[情報] 2013 Top10 Prospects 1~ 5(Prospect361)

看板Nationals作者vg175 (非典型廢言)時間13年前 (2012/11/23 20:28)推噓10(10推 0噓 15→)

留言25則, 4人參與討論串1/1

http://prospect361.com/nl-team-prospects/washington-nationals/ 5. Matt Skole (3B/1B) ★★★ DOB: July 30, 1989 BP: Georgia Ht: 6-4 Weight: 230 Bats: L Throws: R ETA: 2013-14 Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI 2012 A-A+ 413 84 27 104 11 .291 .426 67.8 24.0 .362 Anybody who hits 27 home runs in only 343 at-bats, no matter what the level, gets your attention. That stat line belongs to Matt Skole of the Washington Nationals. 只要有任何人能在343個打數裡敲個27轟，不論是哪個層級都值得你多加留意。例如說華盛頓國民的Matt Skole。 Skole was a fifth round pick in the 2011 draft out of Georgia Tech. His best tool is bat speed that he leverages to hit balls a long way. The swing is fairly long as you might imagine which helps to explain his 68% contact rate. Also part of his profile is a 24% walk rate. 就讀喬治亞理工的Skole是2011年第五輪新人，他最棒的武器是可以把球夯很遠的揮棒速度；然而揮棒幅度大相對就可以想像為何他的擊球率只有68%。另外保送率則有24%。 So, if you combine a lefty hitting 6-foot-4, 230 pound player who makes scary-poor contact with the ability to take a walk, you start having visions of Adam Dunn or Carlos Pena. Candidly, that’s the upside of Matt Skole and while I don’t think he’s the next Adam Dunn, a Carlos Pena type player might not be out of the question, although he’s a below average defender. 因此，如果你看到一個6呎4吋230磅，揮空率驚人卻又能凹保送的左打，你會聯想到 Adam Dunn或Carlos Pena。公平一點，往好的方面想我認為他也有可能不會長成Dunn/Pena那一型的球員，雖然他也是個低於平均的悲劇防守者。 A similar profile is surfacing in the Arizona Fall League. In 46 at-bats, he has 18 strikeouts, nine walks, and two home runs. Will this play at the highest level? The margin of error is razor thin but the bat speed is special and that just might be enough to push him there. I do believe it will be as a first baseman　 or left fielder. 類似的小樣本也發生在 AFL。46個打數裡吞了18K，9次保送與2轟。這樣的球員還能有更好的發展嗎？也許無利可圖。不過他的揮棒速度真的很特別，這也許就足夠將他推往更高層級。我相信他會被養成一壘或左外野手。 4. Lucas Giolito (RHP) ★★★★ DOB: July 14, 1994 BP: California Ht: 6-6 Weight: 225 Bats: R Throws: R ETA: 2016 Year Class IP H ER HR BB/9 K/9 ERA WHIP 2012 R 2.0 2 1 0 0 2 4.50 1.00 Lucas Giolito was viewed as a potential number one overall pick in the 2012 draft, but an elbow injury in the second game of his senior season in high school, dropped him to the 16th pick and the Washington Nationals. 只論潛力的話Lucas Giolito被認為足以在今年選秀裡居冠。但今年在高中主投的第二場比賽手肘就出問題，也使他掉到16順位才被華盛頓國民選上。 At 6-foot-6 and 225 pounds, Giolito not only has size but a pitching arsenal that exceeds his age and experience. He throws a mid 90’s fastball that can hit triple digits, a knock-out curve and a plus change-up. His mechanics are excellent with great posture and balance, in fact the follow through and landing is nearly picture-perfect. His delivery is easy with a long extension in his throwing elbow, almost telling the pitching Gods, no inverted W. Yet, he blew out his elbow in August and had Tommy John Surgery (TJS) a few weeks later. 6呎6吋加上225磅的身材， Giolito有的不只是尺寸，蘊含的投球能力也幫助他超越年齡及經驗的不足。他能投出 mid-90甚至三位數的速球，用作決勝球的曲球與水準以上的變速；他的投球機制十分傑出，姿勢及平衡度都很棒，事實上動作開始到左腳落地為止簡直就接近一幅畫那般完美。球的出手相當流暢，從投球手肘延展過來，幾乎可以說是投球動作教科書，而非inverted W。（inverted W是容易受傷的投球姿勢，像 http://0rz.tw/K0aMd 這張小史）然而他手肘還是在八月炸開，幾週後也進廠TJ去了。 With a combination of elite stuff, good command and excellent pitching mechanics, you can see why the Nationals took the risk and signed Giolito with their first round pick knowing full well, there was a good chance that he needed TJS. He has number one starter potential and with the success of TJS, this could be just a blip on the radar. Remember, he’ll just turn 19 next July and should be back pitching shortly thereafter. 看看這樣一個同時擁有頂尖才能，優質控球與超凡投球機制的投手，不難理解為何國民在了解他很可能必須TJ下還願意在首輪將賭注壓到他身上。他具備一號先發的潛質，只要手術成功，這段歷程也不過是浮光掠影而已。別忘了他明年七月才會滿19歲，應該也會在那之後很短的時間內就回到投手丘。 3. Alex Meyer (RHP) ★★★★ DOB: January 30, 1990 BP: Indiana Ht: 6-9 Weight: 220 Bats: L Throws: R ETA: 2014-15 Year Class IP H ER HR BB/9 K/9 ERA WHIP 2012 A-A+ 129 97 41 6 3.14 9.70 2.86 1.10 And now playing power forward for your Washington Bullets…I mean Wizards, is 6-foot-9 Alex Meyer. Right…that sounds more plausible then 6-foot-9 Alex Meyer taking the mound, but that’s what we have. 現在為您介紹華盛頓子彈．．．我是說巫師啦，的6呎9吋大前鋒 Alex Meyer。是的，6呎9吋的 Alex Meyer似乎該去打籃球，但我們真的有這麼一個巨人。 Usually tall and long pitchers struggle with their release point and therefore their control, but Meyer hit the ground running in 2012 and pitched well with a 3.14 BB/9 in 129.0 innings. It wasn’t always pretty, particularly in the beginning of the year where he had a stretch of 11 walks in 22.2 innings. However, he improved as the year went on and had some down-right dominating performances towards the end of the year as he moved to High-A. 通常高大投手的放球點容易出麻煩，這也會影響他們的控球。但Meyer今年全力以赴，129局裡BB/9是很OK的3.14。也並不是一直這麼理想，特別是球季開始的 22.2局中就送出11次保送。然而隨著球季進行他能夠不斷改進，季末升到高階 1A後也有幾次屠殺性的演出。 The arsenal is impressive with a fastball that sits in the mid 90’s, a plus slider that really gets a lot of swing and misses, and a change-up that looks pretty good as well. His splits are fine and in fact, he’s nearly unhittable by both right and left-handed batters. Throw in the size and his G/F rate of over 2.10 and Washington just might have something special with Meyer. 他的武器是 mid-90的速球，搭配夠水準的滑球取得相當多揮棒落空；變速看來也很讚。不管打者站在哪邊他都能解決。事實上，不管左打右打幾乎沒人能碰到球。以他的身材加上 2.10滾飛比，華盛頓也許真的拿到一個很特別的傢伙。 Meyer’s pitching mechanics are pretty good with nice balance and posture but the delivery is far from easy. It really looks like he’s trying to throw hard; everything from his arm speed and facial expression show an exaggerated effort. Over time, I think these mechanical issues will be smoothed out and the delivery improved. Meyer也有很棒的投球機制，姿勢與平衡都沒問題。但出手還不夠流暢。從出手速度及臉部表情看得出來他真的很用力在投，只不過真的是操過頭了。我想這部分的問題會隨著時間改善。 In the end, I believe the path to success will not be linear for Meyer but he should move to Double-A next year and could get a look in 2014. There is a lot to like. 我相信通往成功的路對Meyer來說絕非一帆風順。但他明年應該可以從2A開始並且有望在2014年能有一番作為，真的很有機會。 2. Brian Goodwin (OF) ★★★★ DOB: November 2, 1990 BP: North Carolina Ht:6-1 Weight: 195 Bats: L Throws: L ETA: 2014 Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI 2012 A-AA 382 64 14 52 18 .280 .384 76.7 16.0 .329 I had a chance to see Brian Goodwin play several times in 2012 with the latest in the Arizona Fall League in November. I really liked what I’ve seen and believe he has all-star potential with a nice power/speed combination. 我今年有幾次機會觀察 Brian Goodwin的比賽，包括11月舉行的AFL。我真的很喜歡自己看到的，也相信他包含砲瓦與速度方面都具有全明星級的天賦。 Goodwin’s mechanics are solid with a nice compact swing and great bat speed. The setup is a little noisy, but he’s able to get the bat head into the zone quickly and rotate his hips well to drive the ball. I saw him hit an absolute bomb in the Rising Stars Game that showed the kind of power that Goodwin should be able to delivery in the future. Goodwin的揮棒機制十分完整，揮擊速度非常快。準備動作稍嫌雜亂，但他能很快就把棒頭滑過打擊區，轉得很漂亮的屁屁可以幫助他把球打得結實。我曾在未來之星賽見識過他純粹的砲瓦，Goodwin的未來絕對值得期待。 As an outfielder, I think he has a chance to be a first division center fielder. He uses his speed well but his tracking of outfield balls could use some improvement. While the Nationals have been playing Bryce Harper in center, Goodwin would be an upgrade defensively, albeit with a weaker arm. I could see Harper holding down the fort until Goodwin is ready for the 2014 season. 作為一個 OF，我想他有機會成為最強分區的中外野手。他把自己的速度運用得很棒，但追蹤落點方面還需要加強。國民已經有Harper負責中外野，Goodwin取代 Harper的話對防守部分是升級，雖然臂力比不上Harper。Harper可以繼續目前的守位直到Goodwin準備好在2014接班為止。 1. Anthony Rendon (3B) ★★★★★ DOB: June 6, 1990 BP: Texas Ht:6-0 Weight: 195 Bat: R Throws: R ETA: 2013-14 Year Class AB R HR RBI SB Avg OBP C% BB% BABI 2012 R-AA 133 28 6 12 0 .233 .363 78.2 17.3 .253 Very few right-handed hitters have a beautiful swing, but Anthony Rendon is an exception. His setup is quiet; gently sliding his hands back into his load before exploding the bat through the zone. His swing is compact giving his bat maximum contact ability as it travels through the zone. It’s a plus hit-tool , with future plus power potential. However, it’s hard to perform when you’re constantly sitting on the DL. 很少右打者能揮出如此美麗的弧度， Anthony Rendon除外。他的準備動作很沉靜，猛烈出棒前先溫和地將他的手滑向後方，強而有利的揮擊使他的棒子能以最大力量轟炸好球帶。這是跟隨著充滿天賦的砲瓦而來的加分工具。然而如果三不五時就得躺平，真的很難在傷兵名單裡找到什麼表演空間。 When you talk about Anthony Rendon, you have to talk about his injury history. He had both shoulder and ankle injuries in college that limited his ability to play at a high-level. His ankle injury had lasting effects as he lost some of his speed and now is considered an average runner. Seemingly fully healthy, he fractured his ankle (his other ankle) in the second game of his professional career and missed most of the 2012 season. Some will say the injuries were freak in nature, but at what point do you start labeling him as injury-prone? 當你談到 Anthony Rendon，就非得提傷病史不可。他的腳踝與兩個肩膀在大學時代都受過傷，限制了他在高層級的表現；膝蓋傷勢影響到他的速度，他現在被認為只是個平均水準的跑者。就在看起來完全健康的時候，他的另一個腳踝又骨折了。這不過發生他在職業生涯的第二場比賽，今年也因此錯過絕大部分球季。有些人說痛痛是天生的，但你什麼時候會把他歸類在痛痛人裡？ The other question that has surfaced with Rendon is where he will play? First, Rendon is an above-average third baseman with gold-glove potential. However, Ryan Zimmerman plays that position in Washington and is signed through the end of the century. There has been a lot of discussion about moving Rendon to second, but I don’t believe he has the quickness to play the position. Furthermore, do you want to put a guy who has a history of injuries at one of the most physically demanding positions on the diamond? 另一個必須面對的問題是 Rendon要擺哪？首先，Rendon是水準以上的金手套級三壘手，然而 Ryan Zimmerman與球團簽下的延長合約已經夠他卡三壘卡到世紀末。有不少關於讓 Rendon移防二壘的討論，但我不相信他的敏捷度能夠站穩。再說了，你真的想把一個傷病史豐富的傢伙擺在對身體負擔這麼高的位置嗎？ As I look back through what I’ve written about Rendon in this profile, it might appear that I’m not high on him. Actually, I’m not only high on Rendon, I think he has a chance to be a future star. The swing will play, the power will come, and the defensive position will work itself out; and this might all happen in 2013. 當我回頭看自己對 Rendon所做的描繪，也許我並沒有高估他。事實上我不只看好 Rendon，我想他有機會成為明日之星。他會繼續揮棒，他的砲瓦將降臨，而守位也能自己找到出路。或許這全部都將發生在2013年。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.133.12.197 ※ 編輯: vg175 來自: 220.133.12.197 (11/23 20:29)

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