[洋基] Free Agent Stock Watch: Mariano Rivera
Free Agent Stock Watch: Mariano Rivera
By Mike Axisa [November 26, 2010 at 10:19pm CST]
http://ppt.cc/-rhd (MLBTR)
It's not often that a free agent class offers not just one, but two
first-ballot Hall of Fame relievers, yet that's exactly the situation
we're in this offseason. Let's review the stock of the great
Mariano Rivera...
The Good
* Rivera remains the master at limiting base runners, holding opponents
to a .181/.211/.266 batting line with just 25 unintentional walks over
the last three seasons. His WHIP during that time is a microscopic 0.797.
終結對手上壘的機會。
* His postseason track record is unmatched in terms of both quantity and
quality. His 139.2 playoff innings feature a 0.71 ERA and 0.766 WHIP,
and it's been ten years since someone took him deep in the postseason.
季後賽經驗豐富又超強。
* Although he's a Type-A free agent, the Yankees did not offer Rivera
arbitration, so it would not cost a draft pick to sign him.
洋基沒給仲裁,不用擔心丟選秀。
The Bad
* Rivera will turn 41 years old on Monday, and just three men in
baseball history (Dennis Eckersley, Hoyt Wilhelm, and Trevor Hoffman)
have recorded a 20-save season at that age or older.
Mo 41 囉,史上只有3個人能在這般年紀一季拿20救援以上。
* He's two years removed from offseason shoulder surgery and has dealt
with a nagging side injury since the 2009 playoffs.
傷痛問題,連兩年肩傷和難癒的肋傷。
* The velocity of his legendary cutter is gradually declining,
http://ppt.cc/Fv(; (fangraphs)
Mo的傳奇卡特球速逐步下滑。
and his 6.8 K/9 in 2010 is his second lowest strikeout rate since 1998.
http://ppt.cc/HLGr (fangraphs)
今年的6.8 K/9是1998以來第二低的(生涯第三低)。
The Verdict
Rivera is a free agent in name only, as just about everyone expects him
to re-sign with the Yankees at some point. Even so, he's reportedly
seeking a two-year deal worth $18MM a season, a price very few teams
can match. The Yanks understandably want to limit a contract to one
season, but there's no reason to expect Mo to wear anything but Yankee
pinstripes in 2011.
基本上,明年還是會穿條紋衣。
--
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