[爛譯]Offseason Notebook: Free-Agent Impact …

看板NBA_Fantasy (夢幻NBA)作者JAY049 (兔毛螺布莉組的兔!!)時間17年前 (2007/07/25 16:38)推噓15(15推 0噓 1→)

留言16則, 6人參與討論串1/1

Brian McKitish特稿，本人虎爛翻譯一下大意^^" 原稿出處: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/fba/story?page=nbanb720 Before we get into this week's free-agency news, we'll have to touch on the Ron Artest and Stephen Jackson suspensions. Both Jackson and Artest will be forced to sit out the first seven games of the 2007-08 season due to their legal issues a year ago. This won't really have much of a fantasy impact, but with the way professional sports is headed (with lengthy suspensions becoming the norm), it's certainly important to keep an eye not just on those who repeatedly find themselves in legal trouble off the court, but also on those who have a history of creating problems on the court. 在討論這禮拜有關自由球員的消息前，我們先來看看阿泰跟醜臉的禁賽問題，他們都因為一年前的法庭訴訟案而必須被禁賽五場，就FB來說，這當然不是很嚴重的問題但從這點可以看出近年來NBA的一個傾向，讓我們不只是看到這些老在場外惹事的人也要看到常在球場內惹麻煩的一些球員。 (小結:阿泰跟醜臉都會先禁賽五場，不要忘記) The way I see it, we have to start looking at these players the same way we look at those who present a serious injury risk. David Stern is trying to clean up the image of the NBA, and that means we can expect to see even more lengthy suspensions over the next few years. The Carmelo Anthony suspension last year is a perfect example. I mean, come on, he got 15 games for that? A few years back, that was just your regular run-of-the-mill NBA fight, but now it makes the list of the NBA's longest suspensions. Now more than ever, we need to weigh the risk and reward before deciding to take a chance on a legally troubled star like Artest or Jackson, or a locker room problem like Steve Francis or Zach Randolph. 就我看來，我們必須用一樣的標準來看待麻煩鬼與大病號，史騰一直在努力改善NBA給人們的觀感，也就是說在可預期的狀況下，禁賽的標準會越來越嚴苛，Melo就是一個很適當的例子，他去年被判了有史以來最長的15禁賽，但那值得15場嘛?在以前的話那根本只是一件很小咖的爭吵罷了，現在卻判罰這麼長，所以捏，我們不只是要評估那些大病號的價值，也要小心的選擇一些麻煩鬼，像是阿泰、醜臉(法律訴訟)，或是小法、軟豆腐(更衣間麻煩) (小結:要注意現在禁賽一禁都很長低，大家要小心喔XD) Free Agency: Fantasy Impact I'll be honest, I hate what the Portland Trail Blazers are doing this year. Now, before you whip out your cyber pen and rip into me, realize that I'm looking at this solely from a fantasy perspective. Real-life Blazers fans must be ecstatic; they've rid themselves of the team's biggest locker room cancer (Z-Bo) and added a bunch of emerging talent, but I look at this roster with an eye on fantasy and I see a team that will struggle to find playing time for all of its talented youngsters. General manager Kevin Pritchard is acquiring talent in waves, but where the heck is he going to play all these guys? I think I got sick when I saw that the Blazers, of all people, were able to nab Steve Blake in free agency. That's a total waste of a few potential fantasy sleepers right there. Blake could have had some nice value had he landed with say Miami or Cleveland, but in Portland, he'll have to share time with Jarrett Jack and Sergio Rodriguez. I was all set to tab Sergio as a deep sleeper this season, but I can't see him having much value now. It's possible that Jack could be on the trading block, but even if that happens, we'll still be looking at a time-share situation at the point guard position in Portland. As if the crowded point guard situation wasn't enough, the Blazers also re-signed Travis Outlaw (who oozes upside) earlier this week. Outlaw is still just 22 years old, and to give you an idea of his pure talent, he would have easily been a top-10 selection if he were in this year's draft. The problem for Outlaw will be the same problem he's been facing his entire career: playing time. Right now, he could start at the small forward position, but there's plenty of competition in the form of Martell Webster and, to a smaller extent, James Jones. My biggest concern is that Nate McMillan may be tempted to slide Brandon Roy over to small forward in certain situations in order to make room for all the quality point guards on his roster. Outlaw can also play a little power forward, so that helps, but that situation is just as crowded with LaMarcus Aldridge and Channing Frye around. I'm going to love watching Portland games this year, but I'm not sure I'll be loving the Blazers' fantasy prospects outside of Roy, Aldridge and Greg Oden. FA的影響:從FB的角度來看老實說，我今年實在很不爽拓荒者，在你按下2噓我之前，請了解到我是從FB的角度才有這個看法的，現實中拓迷應該會很爽他們終於送走軟豆腐又找回這麼多有天分的球員，但我就是不爽這點，有可能讓這些人全部都有發揮空間嘛? 簽下Blake讓我龜X趴會都燒起來了，是這樣的，如果Blake去騎士、熱火都會有很好的發展，現在只好跟Jarrett Jack與Sergio一起瓜分上場時間，我曾把Sergio設定為最值得期待的球員了，但現在就算Jack被交易走，我也不會這麼認為了，Blake 將是Sergio發光發熱的障礙。除了控球的問題以外，拓荒者又成功留下了Outlaw，他到底有多好呢，我要提到一點，他今年也就22歲，如果他今年投入選秀隨便也是前十順位，這樣你們懂了吧ㄎㄎ，但Outlaw的問題也一樣，SF的位置還有Webster、James Jones，我又很擔心教練麥克米蘭會不時讓Roy打SF以發揮後場的優勢，好吧，就算Outlaw可以打PF又怎樣呢?拓荒者PF會缺人嘛?他還不是要跟Aldridge、Frye一起搶PF位置，所以今年我會很喜歡看拓荒者比賽，但是除了Oden、Aldridge、Roy以外，我大概都不會選了。 (小結:拓荒者除了Oden、Aldridge、Roy以外都不要太樂觀，會沒時間上場) With Steve Blake gone, the Denver Nuggets went searching for a point guard, and found their man in veteran Chucky Atkins. Atkins is still a fringe fantasy player, but he should be able to knock down a few 3-pointers and dish out a few assists as the potential starting point guard in Denver. Signing Atkins will allow the Nuggets to move Allen Iverson over to shooting guard, but although Atkins may bring the ball up the court, he won't have the rock in his hands often with AI and Melo around. Atkins may also lose some time to J.R. Smith, but we'll have to see how J.R. responds after a tumultuous offseason before making that claim. That said, I'll still be looking for Atkins in the last few rounds as a 3-point specialist this season. I'm not really sure why the Sacramento Kings felt the need to go out and get another big man through free agency. Mikki Moore had a very nice season for the Nets in 2006-07, but he's a role player at best, and the Kings already have a logjam in their frontcourt. With Brad Miller, Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Kenny Thomas, Corliss Williamson, Spencer Hawes, and my personal favorite, Justin Williams, all in the mix, it's hard to imagine any one player having significant value. Injuries have made Miller a shell of his former self, and no other player in that frontcourt can really separate himself from the rest of the pack. Unless there are some trades or injuries, it's looking like the minutes will have to be spread out, which is the worst news any fantasy player could hear. Crowding seems to be the theme of the day as I've just gotten word that Steve Francis (or as I like to call him, the artist formerly known as the Franchise) has signed with the Houston Rockets. So not only do the Rockets now have Rafer Alston, Luther Head, Mike James and Aaron Brooks (who was sick in Vegas by the way), but now they have Francis too. How many point guards does one team need? Honestly, this situation isn't even worth discussing at this point of the offseason. There has to be a trade looming somewhere in the distance, and if not, we'll have to see how this situation plays out in preseason action. 金塊找來了Atkins來彌補Blake留下來的空缺，Atkins是一個偶有三分與助攻的老兵，他來了以後可以讓小愛去打SG的位置，可是Atkins的球風應該是不會在Melo與小愛之間討到任何便宜，而且也要看J.R Smith的狀況，所以我應該會在最後幾輪考慮撿Atkins起來彌補三分球。看沒有、看沒有啊?我看沒有國王為什麼還需要透過交易去找來大個子球員啊 Moore去年在籃網表現的很好，但他最好還是乖乖當個綠葉球員會比較好，攤開一看，國王的前場已經有各式兵種:大米、Rahim、Kenny Thomas、Williamson 、Hawes還有我最愛的Justin Williams，我沒辦法想像還會有什麼球員可以帶來更好的改變，就算大米因為受傷而退化，又有什麼球員能站在這些球員之上打出一片天呢?除非有人受傷或交易，否則就FB角度來說這實在是很慘的一個現象。人滿為患的現象也發生在火箭隊身上，自從小法加入火箭以後，火箭總共有Alston Head、Mike James跟不錯的新人Brooks，一個球隊到底需要幾個控球啊? 老實說，現在討論這個情形實在是太早了，畢竟距離開季還有一段時間，但如果沒交易開打後這問題就會很難橋了。 I'd much rather talk about Houston's "other" big move this week, acquiring European star Luis Scola. Playing for Euroleague powerhouse Tau Ceramica, Scola put up 15.5 points, 5.9 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocks while shooting 57.6 percent from the floor and 70.3 percent from the line in 26.3 minutes per game in 2006-07. He should step in and start immediately at the power forward spot, and he's already got a fan in head coach Rick Adelman, who is ecstatic about the power forward's off-ball movement and passing skills. The addition of Scola will be a big blow to Chuck Hayes, who was looking like a very nice sleeper after his impressive second half last season. I was just thinking that this offseason hasn't really produced many fantasy "winners" through free agency. Other than Darko Milicic, I was struggling to find a player who really benefited from any of the free-agent moves thus far. That was, until Morris Peterson agreed to terms with the New Orleans Hornets, of course. Mo Pete will immediately step in as the starting shooting guard, and with his range, he'll undoubtedly benefit from Chris Paul's ability to penetrate and dish. The fact that Peja Stojakovic's health will still be a question -- I know he's apparently healthy, but I'm not one who likes to gamble with severe back injuries -- makes Peterson all the more attractive. Look for a big bounce-back year from Peterson with averages of 15 points, 1.7 3s and 1.2 steals looking like realistic projections. 來談談火箭今年的另外一個"大"變化:簽下歐洲第一PF的Scola，Scola在歐洲打球的成績相當不錯，上場26.3分鐘可以拿下約15分6籃板的成績，尤其在命中率方面相當傑出(57.3% 70.3%)他到火箭之後真的應該馬上打先發PF才對，尤其對Adelman 這麼一個喜歡大前鋒會傳球與走位的教練來說，雖然Hayes去年季末表現不錯，但Scola應該更值得期待。今年幾筆交易看來，實在沒有幾個人因交易而在FB中受惠的，除了Darko到灰熊以外，就屬Mo-P到黃蜂這一筆交易最有可看性。 Mo-P應該會馬上打先發SG的位置，他的射程會讓Paul在切入時又更多傳球的選擇，我知道Peja今年有健康化的趨勢，但是我絕對不會賭在一個背部多處嚴重受傷的球員身上，因此我覺得Mo-P應該會打得比去年成績更為出色。 (小結:選Scloa不要選Hayes，選Mo-P與Paul不要選Peja ><) For the first time since Kenyon Martin left, the Nets will finally have some presence and muscle in their frontcourt. First, they took a gamble on Sean Williams in the draft, then they went out and signed former All-Star Jamaal Magloire. Magloire averaged just 6.5 points, 6.1 boards and 0.8 blocks with the Trail Blazers last season, but then again, he only saw 21.1 minutes of action per game. His numbers were much better as a starter, when he averaged 27.3 minutes while putting up 8.5 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in 23 starts. Magloire isn't too light on his feet, and he may have a tough time keeping up with the fast pace of the NBA, but he can still be a useful commodity for boards and blocks. Despite my optimism, there are still plenty of concerns when it comes to Magloire's fantasy value. His signing prompted this discussion with my colleague at the TalentedMrRoto.com, Guy Lake: 籃網終於在馬丁走了以後又再度建立了肌肉軍團，現在他們有Sean Williams (選秀會中睹來的)而且又透過交易找到了前全明星的馬個肉，馬個肉去年表現其實頗爛的，但是別忘了考慮到他上場的時間只有21.1分鐘，一旦上場時間增加他的績效爬升的相當明顯。馬個肉的速度讓他在籃網快速的球風中相當吃虧(搶下籃板~跑過半場~~~X!又要回防了) 不過他在火鍋籃板上的幫助不小，不知道是不是我太樂觀，我跟我的同事Guy Lake 因為他的加入而有了一段對話。下面都是老外的MSN對話就不翻譯了，主要是Lake相當不以為然，他認為馬個肉的手不只是奶油手可以形容，他根本是螺絲釘機器手，堪稱失誤界的魔術師與掉球天王而作者不這麼認為，他認為馬個肉的進攻很爛沒錯，可是在籃網這麼複雜的進攻戰術中，他應該沒什麼機會摸球，當然也不會失誤與罰球啊， (你真的是太樂觀了，木桶伯偶而都要僵屍勾射了) 以上，獻給球季前嚴重缺水的FB版 ^_^ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.131.86.65 ※ 編輯: JAY049 來自: 220.131.86.65 (07/25 16:42)