[外絮] 巫師休賽季前瞻

看板NBA (美國籃球)作者YesBros (OldGameLover)時間2小時前 (2026/04/16 11:57)推噓22(22推 0噓 12→)

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https://tinyurl.com/bdzme9tn Keith Smith 2026.4.15 Add reinforcements for a push up the standings 招兵買馬逐鹿中原 Actual Cap Space： -$74.8M Practical Cap Space： -$71.5M Projected Luxury Tax Space： $60.6M 現有合約 (13) Leaky Black (雙向合約) Bub Carrington Justin Champagnie (非保障合約) Bilal Coulibaly Anthony Davis Kyshawn George Jaden Hardy Tre Johnson Julian Reese (雙向合約) Will Riley Alex Sarr Tristan Vukcevic Cam Whitmore 潛在自由球員 (5) Sharife Cooper (受限雙向) Anthony Gill (非受限) D'Angelo Russell (非受限PO) Jamir Watkins (受限TO) Trae Young (非受限PO) 死錢 (0)：無特例： MLE ($15M) (本球季已使用BAE) 交易特例： Kelly Olynyk ($13.4M) 預計首輪選秀權：第 1 順位續約候選人 Bilal Coulibaly (新秀續約) Anthony Davis (老將續約，自 8 月 6 日起) Jaden Hardy (老將續約，自 10 月 22 日起) Cam Whitmore (新秀續約) Trae Young (老將續約) The Washington Wizards are in an absolutely fascinating spot. They enter the lottery in the top overall spot. That comes after spending the entire season tanking to make sure that they wouldn't convey a top-eight protected first-round pick to the New York Knicks. Mission accomplished. However, unlike most teams that find themselves in position to have a high lottery pick, the Wizards are no longer deep in the rebuilding woods. Washington is positioned to move up the standings in rapid fashion next season. 巫師正處於一個絕讚的位置。他們以第一順位進入樂透抽籤，這是經過一整季擺爛以確保不會將前八順位保護的首輪籤送給尼克的結果。任務達成。然而，不同於大多數處於高順位樂透區的球隊，巫師已不再深陷重建泥淖，他們準備在下個球季迅速提升排名。 The Wizards front office has completed the tear-down phase of the roster. They've added considerable young talent over the last few drafts. Then, this season, Washington exercised some “pre-agency” by trading for Trae Young first, then Anthony Davis. The veteran combo of Davis and Young is expected to lead a young, but improving roster into playoff contention next season. As it stands today, this roster is a little shy of the talent that will take, but they've got plenty to work with to build a team that can make at least the Play-In Tournament. 巫師管理層已完成了重建階段。他們在過去幾次選秀中累積大量年輕天賦，今年球季又做了一些「前置補強」，先是交易得到 Trae Young，隨後又換來 Anthony Davis。這對老將組合將帶領這支年輕但持續進步的陣容，在下個球季衝擊季後賽。就目前情況來看，這份名單的才華雖離爭冠還差一點，但他們擁有足夠的籌碼來打造一支至少能打進附加賽的球隊。 Let's start on the sidelines. Brian Keefe took over midway through the 2023-24 season, and has shepherded an extremely young team through two-and-a-half seasons full of losses. In a lot of ways, we still don't really know what Keefe’s calling card is as a coach. No one has said that these recent Wizards teams have been extremely well-prepared, play extremely hard, run great stuff on offense, have great schemes on defense, or…well… really anything positive. That's all somewhat of a reflection on Keefe. But it's important to note that he followed the organization directives to develop the young players, while also staying at the bottom of the standings. Not exactly a great environment to evaluate a coach, but that's where the Wizards are. 讓我們先從場邊談起。Brian Keefe 於 2023-24 球季中接手，帶領這支年輕球隊走過兩個半充滿敗績的球季。在許多方面，我們仍不清楚 Keefe 作為教練的招牌特色為何。沒有人認為近期的巫師準備充分、打球拚命、進攻體系優異、防守戰術出色，或是……嗯… …任何正面的評價，這某種程度上反映了 Keefe 的執教。但必須指出的是，他遵循球團指示發展年輕球員又能同時讓排名維持在墊底。這並非評估教練的理想要素，但這就是巫師的現狀。 With Davis and Young in the fold, the Wizards are going to try to win games. Has Keefe shown enough to convince the front office, and those two veteran players, that he’s the guy to get the team into playoff contention? It’s hard to say that he has. If the Washington front office has doubts, they’re better off moving on and getting an experienced head coach to run things from the jump. It’s better than making that decision after the season starts, and the team may have lost ground in what should be a much-improved Eastern Conference. Is that rough on Keefe? Absolutely. But the situation has changed in Washington. It’s winning time, and they need a coach who the team feels can take them there. 隨著 Davis 與 Young 加入，巫師將嘗試贏下比賽，Keefe 是否能展現足夠的說服力讓管理層及這兩位老將相信他就是那個能帶領球隊衝擊季後賽的人？很難說他做到了，而如果管理層存有疑慮，最好趁現在就做出改變，找一位有經驗的總教練從頭開始掌舵。這比球季開打後才做決定更好，屆時球隊可能已在競爭激烈的東區失去先機。這對 Keefe 來說很殘酷嗎？絕對是，但球隊的情況已經改變。現在是贏球的時候了，他們需要一位能讓球隊感到可以帶領他們前進的教練。 As for the roster, the bones of a good team are here. Davis will team with Alex Sarr in a very big, athletic, versatile frontcourt. Sarr took real steps forward in his second year, as he improved in just about every phase of the game. Behind those two are unproven options like Tristan Vukcevic and Julian Reese. Both have flashed potential, but may not be ready for bigger roles just yet. After that, Washington played with a bunch of wings masquerading as bigs at times. More depth is needed here, especially given Davis’ injury history. 至於陣容部分，巫師已經具備一支好球隊的骨幹。Davis 將與 Alex Sarr 組成極具身材、運動能力與全能性的前場。Sarr 在第二年取得很大的進步，幾乎在比賽的每個階段都有所提升。在他們身後是尚未證明自己的後備軍，如 Tristan Vukcevic 與 Julian Reese。兩人都展現過潛力，但可能還沒準備好承擔更重要的角色。此外，巫師有時會用一堆側翼球員來扛禁區，這裡需要更多深度，特別是考慮到 Davis 的傷病史。 Speaking of those wings, this is a pretty deep group of mostly younger options. Kyshawn George looks like a long-term starter. Bilal Coulibaly is still full of mostly unrealized potential. That’s kind of scary, considering he’s extension-eligible this summer. (More on that later!) Will Riley and Jamir Watkins (who should have his team option picked up, unless the Wizards can work out a team-friendly deal), had good rookie seasons. And Justin Champagnie is helpful vet to have around the backend of the rotation. 提到側翼，這是一個由小鮮肉組成的深厚名單。Kyshawn George 看起來像長期的先發人選，Bilal Coulibaly 的潛力仍未兌現，考慮到他今年夏天有續約資格，這點有些令人擔憂。Will Riley 與 Jamir Watkins（除非巫師能談到一份對球隊友善的合約，否則應會執行他的球隊選項）都經歷了不錯的新秀球季。而 Justin Champagnie 則是輪替後端很有幫助的老將。 In the backcourt, Young was acquired to lead a young, but exciting group. Tre Johnson’s rookie season went about as expected. He showed a ton of offensive potential, including being completely fearless as a shooter/scorer. Bub Carrington has played every game over his first two seasons. Year 2 for Carrington saw him take a leap as a shooter, while he continued to figure out being a lead playmaker on the fly, with everchanging personnel around him. At the very least, this is a nice backcourt trio, as Carrington can play both spots next to either Young or Johnson. Jaden Hardy gives Washington another interesting player for guard depth. In addition, most of the wings can slide down and play in the backcourt. 後場方面，引進 Young 是為了帶領這群年輕且令人興奮的球員。Tre Johnson 的新秀球季表現符合預期，展現了強大的進攻潛力，作為射手和得分手毫無畏懼。Bub Carrington 在前兩個球季全勤，第二年他在投籃上有了成長，同時在身邊人員不斷變動的情況下，持續摸索如何成為一名場上指揮官。至少這是一個不錯的後場三人組， Carrington 能在 Young 或 Johnson 身邊分擔兩個後衛位置。Jaden Hardy 則為後衛深度提供了另一個有趣的選擇。此外，多數側翼也能打到後場。 All of the above means Washington can focus on taking the best player available in the draft, no matter where they land. A.J. Dybantsa would give them another wing with size and skills. Darryn Peterson would be another combo guard for the backcourt. Cam Boozer would give the team a legit power forward, who can also play the three in big lineups. If the Wizards slide in the lottery, they’ll be plenty of opportunities to add to the backcourt or to pick up an additional frontcourt player.　Another option, but not a recommended one, is to trade the pick for a win-now veteran. That’s extremely risky, as we haven’t seen how the Wizards will look with Davis and Young leading the way. But Washington should expect some calls, given they are looking to win next season and this draft is deep with top-end talent. 以上種種意味著巫師可以專注於在選秀中挑選最優秀的球員，無論最終落在第幾順位。 A.J. Dybantsa 能提供另一名具身材與技術的側翼；Darryn Peterson 會是後場的另一名雙能衛；Cam Boozer 則能為球隊帶來一名真正的強力前鋒，也能在大陣容中出任三號位。如果巫師在樂透順位下滑，仍有許多機會加強後場或前場球員。另一個選項（但並不推薦）是將選秀權交易出去，換回即戰力老將。這極具風險，因為我們還沒看過巫師在 Davis 與 Young 的帶領下會是什麼樣子。但考慮到球隊尋求下季開始贏球且本屆選秀頂端天賦深厚，他們應該會接到一些電話。 In free agency, there are decisions to be made. Washington was once in range of having $100 million in cap space. That was vaporized when the team traded for Davis and Young. Even though the Wizards didn’t pay a massive price for either All-Star, they do need to get them locked up on long-term deals to make the trades worth it. Young is the more pressing situation. The veteran point guard has a $48.9 million player option for next season that he’s widely expected to decline. Washington could ink Young to an extension before he even gets to free agency (if he declines the option), or they could re-sign him this offseason. It doesn’t seem overly likely that Young is going to test free agency by meeting with other teams, as the cap space teams aren’t great fits for his skillset and/or aren’t ready to spend that kind of money on a veteran. 在自由市場則要做出抉擇。巫師曾一度有望擁有 1 億美元的薪資空間，但在交易得到 Davis 與 Young 之後，這些空間已化為烏有。即便巫師換回這兩位明星球員的代價並非天價，他們仍需用長約鎖住兩人以確保交易物有所值。Young 的情況更為迫切。這位老將控衛明年有 $4,890 萬美元的球員選項，外界預期他會拒絕。巫師可以在他進入自由市場前續約（若他拒絕選項），或是在夏天重新換約。但 Young 似乎不太可能去測試市場，因為擁有空間的球隊與他的球風並不契合，或是還沒準備好在老將身上花這麼多錢。 However, and this is crucial, that doesn’t mean Washington should just hand Young a max deal and move onto the next decision. Right now, the Wizards have some cap and luxury tax flexibility, because they have players on rookie scale deals. But the clock is ticking on some of those players and they’ll be on new contracts before you know it. Giving Young a max, along with Davis (more in a moment!), makes for a very expensive team when players like Sarr, George, Carrington and Coulibaly are on new deals. The negotiations will probably start with Young looking for a max, because he’s coming off a max deal. Washington doesn’t want to mess around too much, because they did trade for the All-Star point guard to have him long-term. A max contract isn’ t the smart play, but re-signing Young to something like five years, $200 million would be a smart play. The Wizards could even frontload that deal, so it becomes less expensive as the other deals kick in. A deal starting at $47.5 million next season would finish at $32.3 million, which should be plenty large enough for Young to extend off of in the future. 然而（這很關鍵），這並不代表巫師應該直接送上一份頂薪合約。目前巫師擁有一些薪資與奢侈稅彈性，因為他們有許多新秀合約。但這些球員的時鐘正在滴答作響，很快他們就會進入續約階段。當 Sarr、George、Carrington 與 Coulibaly 都換新約時，給 Young 和 Davis 頂薪將使球隊造價極其昂貴。談判可能會從 Young 要求頂薪開始，因為他剛結束一份頂薪合約。巫師應該不想拖太久，因為交易來這位明星控衛就是為了長期擁有他。給他頂薪並非明智之舉，但以五年 2 億美元左右續約會是聰明的做法。巫師甚至可以考慮談遞減合約，使球隊在其他球員新約生效時降低薪資負擔。一份下季從 $4,750 萬美元起跳的合約，最後一年降至 $3,230 萬美元，這對 Young 未來的再續約也留有足夠空間。 As for Davis, he’s extension-eligible this summer. That deal would start with the 2027-28 season, when Davis turns 35 years old. Moreso than with Young, age and injury history are factors here. If Davis and his reps are insistent than an extension gets done, and that was the buzz around the trade deadline, Washington should look to do something similar to what we suggested with Young. Start the deal high and have it decline year-to-year. $221 million over four years, starting at the $62.8 million player option Davis would decline, makes sense. If the All-Star big man insists on a straight max extension, the Wizards should hold firm and see how things look into next season. They can always go back to Davis in-season and re-open extension talks then. 至於 Davis，他今年有續約資格，續約將從 2027-28 球季開始，屆時 Davis 將滿 35 歲。比起 Young，年齡與傷病史在談判中更具影響力。如果 Davis 及其團隊堅持完成續約（交易截止日時已有此傳聞），巫師應考慮類似 Young 的談判方案：遞減合約。一份四年 2.21 億美元、從 Davis 可能拒絕的 $6,280 萬美元球員選項年起跳的合約是合理的。如果這位明星長人堅持要頂薪，巫師應守住立場，觀察下個球季的情況再說。他們隨時可以在季中重啟談判。 Bilal Coulibaly and Cam Whitmore are both eligible to sign rookie scale extensions. Whitmore isn’t going to get extended, after he missed most of the season with a venous condition. Whitmore also wasn’t fitting in great prior to having to be shutdown for the season. With a lot of other forwards on the roster, Washington won’t lock into long-term money for Whitmore. Coulibaly is in a far trickier situation. There’s a ton of raw talent there, but his improvement has come very slowly over his first three NBA seasons. Coulibaly is also being pressed by the presence of other young wings on the roster. Unless Washington can get him on a fairly team-friendly extension, they should hold off. At that point, Coulibaly may be best to bet on himself and then to look to get paid the following summer. Bilal Coulibaly 與 Cam Whitmore 都有資格續新秀約。Whitmore 在因靜脈疾病缺席大部分球季後將不會獲得續約，且在缺陣前他也沒有非常融入。由於陣中還有許多前鋒，球隊不會給他長約。Coulibaly 處境則更尷尬。他有天賦，但前三個球季進步非常慢，同時他也得面臨陣中其他年輕側翼的競爭壓力。除非他能以對球隊非常友善的價格續約，否則巫師應該會先觀望。Coulibaly 最好選擇賭一把，爭取在明年夏天拿到大約。 Of the Wizards actual free agents this summer, they only have a couple. We covered Trae Young above. Jamir Watkins can either do a long-term, team-friendly deal this summer or Washington can keep him for $2.1 million then make Watkins a restricted free agent in 2027. D’Angelo Russell is highly likely to opt in for the $5.9 million he’s owed. That’ll make his contract a nice chunk of salary-matching in trade for Washington. Anthony Gill is an unrestricted free agent, and he’s well-liked by the Wizards. If there’s a roster spot, don’t be surprised if Gill is back on a veteran minimum deal. He’s not a free agent, but Washington will bring back Justin Champagnie on his non-guaranteed contract. 今年夏天，球隊名單中即將成為自由球員的人並不多。Trae Young 如上所述。Jamir Watkins 可以選擇在今夏簽下一份長期的友善合約，巫師也或許會以 $210 萬美元留他一年，讓他在 2027 年成為受限自由球員。D'Angelo Russell 極有可能執行 $590 萬美元的球員選項，這會使他的合約成為不錯的薪資包。Anthony Gill 是非受限自由球員且深受球隊喜愛，如果名單有空缺，看到他底薪回歸不必意外。雖然 Justin Champagnie 不是自由球員，但巫師將帶回他那份非保障合約。 If Young is back on something that’s even above $45 million, that should still leave Washington in range of being able to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE. That’s $15 million in spending power to add another veteran or two to aid in the playoff push. Adding frontcourt and backcourt depth are the priorities. Using the NTMLE would hard-cap the Wizards at the first apron, but that’s not an issue, as they probably aren’t going to exceed the luxury tax next season. 即便 Young 回歸的起薪高於 $4,500 萬美元，巫師應該仍有全額中產（MLE）可用，可再簽下一兩名老將衝擊季後賽。增強前場與後場深度是首要任務。使用 MLE 將使巫師鎖定在第一層硬上限，但這不是問題，因為他們下季高機率不會超過稅線。 The Washington Wizards front office was refreshingly candid when they took over. They knew this was going to take some time, considering the roster they inherited was bloated with bad contracts and didn’t have much young talent. Three years in, the Wizards are ready to start moving back up. They’ve got the ability to lock in a solid roster this offseason, but Washington has to be careful with how they do so. Otherwise, in a few years, we could end up right back where we were when this current rebuild started. 巫師管理層在接手時展現了令人耳目一新的做法。他們知道這需要時間，因為繼承的陣容滿是爛約又缺乏年輕天賦。三年後，巫師已準備好重回上升軌道。他們有能力在夏天固定下陣容，但必須謹慎行事，否則幾年後可能會回到重建起點。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 42.72.153.31 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1776311877.A.0BB.html

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