[情報] Sporting News 2009 Mets preview
New York Mets preview
The Mets want -- no, need -- to figure out a way to get back to the postseason.
They have to atone for two consecutive September collapses, as well as the
lasting image of Carlos Beltran taking a knee-buckling curveball from Adam
Wainwright in an NLCS loss that ended their run toward the 2006 World Series.
THREE QUESTIONS
1. Should there be concern about the corner outfield spots?
When a team has established stars such as Carlos Beltran, Jose Reyes, David
Wright and Carlos Delgado in the lineup, it's natural to wonder about guys such
as Daniel Murphy, Ryan Church and Fernando Tatis manning important positions.
Especially when there were more proven run producers available at those
positions on the free agent market for bargain prices (outfielder Bobby Abreu
for $5 million, for example).
Manager Jerry Manuel made a somewhat surprising move when he named Murphy the
starter in left field early in spring training; most expected him to platoon
with Tatis, who will now back up at both corner outfield spots and also play a
little third base if needed. Church, who battled concussion problems most of
last season but says he is healthy, is the starter in right. Murphy, a
13th-round pick in 2006, has hit .313 in 131 at-bats for the Mets. Tatis, who
entered the 2008 season with only 56 at-bats in the majors since 2004, hit .297
with 11 homers last season. Church finished at .276 with 12 homers in 90 games.
2. How important are the additions of relievers Francisco Rodriguez and J.J.
Putz?
Heading into the offseason, the most glaring weakness in all of baseball was
the Mets' bullpen. The team blew 29 save opportunities in 2008 (including 12 in
August/September), and with Billy Wagner out for the season following Tommy
John surgery, they had no viable in-house options for the late innings. General
manager Omar Minaya delivered the most emphatic 1-2 punch of the offseason by
signing K-Rod to a three-year deal and completing a three-team trade to land
Putz as his setup man.
Both have had extended stretches of dominance as a closer, and having both
available for the late innings should do wonders for the team's overall
confidence. After back-to-back September collapses, that confidence should be
huge.
3. Can the Mets avoid another late-season swoon?
These Mets will be fun to watch throughout the 2009 campaign. They'll feature
the speedy Reyes, the powerful Wright, the five-tool Beltran, the
record-setting Rodriguez and the ace lefty Johan Santana. They'll win a bunch
of games and spend the first five months in/near first place in the N.L. East.
But none of that really will matter. The Mets have been very good for the first
five months of the past two seasons, but they've watched the postseason from
home each time.
What matters is the final month of the regular season. The last regular season
game is at home against Houston on Oct. 4. Will there be champagne flowing, or
heads hanging in defeat (as there have been the past two seasons)? There's no
reason to expect another failed final month this year, but there were no reason
to expect those types of slumps the past two seasons, either.
PROJECTED LINEUP
1. SS Jose Reyes.
Manuel wouldn't really drop him from the leadoff spot, right?
2. 2B Luis Castillo.
Coming off his worst season in a decade.
3. 3B David Wright.
The best third baseman in the National League.
4. 1B Carlos Delgado.
Hit .303 with 21 homers after the All-Star break.
5. CF Carlos Beltran.
Had another stellar all-around season.
6. RF Ryan Church.
Was batting .309 before a concussion derailed his momentum in May.
7. LF Danny Murphy.
Spark plug will share time with Tatis.
8. C Brian Schneider.
Decent bat, solid defender.
PROJECTED ROTATION
1. LHP Johan Santana.
He was stellar (7-0, 1.87 ERA) in August and September.
2. RHP Mike Pelfrey.
Former first-round pick found his stride in 2008.
3. LHP Oliver Perez.
Dominated rival Phillies last season (0.35 ERA in four starts).
4. RHP John Maine.
Expects surgically-repaired shoulder to be healthy.
5. RHP Tim Redding.
Must hold off rookie Jon Niese and oft-injured righthander Freddy Garcia
for the job.
PROJECTED CLOSER
RHP Francisco Rodriguez.
Record-setting closer (62 saves in 2008) part of revamped bullpen.
GRADES
Offense. A. Three of their stars -- Beltran, Reyes, Wright -- are fixtures in
the annual MVP conversations. And Delgado showed he still is a capable slugger
after a slow start. There are a couple of questions, but this is a carbon copy
of the unit that finished tied for second (with Philly) in the N.L. in runs
scored.
Pitching. A. With a bit more run support, Santana could have won 20 or more
games. If Maine is healthy and the Mets get some production out of the No. 5
slot, the rotation will be a strength. Only two relievers who made more than 25
appearances with the team in 2008 are back; that's wonderful news for Mets
fans.
Bench. B. There is some defensive versatility. Tatis and Nick Evans both can
play infield and outfield, Jeremy Reed can play all three outfield positions
and Alex Cora can fill either middle-infield spot. That's fine defensively, but
there is almost no power off the bench.
Manager. C. Manuel did a fine job rousing the Mets from the lumbering state
they slipped into with Willie Randolph at the helm at the start of last year.
Come September, though, he couldn't avoid another disaster. He is talking about
shaking the team up -- moving Reyes out of the leadoff spot -- but is that a
good thing?
Sporting News prediction: The Mets solved their biggest problem by revamping
their bullpen, but their chief rival now has the confidence of a World Series
championship under its belt. The Mets will make the playoffs but will have to
settle for the wild card.
--
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