易，那下季球隊依舊不會穩定，甚至只能一輪遊。
So, after jumping onto the ESPN trade machine, I’ve thrown together a
couple of hypothetical trades, which could potentially be feasible
and perhaps help the Lakers’ case.
因此，我使用了ESPN網站的交易機器，我將一些假設性的交易清單列出，
或許對於未來的湖人能夠有一點幫助。
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TRADE 1
Los Angeles Lakers Receive - Andrea Bargnani, Amir Johnson
Toronto Raptors Receive - Pau Gasol
Why this trade could happen… 為何這筆交易有機會成功?
It’s not really a secret that the Lakers have been shopping Gasol.
Now that he will be entering the final year of his contract,
a lot of teams could be lining up to acquire him (for different reasons).
Meanwhile, the Raptors can’t wait to get rid of Bargnani’s contract,
but at the same time, they don’t want to take back a long-term contract.
湖人隊已經消費Gasol好一陣子了，這並不是一個秘密。
現在他的合約即將進入尾聲，有非常多的球隊有各自的理由會想要網羅他。
此時，暴龍隊最迫不及待的就是將Bargnani的合約拋棄，
但，他們也不想要換回一張長期的大約。
By getting Gasol, the Raptors would have a very strong starting lineup going
into the 2013-14 campaign, which would aid the team’s playoff aspirations.
They’d rather keep Amir Johnson around for frontcourt depth,
but getting rid of Bargnani has its price.
如果取得Gasol，暴龍隊將在13-14球季擁有非常強力且有機會進入季後賽的先發陣容。
當然他們或許寧願將Amir Johnson留住，以確保前場深度。
但要拋棄Bargnani的合約，還是必須付出代價的。
For the Lakers, Bargnani would fit Mike D’Antoni’s system better than Gasol.
Andrea could set up a tent and camp out at the perimeter and stretch the floor,
while Howard wouldn’t have to share his touches in the post.
An inside-out type of offense would be a great weapon to have. Furthermore,
Johnson would add some much-needed frontcourt depth, as Earl Clark is
an unrestricted free agent this summer.
對於湖人隊來說，Bargnani或許會比GASOL更適合教練Mike D’Antoni的戰術體系。
Bargnani能夠在外圍埋伏，並幫助球隊將進攻空間拉開。
而Howard也不用再跟別人分享他在低位的空間。
同樣地，Johnson也能夠確保目前湖人最需要的前場深度。
因為今夏 Earl Clark也會成為自由球員。
…And why it probably won’t 為何這筆交易有可能失敗
The biggest hindrance here is the long-term money that the Lakers would take.
Taking on Bargnani’s contract would limit L.A. in the 2014-15 free agency,
when Steve Nash, and potentially Howard, would be the only players
with guaranteed contracts.
阻礙這筆交易最大的問題是: 湖人未來的薪資空間。
如果吃下Bargnani的合約，湖人14-15年目前只有一張Nash的保證約，頂多加上Howard。
Bargnani的合約會妨礙湖人14-15年球季在自由市場可能的計畫。
(*註:ESPN交易試算: http://0rz.tw/V2nqi )
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TRADE 2
Los Angeles Lakers Receive – Jared Dudley
Phoenix Suns Receive - Jordan Hill (or Steve Blake)
Why this trade could happen… 為何這筆交易有機會成功?
This would be a trade of the smaller variety.
The Lakers desperately need someone who can stretch the floor and
preferably play multiple positions.
Dudley, a 40.5% career 3-point shooter, fits the bill.
Dudley is listed at 6-foot-7 and is a big guard, who the Lakers could
throw into all kinds of funky lineups. Jared also has a lovely contract,
which doesn’t hurt.
這筆交易的變化性就相對小了一點。
湖人隊非常渴望有一名能夠拉開空間，並且願意打多個位置的球員。
Dudley，這名生涯3PT% - 40.5%的球員，非常適合這個空缺。
Dudley身高6"7'，一名高大型的後衛。並且可讓湖人隊有排出多種可能陣容的可行性。
而Dudley的合約非常迷人可愛，無傷大雅。
In return for Dudley, the Suns could ask for either Jordan Hill or
Steve Blake. Phoenix is pretty much the biggest mess in the league right now,
but they are not opposed to trading Dudley. Right around the trade deadline,
the Suns wanted to acquire Iman Shumpert in a deal that would send Dudley
to the New York Knicks.
而將Dudley交易出去，太陽隊可以要求Jordan Hill或者Steve Blake當作交換。
太陽隊目前是聯盟最慘的球隊之一，但他們並不反對將Dudley交易出去。
本季交易截止日前，太陽在一筆交易中，曾想拿Dudley和尼克隊換Iman Shumpert。
…And why it probably won’t 為何這筆交易有可能失敗
The deal breaker here is what the Lakers can offer in return for Dudley.
Phoenix will be entering a rebuilding stage and will look for young pieces.
Neither Steve Blake nor Jordan Hill fit the young-and-talented description.
The only hope the Lakers would have to swing this deal would be if they went out
and traded either Hill or Blake for a younger player with potential.
Having Hill backing Marcin Gortat at center is a decent option,
but not if you have to give up Dudley.
這次的阻礙面臨到湖人能拿什麼去換Dudley。
太陽隊將進入重建時代，他們會渴望得到年輕的肉體。
不管是Steve Blake或者Jordan Hill都跟年輕又有天賦的球員劃不上等號。
唯一的希望是湖人先用他們兩個去換取的年輕球員後再來跟太陽隊。
或許擁有Jordan Hill來當作先發的Marcin Gortat替補中鋒是個很好的選項。
但如果要動到 Dudley，似乎不太可行。
(*註:ESPN交易試算:http://0rz.tw/UIkQF )
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TRADE 3
Los Angeles Lakers receive – Steve Novak
New York Knicks receive – Steve Blake (or Jordan Hill)
Why this trade could happen… 為何這筆交易有機會成功?
Novak was a big part of the Knicks’ rotation in the regular season,
but has been shut out in the playoffs. If he is not going to play a pivotal role
in the rotation when games get serious, there is probably little reason to
keep him around.
In return, the Knicks could pick either Hill or Blake.
As for the Lakers, it’s self-explanatory.
They need a shooter. Novak is one of the best.
NOVAK本季是尼克隊在季內賽陣容上很重要的一部分，但到了季後賽卻施展不開。
如果他無法在強度更高的比賽中扮演重要的角色，那將他留下的理由則不大。
尼克隊能夠用得到Hill or Blake當作交易NOVAK的籌碼。
湖人隊很明顯的需要射手，而NOVAK是萬中選一。
…And why it probably won’t 為何這筆交易有可能失敗
A lot of ifs here.
If Jason Kidd retires after this season, Blake could fill the veteran backup
point guard role Mike Woodson apparently seems to cherish so much.
There is a good chance that Kidd plays another year, and if he doesn’t,
the Knicks would probably just re-sign Pablo Prigioni.
It’s a long shot. Jordan Hill could play some backup minutes at the center.
Then again, New York has Marcus Camby, if he sticks around.
因為有太多可能(不確定)性了。
如果KIDD決定本季退出，讓BLAKE擔任球隊的替補控衛，教練MIKE WOODSON或許會開心。
但是，有很高的機率KIDD會在下一季繼續打球，即使沒有。
尼克隊或許只會將Pablo Prigioni簽回。
讓HILL來尼克隊似乎也不太可行。
因為或許HILL能夠當成替補中鋒，分擔一些上場時間。
但是相同的，尼克對已經有了Marcus Camby，如果他還在的話。
(*註:ESPN交易試算:http://0rz.tw/BRDew )
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TRADE 4
Los Angeles Lakers receive – Paul Pierce
Boston Celtics receive – Pau Gasol
Why this trade could happen… 為何這筆交易有機會成功?
It seems as though Danny Ainge is ready to blow the Celtics up,
and Paul Pierce could be the one to go first.
Pierce is in the last year of his contract and would bring some much-needed
versatility to the Lakers.
D’Antoni could play around with some small lineups,
putting Pierce at the 4 and Metta World Peace at the 3.
依目前的態勢，
Danny Ainge已經準備將塞爾提克隊砍掉重練，而Paul Pierce似乎是第一個先走的人。
而Paul Pierce的到期約將會帶給湖人隊非常需要的多功能性。
D’Antoni可以使用小陣容，讓Paul Pierce打到四號，而Metta World Peace打到三號。
If the Celtics trade Pierce, Kevin Garnett would probably either retire
or waive his no-trade clause and look for a last shot at a championship run.
Gasol would take Garnett’s position, while the Celtics could look for some
young pieces in return for KG. The Celtics would still remain competitive,
without jeopardizing their future flexibility in free agency too much.
如果塞爾提克隊交易走Paul Pierce，
那Kevin Garnett也許會選擇退休或者揮棄他的不可交易條款，
並尋找一個生涯末期有機會再戰總冠軍的隊伍。
不管如何，Gasol將接Garnett的位置，而塞爾提克還能用KG交換到一些年輕球員。
如此，塞爾提克將繼續保有競爭力，
並且不用冒著未來沒有資薪空間在自由球員身上的風險。
…And why it probably won’t 為何這筆交易有可能失敗
If Ainge does blow it up, he would probably look for young pieces
in return for Pierce.
As these are hard to come by considering Paul’s salary,
there is probably a higher chance that the team waives him,
as only a third of Pierce’s salary is guaranteed.
就算Ainge真的砍掉重練，他或許會想利用Pierce來交易年輕的球員。
但基於Pierce的薪資考量，這個方式難度比較高。
在考慮到如果揮棄Pierce，只有30%的保證薪資，那直接揮棄Pierce相對機率大一些。
By acquiring Pierce, the Lakers would still have a major gap at the 4 spot.
While playing small is all fun and good, the team would probably still want
to start with a legit power forward. Besides,
Paul wouldn’t exactly help the Lakers’ defense, which is atrocious as it is.
網羅了Pierce，湖人依舊在四個位置上，有巨大薪資帽的問題。
而小陣容或許能帶了一些效果與樂趣，但球隊或許仍希望有一個正統大前鋒來先發。
除此之外，Pierce完全沒有辦法改善湖人隊原本就很爛的防守問題。
(*註:ESPN交易試算 http://0rz.tw/pXsqc )
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The worst part about Lakers’ situation is that they really only have a
handful of tradable contracts.
As such, it’s quite hard to find mutually beneficial deals out there.
湖人隊最糟的現況:他們只有一張稱得上有交易價值的合約當作籌碼。
因此，很難找到有能夠互利交易的機會。
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