[數據] Lakers v.s. Grizzlies 犯規戰報+3月月報

看板NBAEasyChat作者TimmyWendell (流浪提米)時間3天前 (2025/03/30 19:52)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)

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本月最後一天簡單統整看是否有相關趨勢 = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = 正文開始 = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = 本系列文章主旨為統計賭盤賠率與裁判賽中吹判是否有關聯性以下資料皆以湖人為第一視角勝負盤[-110] 讓分盤[+1.5][-115] 大小分盤[Over 237.5][-115] TimeLeft Diff FoulTeam Type Ref Q1 11:41 +0 Grizzlies SF J.DeRosa 10:16 +2 Lakers SF J.DeRosa 08:03 +1 Grizzlies OFF M.Dagher 06:23 +2 Lakers LBF T.Ford 05:02 +6 Lakers PF M.Dagher 04:43 +5 Grizzlies SF T.Ford 03:47 +3 Grizzlies PF M.Dagher 02:16 +6 Grizzlies SF J.DeRosa 00:02 +11 Lakers OFF J.DeRosa Q2 11:15 +9 Grizzlies PF T.Ford 09:35 +17 Grizzlies OFF M.Dagher 08:55 +18 Grizzlies PF T.Ford 07:28 +17 Lakers SF M.Dagher 06:45 +14 Lakers SF J.DeRosa 06:37 +14 Grizzlies PF T.Ford 05:23 +9 Lakers SF T.Ford 04:58 +6 Grizzlies SF J.DeRosa 03:24 +12 Grizzlies SF M.Dagher 03:13 +13 Lakers PF T.Ford Q3 11:40 +11 Lakers SF T.Ford 10:07 +4 Grizzlies PF M.Dagher 08:10 +2 Grizzlies PF J.DeRosa 07:57 +4 Grizzlies SF M.Dagher 07:29 +7 Lakers SF J.DeRosa 07:19 +5 Lakers OFF T.Ford 06:57 +5 Lakers SF M.Dagher 05:48 +7 Lakers PF M.Dagher 05:23 +5 Grizzlies PF J.DeRosa 03:33 +9 Grizzlies OFF M.Dagher 03:25 +9 Lakers OFF M.Dagher 02:21 +9 Grizzlies PF J.DeRosa 01:49 +7 Lakers OFF M.Dagher 01:39 +7 Lakers PF M.Dagher 00:18 +4 Grizzlies T T.Ford 00:02 +3 Lakers SF J.DeRosa Q4 10:29 -1 Grizzlies SF M.Dagher 08:02 -2 Lakers PF J.DeRosa 07:07 +0 Grizzlies SF J.DeRosa 06:28 +0 Grizzlies PF T.Ford 05:03 +5 Grizzlies LBF T.Ford 04:31 +5 Lakers SF T.Ford 03:24 +3 Grizzlies SF T.Ford 03:07 +5 Lakers SF M.Dagher 02:48 +4 Grizzlies LBF T.Ford 01:21 +8 Grizzlies SF T.Ford 00:33 +7 Grizzlies PF M.Dagher 00:25 +6 Grizzlies PTF M.Dagher 00:12 +6 Grizzlies PTF J.DeRosa 00:09 +7 Lakers PTF M.Dagher Lakers Opp 犯規(Total) 21 28 技術(含防守3秒) 0 1 惡意 0 0 SF 10 10 PTF 1 2 其他 10 15 裁判響哨次數 J.DeRosa 6 8 M.Dagher 9 10 T.Ford 6 10 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 賭盤過沒過讓分盤 48 1 = = = = = = = 小辭典 = = = = = = = T: Technical foul T Def: Defensive 3 sec violation PF: Personal foul SF: Shooting foul LBF: Loose ball foul OFF F: Offensive foul F1: Flagrant foul type 1 PTF: Personal take foul = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = * 黃字黑底代表新增的數據月報從 3/17 ~ 3/30 湖人共打了9場比賽 9場的犯規次數總和為347次 9場中讓分盤只過了4場(太陽、馬刺、金塊、灰熊) 太陽馬刺金塊公鹿公牛魔術溜馬公牛灰熊讓分(湖讓為-) -2.5 -8.5 -5.5 +8.5 -9.5 -3.5 -1.5 -4.5 +1.5 最後分差 +11 +16 +12 -29 -31 -12 +1 -2 +7 在讓分盤已過的情況下共響哨248次，沒過的情況為99次響哨次數滿懸殊的大約是1.5倍的差距然而，這數據有一個盲點這幾場中有滿多大分差的比賽，可能會使極端值增加因此後續分析可能得設定一定分差範圍的比賽以減少誤差未來確定會把大小分拿掉因為大小分的賠率都不高，幾乎都落在 -105 ~ -115之間加上裁判響哨多數情況都是會增加分數包含吹判罰球、犯規麻煩讓防守變鬆等情形所以我認為大小分應該不太容易操控達成經過這次的整理發現有很多細節沒有考慮未來會先停刊，先理清還需要甚麼數據方便統計或是看出實際的影響就目前整理的數據看來，要說裁判因為賭盤而控分證據依舊不足感謝收看 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 36.231.64.114 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBAEasyChat/M.1743335532.A.F2F.html ※ 編輯: TimmyWendell (36.231.64.114 臺灣), 03/30/2025 19:52:31 ※ 編輯: TimmyWendell (36.231.64.114 臺灣), 03/30/2025 19:53:07