Nationals campaigning for a big future
Balester represents one of many young arms emerging for Washington
By Kevin T. Czerwinski
The future success of every Major League team lies in its Minor League
system. With that in mind, each preseason, MLB.com takes a top-to-bottom look
at all 30 organizations, from top prospects to recent draft picks.
The idea that Washington will be the nation's baseball capital before long
doesn't sound too farfetched these days. There was a time when the Nationals,
formerly the Expos, were the butt of many a joke around baseball.
Now, however, the joke's on everyone else. Thanks to a few shrewd offseason
moves -- importing Lastings Milledge being one of them -- and a very strong
series of drafts, the Nats are clearly headed in the right direction. They've
rebuilt mostly from within and with a bevy of superb young arms and a few
booming bats, the future looks bright in the District of Columbia.
Here's a closer look at some of what Washington has to offer this season.
10 Spot
Ten prospects to watch out for in 2008:
Chris Marrero, OF/1B
The 15th pick in the 2006 draft began to blossom last season while splitting
time between Hagerstown of the South Atlantic League and Potomac of the
Carolina League. He combined to hit .275 with 23 homers and 88 RBIs. He did
appear to run out of steam toward the end of the season, but considering this
was his first full season of professional baseball, the teenager did all
right for himself.
The kid has power and projects to be a wonderful addition to the middle of
Washington's lineup before long. Marrero will likely split the season between
the Carolina and Eastern Leagues and could have a Major League ETA of
sometime in 2009. There's really no need to rush him, especially since the
Nats tried him out at first base in the Instructional League, a position at
which they seem more inclined to keep him.
Audio: Marrero homers for Hagerstown
Audio: Marrero's double puts Potomac in front
Collin Balester, RHP
Don't look now, but the former fourth-round pick is steamrolling his way
through the Washington system after coming out of a California high school in
2004. He's done nothing but excel at just about every level he's played,
reaching Triple-A Columbus last summer as a 21-year-old. At 6-foot-5, he has
great mound presence and a nice low-90s fastball to go with it.
Balester doesn't walk many, but he doesn't strike out many either. He'll give
up his share of hits -- he's certainly not a swing-and-miss kind of pitcher
-- but in the long run he simply seems to get the job done. Balester will
more than likely begin the year back in Columbus (he was 2-3 with a 4.18 ERA
in 10 starts there last year), but don't be surprised if he's in D.C. at some
point this summer.
Colton Willems, RHP
Here's another high school product, this one the result of a first-round
selection in 2006. Willems, a highly touted prep star on Florida's Treasure
Coast, had an exceptional sophomore season in the pros, though he was kept on
a short leash. He made 12 starts for Vermont in the New York-Penn League but
didn't go longer than six innings in any outing, finishing the season with 58
2/3 frames.
The light workload seemed to agree with him as he posted a 0.92 ERA in 29 1/3
innings over his final six starts. He worked extensively with former big
leaguer David West while in high school and shows some polish based on that
experience. He's got a nice mid-90s fastballs and knows how to use it. He'll
likely begin the season in the Sally League, but don't be surprised if he
moves up to Potomac.
"Whatever his high-water mark is, we'll probably start him low and let him
get his feet on the mound," assistant general manager Mike Rizzo said. "We
want him to have consistency and success. He's throwing tremendously this
spring and he's a great prospect. What the scouts saw in him is starting to
come to the top."
Adam Carr, RHP
The former first baseman was an 18th-round draft pick out of Oklahoma State
in 2006 and pitched sparingly in college. The Nats saw the pitcher within,
though, and despite the fact he hit a ton of home runs in college, they've
kept him on the mound. The results have been impressive as the
smooth-throwing Carr blisters the opposition with his mid-90s fastball.
He was 4-2 last year while splitting time between Potomac and Harrisburg,
posting a 1.78 ERA in 60 2/3 innings. He also had 12 saves and held the
opposition to a .175 batting average over 212 at-bats. Carr is 5-1 with a
2.08 ERA in 64 Minor League appearances, all in relief. Whether the Nats
think he still has something to prove in Harrisburg is the question. He could
be in Columbus next month and in Washington by midseason.
Garrett Mock, RHP
Mock came over in the Livan Hernandez deal with Arizona in 2006. Because of
knee surgery at the end of that season, he tossed only 65 innings this year,
spending the bulk of his time at Double-A Harrisburg. He was shaky as he
continued to work his way back into the form that saw him win 14 games in the
California League in 2005. He had a 5.12 ERA overall in 2007, then compiled a
2.31 ERA in 23 1/3 Arizona Fall League season innings before allowed eight
runs over three innings in his final appearance.
Still, he shows signs of being an effective starter and has enough stuff,
combining a low-90s fastball with a slider and big-time curve, to be
effective on the Major League level. He'll probably need some time in
Columbus to complete his comeback, but he's definitely someone whom
Washington won't hesitate to call up when the need arises.
"He's finally injury-free," Rizzo said. "He had been pitching on a gimpy knee
and he's a tough Texan; he wanted to gut through it. He had never missed time
before because he was hurt, so he tried to pitch through adversity and it
turned out it was affecting his left knee, which is his landing knee. And
when you favor your knee, it affects your arm slot, but he's healthy for the
first time in two years now. He looks phenomenal and will be an impact
starter for us in the very near future."
Ross Detwiler, LHP
The Nationals grabbed the Missouri State product with the sixth overall pick
in the draft last year. He signed quickly and was able to make nine
appearances in the Gulf Coast and Carolina Leagues, going 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA
in 33 1/3 innings. The Nats rewarded him by allowing him to pitch an inning
in Atlanta on Sept. 7 and it was scoreless with a strikeout.
He sports a solid two- and four-seam fastball, both of which can touch 96 on
the gun. His off-speed stuff is equally impressive and he knows how to spot
it effectively. While his cameo in the big leagues was a nice touch, it
doesn't mean he'll be seeing the Majors again any time soon. The Nats figure
to give Detwiler a full season in the Minors before possibly giving him
another taste in September.
"He's not a polished product by any means, but his ceiling is unlimited,"
Rizzo said. "He's a lefty who can throw 95-96 with two plus breaking pitches.
He just has to learn his craft and he needs to throw strikes more
consistently. But he has a tremendous upside and a chance to be a superstar.
His stuff is hard to find in the Major Leagues, and you can count on one hand
the lefties who throw 93-plus. There are not a whole lot of them.
"When this guy dropped to us, it was an easy decision. These kinds of guys
aren't falling off trees. But for him to get to the big leagues and stick
long term, he has to make a few improvements just like everyone else. He
really has a chance to be an impact guy for us and it's hard to say that
about a lot of guys."
Josh Smoker, LHP
Here's another youngster with lightning in his left arm and a world of
potential to back it up. The Nats grabbed him in the supplemental round last
year, making the Georgia prep star one of the centerpieces of the club's
rebuilding project. He's got a low to mid-90s fastball that gets on the
hitter in a hurry, though he has several other pitches, including a splitter,
that can be equally effective.
Smoker holds the Georgia State record for strikeouts in a season but didn't
get to flash too much of that power last year after pitching only four
innings for Vermont. The club hasn't been shy about throwing its young
pitchers directly into the fray, so don't be surprised if he starts the
season in the Sally League rather than extended spring. Smoker was the
youngest player in Washington's Major League camp this spring and threw a
pair of scoreless innings against Georgetown University in his exhibition
debut.
Michael Burgess, OF
Blessed with a thunderous bat and a big-time arm, he could draw comparisons
to Dave Parker someday even though Parker is a good six inches taller.
Burgess, whom the Nats took in the supplemental round last year, knows how to
hit and he does have a low-90s fastball should he ever get on the mound, so
he could ultimately become the type of deterrent in right field that Parker
was for many years.
Burgess hit 11 homers in 198 at-bats last season between the Gulf Coast and
New York-Penn Leagues. He was third in the GCL with eight homers and first in
slugging (.617) and OBP (.442). But he also struck out once every 3.3
at-bats, the best indication that he still has some growing up to do at the
plate.
Jordan Zimmerman, RHP
A Division III phenom a year ago, Zimmerman wasn't known by many folks while
at Wisconsin-Stevens Point. He had gotten hurt before his last collegiate
season (a broken jaw) and was pitching at a northern Midwestern D-III school
that not too many people had followed, so his exposure was limited. He's been
exposed now though, and that's a good thing.
The Nats grabbed him in the second round last year and he proceeded to go 5-2
for Vermont with a 2.38 ERA (which would have been fourth best in the New
York-Penn League had he qualified). He fanned 71, walked only 18 and held the
opposition to a .228 batting average in 53 innings. He owns a lead weight of
a fastball that hovers consistently in the low 90s. He's mature enough and
has some poise on the mound, leaving the impression that he won't have a
problem with whatever level of A-ball the Nats put him at.
"He's the kind of guy we really pride ourselves on," Rizzo said. "He might
turn out to be the best of all of them. He's an upper Midwest kid and I had
the honor of scouting that area for 12 years. Here's a kid who came down to
Florida and, after a week, breaks his jaw, loses 14 pounds and doesn't really
pitch up to his capabilities.
"He goes back up there in anonymity and pitches tremendously and
courageously. He has great command of four pitches and I saw him start last
year. We got him late in the second round, but if he went to Texas or UCLA or
one of those schools, he would have been one of the top eight or 10 picks in
the country. I know what Division-III, cold-weather kids go through. He's
going to be such a success story."
Justin Maxwell, OF
Don't look now but here comes one heck of a ballplayer. Maxwell, whom the
Nats took in the fourth round in 2005, had a nice season last year between
Hagerstown and Potomac, combining to .281 with 27 homers, 83 RBIs and 35
stolen bases. The cherry on the sundae came when he got to show his stuff for
the folks in Washington, wherehe hit .269 with two homers and five RBIs in 26
September at-bats. He still needs some seasoning in the Minor Leagues but
figures to be an exciting player in D.C. with his time possibly coming this
summer.
He strikes out some (once every 3.6 at-bats last year), but what young
slugger doesn't create a breeze at least that often? He's got excellent speed
and power, and if he continues to cut down on his swing and show patience at
the plate, there's no reason Maxwell won't be in Washington at least as a
fill-in this season.
Shairon Martis, RHP
The Nats acquired him from the Giants in the Mike Stanton deal and he quietly
went out and had a nice 2007 in the Carolina League. He went 14-8 with a 4.23
ERA in 27 games (26 starts). His repertoire is complete without one pitch
standing above the others. They're all solid, leaving him with the makings of
a decent back-of-the-rotation guy.
Ian Desmond, SS
There was a time when some folks talked about him forming a left side of the
infield with Ryan Zimmerman that would compare to the one the Mets have in
David Wright and Jose Reyes. Now, some folks simply talk about whether
Desmond will even make it to the Major Leagues. He spent a full season in the
Carolina League last year, the third consecutive year in which he has made a
stop at Potomac. And while his numbers were generally better across the board
than the two previous seasons, he was older and had nearly 150 Carolina
League games on his resume heading into the season.
Desmond is solid defensively, but who knows how his bat will react to life in
Harrisburg or beyond this season. He hit .182 in his last stint in the
Eastern League (121 at-bats in 2006). He's come a long way since the Nats
first tried to force feed him in Double-A, but he still has a long way to go,
leaving him under the radar.
"He's an outstanding middle-infield prospect," Rizzo said. "He can play
shortstop in the Major Leagues and he's really coming into his own swinging
the bat."
2007 Draft Recap
SS Jake Smolinski (second round, Boylan Catholic High School, Ill.) hit .305
with 16 RBIs in 105 GCL at-bats. He stole seven bases and drew 13 walks. ...
3B Steven Souza (third round, Cascade High School, Wash.) hit .194 with 46
strikeouts in 144 GCL at-bats. ... RHP Brad Meyers (fifth round, Loyola
Marymount) had a 0.30 ERA in 29 2/3 frames in the Gulf Coast and South
Atlantic Leagues. He was bumped up to Potomac, where he had a 5.06 ERA in 10
2/3 innings. ... RHP Adrian Alaniz (eighth round, Texas) went 8-2 with a 2.39
ERA in 13 games (eight starts) for Vermont. He fanned 62 and walked eight in
60 1/3 innings, holding the opposition to a .187 average. ... LHP Patrick
McCoy (10th round, Sahuaro High School, Ariz.) went 1-2 with a 3.81 ERA in 10
GCL games (five starts).
Predictions
Organizational Player of the Year -- Michael Burgess
You can't compare Burgess to Dave Parker and then not pick him as the
Organizational Player of the Year. He may not be the Cobra, but he can sure
play like one.
Cy on the Farm -- Adrian Alaniz
There's so much depth on the mound here, it's difficult to focus on just one
pitcher. But we're going to surprise everyone and go with last year's
eight-round pick, Adrian Alaniz, who had a big season in Vermont.
Team to Watch -- Hagerstown
Hagerstown looks like the place to be. With Jack McGeary, Josh Smoker, Jordan
Zimmerman and Colton Willems likely there for part or all of the season, this
group could challenge Rome as the Sally League staff of the season.
Quotable
"He showed a lot of what my philosophy was when I was in Arizona in that,
when you get a kid in those kinds of rounds, you want to know the history of
the kid. And he was the Friday night starter at Texas and went 12-0 there.
Stats aren't everything, but that tells you something. Those kinds of things
are important, especially down low there. There's a case to be made for those
guys in the draft." --Rizzo on Alaniz
--
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03/23 11:17, , 1F
03/23 11:17, 1F
如果他均速加快個5miles那就有機會。
※ 編輯: VaROne 來自: 123.193.227.90 (03/23 17:48)
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