[爛譯]Offseason Notebook: Jefferson, Foye a …

看板NBA_Fantasy (夢幻NBA)作者JAY049 (兔毛螺布莉組的兔!!)時間17年前 (2007/08/08 03:55)推噓12(12推 0噓 0→)

留言12則, 3人參與討論串1/1

Offseason Notebook: Jefferson, Foye and Lakers point guards By Brian McKitish Special to ESPN.com 來源網址: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/fba/story?page=nbanb803 重點:我不配色了，我是配色界的白癡。 I wrote a fantasy spin piece on the Kevin Garnett trade earlier in the week, but I want to elaborate more now that we've had a few days to let the news settle in. The more I think about it, the more I am convinced that Al Jefferson is going to be a stud with his new club in Minnesota. Not only will he be ultra-motivated, but he'll also be looking to build on the momentum of his stellar second half last season. Just look at his numbers in the final few months last season: 19.8 points, 11.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks and 0.7 steals while shooting 55.4 percent from the floor (but just 67.7 percent from the line). Really, there weren't too many big men who outproduced Big Al in the second half last season. He compared favorably to almost any name you want to throw out there. He matured in front of our eyes, and at just 22 years old, he'll only grow from here. The fact that he'll be the main scoring option in Minnesota and one of the only real forces on the boards makes him all the more attractive in fantasy leagues. There's only one thing that really concerns me here, and that's his weak free-throw percentage. Big Al will be looked to a lot on the offensive end this season, and that probably means he'll be going to the free-throw line more often. Opposing defenders will quickly learn that Jefferson is a force to be reckoned with, and with his quickness and wide array of post moves, I'm sure they'll be fouling him more often. Hopefully he can improve that aspect of his game over the summer, but I wouldn't expect anything higher than 69 percent from the line on the year. That said, for the kind of stats he is going to provide, I'll live with his poor free-throw percentage; there aren't many big guys that can hit their free throws anyway. 我先前就曾針對這筆交易寫過一篇文章來討論，但是到了今天，我想利用一些新的訊息來繼續討論這筆交易帶來的影響(從FB觀點XD) 我越想越確定，歐!傑佛森今年一定會猛到不行，光是看他去年後半段的表現: 19.8分、11.2籃板、1.8火鍋、0.7抄截還有55.4%的投籃命中率，雖然罰球很爛只有67.7%而已，可是想想，聯盟中也沒有幾個大個子可以拿出這種成績了，而且他才22歲，這孩子..還在長大啊!!，他會成為灰狼明年最重要的得分手段明年一定要在FB選他一下啊~ 可是，我還是很擔心他的罰球命中率，隨著他得到的攻擊機會增多，以他優異的禁區身手、擋不住的活動範圍，我想防守者會有更多時間寧願送他上罰球線而懶得陪他東轉身西勾射的，希望他這段期間有好好改善他的罰球，我想他應該會的，但是我覺得歐!傑佛森明年罰球應該不會高於69%， (也就是說才從67.7變成69，而且罰球次數又變多)，如果選他就要代表著罰球成為你這隊的問題，畢竟罰球準的大個子不多，你不是每次都有辦法靠其他人來挽救罰球，罰的又多又準的人也不是那麼多。 (結論:歐!傑佛森明年看好，但是他的罰球會很慘，因為他會罰的又多又不準，慘!) After his play impressive summer-league play in 2006, Randy Foye was scooped up as a sleeper in almost every fantasy league. Foye's rookie season, however, was a disappointing and frustrating experience for fantasy owners; he received inconsistent (and sometimes nonexistent) minutes throughout the year. Everyone knew he had the talent to produce, all he needed was the minutes. This year he'll get them, as the Wolves are clearly in rebuilding mode. So what kind of numbers can we expect from the former Villanova Wildcat? Foye started just 12 games in 2006-07, and in those games he averaged a solid, but unspectacular 12.8 points, 4.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 0.9 steals and 1.4 3-pointers in 29.3 minutes per game. I think Foye can do better than that, especially since he'll be a full-time starter who will probably play at least 33 minutes per game. Add in the departure of KG, which will increase Foye's assists and points, and we have ourselves a very nice breakout candidate. My projections? I'm thinking something very similar to what Brandon Roy did last season. Let's say 15-16 points, 4-5 rebounds, 5 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.4 3-pointers while shooting at least 84 percent from the line. Not too shabby, not too shabby at all. 由於06年夏季聯盟的表現優異，大家對FOYE的表現都相當期待，但總結來說卻是失望的，所以去年FB有選他的，應該都罵到不行吧，去年FOYE的上場時間相當不穩定，有時候甚至沒上場，每個人都知道FOYE很有天分，他需要的是時間來磨練，今年，灰狼進入重建狀態，FOYE的時間會相當多，那麼他到底會表現的多好呢? 去年僅有的12場先發球賽中，FOYE的表現是12.8分、4.4籃板、4.2助攻、0.9抄截、每場1.4個三分球，平均上場29.3分鐘，我想FOYE今年會表現的比這些數字更好尤其當他成為一個固定的先發控球以後，可能每場最少可打33分鐘，也可能KG離開的效應而有更出色的演出(尤其助攻跟得分)，如果你們一定要問我的看法，唉那我講一下好了，我先給個暗示好了...噗你們等一下咩，我想拓荒者的ROY可以拿來當參考，所以捏，我想應該有個十五、六分，四、五個助攻籃板，1.1抄截，1.4三分球，罰球也應該不錯，來個84%的準度應該不算過分的要求，這樣的後衛不只是個廖化吧，科科。 (今年預估FOYE會在得分上大有長進，其他數據會小幅度上爬，可是這樣的數據是從12場變成82場喔!) Not that you aren't already aware, but the new Big Three in Boston will be quite formidable on the offensive end. As I said earlier in the week, three superstars on the same team can coexist fantasy-wise. There might be a slight drop-off in scoring for each player, but it will only be minor. I can't remember the last time a team had three 20-point scorers in the same season, but I think it will happen in Boston this year. Here's why: Not only do the Celtics have limited scoring options outside of the Big Three -- Rajon Rondo may be able to put up 10 points per game, but that's about it -- but opposing teams won't be able to double-team anyone. Boston's opposition will have to play defense straight up, which will be a problem for almost any team in the league. Garnett's passing skills in the post will open up shots for everyone, and that will lead to better-than-usual shooting percentages for both Ray Allen and Paul Pierce. Allen and Pierce have one other thing going for them: they are so used to having the opponents' best defender draped all over them. That won't be the case this season; now opponents will have to choose whom to try to shut down on any given night. 雖然什麼都還不知道，但是波士頓的三槍牌一定會是比賽時相當強的進攻點(廢話XD) 我曾經說過，同一隊有三個王牌都很強的狀況，大概只有FB才可能會發生，因為三人行必有損失焉啊...不懂嘛?是說三個人會互相搶球，讓彼此表現機會變少雖然我已經不記得有哪隊同時有三個人平均得分超過20分，但是我覺得明年的波士頓很有可能會出現這種盛況。我甚至這麼認為，波士頓雖然進攻多半由這三個人來執行，但是別忘這麼一來敵人哪敢包夾其中一個呢?另外再想像一下:一但KG要位拿到球以後，憑他在灰狼當大王多年而學來的純熟傳球技術，他可以隨時把球傳給任何有空擋的隊友，當RAY跟PAUL拿到球的時候，嘿嘿嘿，他們所面對的不是包夾、不是敵方最強悍的防守者那得分不是更輕鬆嘛?我覺得不光是其他兩槍，Rondo搞不好都有單場平均10分的實力。 (小結:波士頓的三槍不會造成互害，因為KG的分球觀念太好了，又會分散對方的防守，我覺得東區的太陽隊出現了XD) Quick Hits 快速安打 ‧ After the trade, the Celtics went out and signed Eddie House to help bolster their nonexistent bench. House will be a nice role player for the Celtics, helping to spell Allen and Rondo, but barring any injuries, he won't have any fantasy value. 交易後波士頓又簽了House來撐住快要消失的板凳，House其實跑跑龍套還不錯，但是除非有人受傷，否則不要在FB選他。 ‧ The Miami Heat addressed their lack of point guard depth by signing free agent Smush Parker, formerly of the Los Angeles Lakers. I like Parker in Miami, but he will have to battle with Jason Williams for the starting point guard job. It's likely that the two will split time initially, and that, in turn, will hurt the value of both. Of the two, I like Parker's prospects a little better, and I think he earns more minutes (if only to try to keep J-Will healthy for most of the year). With that in mind, Parker should still be a decent fantasy role player as he'll likely average a steal and a three per game. 熱火為了補足很缺的控球深度而找來了湖人的Parker，我很喜歡熱火這個選擇， Parker會跟J Will一起爭奪先發控球的位置，或是兩人各分享一半的時間我比較建議選Paeker，因為J Will的健康也不是一天兩天的事情了 Parker會是個在三分、抄截不錯的FB選擇 ‧ Parker's departure means that either Derek Fisher, Jordan Farmar or Javaris Crittenton will take over as the starting point guard in Los Angeles. Crittenton is the future, but he's just a rookie, and I don't see playing too much in his first season. Farmar showed the ability to hit some 3s and create some steals in limited minutes last year, and he certainly has upside now that Parker is gone. Unfortunately, I think Fisher will be the starter from Day 1. He knows the system, and frankly, he's better than Farmar -- at least at this point in their careers. The last time Fisher entered the year as a starter was 2002-03 when he averaged 10.5 points, 3.6 assists, 1.1 steals and 1 3-pointers per game for the Lakers. Now that he's back and starting again, I could see him putting up somewhat similar numbers. 回頭看湖人，現在有三個人可以是湖人的控球選擇，我想JC應該是拿來養的，他只是個一年生，Farmer去年在有限的時間內展現了他在抄截、三分的天分，可是，我想這先發控球的位子應該是Fisher的，他對整個系統很了解，最後一年在湖人他繳出了 10.5分 3.6助攻 1.1抄截每場1個三分球的成績，我想他今年也會差不多就這成績了。 ‧ Uh-oh. Chris Bosh is still feeling some pain in his right foot after battling with plantar fasciitis for most of last season. I'm not too worried yet -- he still has plenty of time to recover -- but the lingering pain is not a good sign. Especially given that Bosh has missed 12 games or more in each of the last two seasons. Let's keep an eye on this as the summer progresses. 歐耨(放?)，去年的腳傷還是讓現在的Bosh覺得很痛，雖然我還不是很擔心這點，他還有很多時間去療傷，但是怎漾，就是傷不好還是會讓人不放心，尤其過去兩年他都因為此傷最少缺賽了12場，我們再繼續觀望吧科科。 FB版快復活啊XD!!王建民明天要贏啊!! -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.131.66.110 ※ 編輯: JAY049 來自: 220.131.66.110 (08/08 04:28)