[情報] Offseason Outlook: San Diego Padres
Guaranteed Contracts
Cameron Maybin, OF: $20MM through 2016
Carlos Quentin, OF: $17.5MM through 2015
Will Venable, OF: $8.5MM through 2015
Cory Luebke, SP: $8.25MM through 2015
Huston Street, RP: $7MM through 2014
Nick Hundley, C: $4MM through 2014
Chris Denorfia, OF: $2.25 through 2014
Arbitration Eligible Players (service time in parentheses)
Chase Headley (5.123): $10MM
Ian Kennedy (4.124): $5.8MM
Clayton Richard (5.070): $5.24MM
Luke Gregerson (5.000): $4.9MM
Eric Stults (3.075): $3MM
Andrew Cashner (3.126): $2.4MM
Everth Cabrera (3.144): $2.2MM
Tyson Ross (2.124, Super Two): $1.3MM
Jesus Guzman (2.151, Super Two): $1.3MM
Tim Stauffer (5.143): $1.2MM
Kyle Blanks (4.029): $1MM
Free Agents
Jason Marquis, Mark Kotsay, Ronny Cedeno
There have been non-stop questions about Chase Headley's future in San Diego
for the last year but it seems like the Padres will come up with an answer,
one way or another, this offseason. They could put the rumors to rest with a
contract extension for their star or trade him at a time when the third base
free agent market is thin. The Yankees have long had a soft spot for the
29-year-old and even though a new deal for Headley would be tricky given
their budget constraints, he'd be a very welcome addition in light of the
Alex Rodriguez saga. General Manager Josh Byrnes & Co. will surely be
listening on offers for Headley, but both sides have stated their preference
for a contract extension.
So, done deal, right? Not quite. There appears to be a pretty serious
schism in negotiations between San Diego and agent Jim Murray of Excel Sports
Management. Back in May, we heard that the Padres were looking to lock
Headley up with something in the range of $75MM over five years. Headley,
meanwhile, likely sees Ryan Zimmerman's six-year, $100MM deal as a baseline
for his own deal. It's hard to say what kind of deal Headley could get out
of the Padres. On one hand, the Zimmerman deal raised the bar for what a top
third baseman should command. On the other hand, Headley is coming off of a
down year and has really only had one season where he looked like an elite
player. Headley hit .243/.335/.389 with 10 homers and a 2.1 WAR, a far cry
from his 2012 campaign where he slashed .286/.376/.498 with 31 home runs and
a 6.3 WAR on his way to capturing Silver Slugger and Gold Glove awards. Pads
skipper Bud Black attributes much of Headley's struggles to the thumb injury
he suffered in Spring Training, but the dip in hitting is still a concern.
Recently, Tim Dierkes opined that Headley will probably risk being traded
elsewhere if he can't get something in the range of Andre Ethier's five-year,
$85MM deal from San Diego.
Looking out-of-house, the Padres' top priority will probably be to bolster
their rotation. Thanks to the progress of Andrew Cashner and Tyson Ross and
the July addition of Ian Kennedy, the top half of the starting five is taken
care of. After that, San Diego will be waiting on the returns of Joe Wieland
and Cory Luebke after Tommy John surgery. Eric Stults will probably stay in
the starting five after posting a 3.93 ERA with 5.8 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 33
starts last season. The Padres are likely to non-tender Clayton Richard and
they already purged Edinson Volquez from the roster, so there will be spots
available. There will be plenty of affordable veterans for the Padres to
choose from as they look to improve the rotation while saving some coin for
the rest of the roster. Chris Capuano figures to be bought out of his $8MM
mutual option with the Dodgers and will probably be willing to take a bit of
a pay cut. A modest offer could also net them someone of Roberto Hernandez
or Jason Hammel's caliber.
The bullpen also needs to be shored up as the Padres' middle relief was shaky
for much of the year. Anthony Bass, Brad Brach, Brad Boxberger, and Miles
Mikolas all had varying degrees of success in 2013, but they'll have to take
a step or two forward to show that they can be reliable. Nick Vincent and
Tim Stauffer were solid but San Diego will have to rebuild the bridge to Luke
Gregerson and closer Huston Street. Speaking of Gregerson, San Diego will
have to address his future as he enters his final year of arbitration
eligibility. A club-friendly extension would be ideal, but the Padres will
also find a lot of interested suitors if they shop him.
Ronny Cedeno saw a ton of playing time in 2013 thanks to Everth Cabrera's PED
suspension and gave the Padres decent defensive play. He'll be a free agent,
however, and they'll look for another shortstop/utility man if they don't
retain him. If the Padres can trade Headley, they can cover for him easily
by moving Jedd Gyorko over to third, but that will create something of a void
at second. Logan Forsythe and Alexi Amarista can handle the position but
they'd be better off with a full-timer who can replace some of Headley's
offense.
You can expect 90 percent of San Diego's trade buzz to center on Headley, but
its possible that they work the phones to fill other holes in the lineup.
Recently, Bill Center of the San Diego Union-Tribune suggested that the
Padres could move either Will Venable or Chris Denorfia and a pitching
prospect for an upgrade at a corner outfield slot. The Pads have gotten
interest in both players in the past and with salaries of $4.25MM and
$2.25MM, respectively, they could be attractive to other teams.
Headley figures to get the most ink of anyone tied to the Padres this
offseason, but they'll have other matters to tend to as well.
來源:http://ppt.cc/eV-2
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