[閒聊] John Sickels Top 20 Prospects
1) Hunter Renfroe, OF, Grade B+/Borderline B. Age 22, hit .295/.370/.565 in
69 games in California League, then .232/.307/.353 in 60 games in the Texas
League, stole 11 bases combined. Excellent power but contact issues are
obvious, though he’s made adjustments before. I think the upside justifies
the grade but it is not risk-free.
2) Matt Wisler, RHP, Grade B+/Borderline B: Age 22, posted 4.42 ERA with
136/42 K/BB in 147 innings between Double-A and Triple-A, 157 hits. PCL
environment worked against him and reports see him as more of a number three
starter than an ace-type, not that there is anything wrong with that.
3) Rymer Liriano, OF, Grade B/Borderline B+: Age 23, hit .291/.362/.473 with
20 steals in 115 games between Double-A and Triple-A, but just .220/.289/.266
in 38 major league games. All the tools are here but his approach is still
rather raw. 20/20 potential if he can show sufficient polish for it to
manifest, which is still an open question.
4) Austin Hedges, C, Grade B-/Borderline B: Age 22, draws constant praise for
excellent defensive skills. Completely overmatched by Double-A pitching
however, with some reports (not all) indicating reduced bat speed, swing
mechanical troubles, over-aggressive approach. Hit .225/.268/.321. Many
scouts still believe in the bat but there are more doubters than before and
young catchers sometimes fail to develop offensively.
5) Michael Gettys, OF, Grade B-: Age 19, second-round pick with All-Star
tools, disappointing spring lowered stock but he hit .310/.353/.437 with 14
steals in rookie ball. Still some questions about his approach and 15/66 BB/K
in 213 at-bats is problematic. Could be a star, could be Drew Stubbs, could
wash out in Triple-A. Very high ceiling.
6) Jose Rondon, SS, Grade B-: Age 20, acquired from Angels in Huston Street
trade, hit combined .315/.363/.404 in the California League. Good defensive
rep, can hit for average, young, main question will be power development. If
he can manage gap power he could be a very solid regular.
7) Zechariah Lemond, RHP, Grade B-: Age 22, third round pick out of Rice
University in 2014, posted 3.43 ERA with 36/5 K/BB in 42 innings in pro
debut, mostly in the Northwest League. Heavy ground ball pitcher with
above-average velocity and good command. Main worry is health, he’s already
had elbow issues and you know the track record of Rice pitchers. Possible
number three starter if arm doesn’t explode, could also be a fine reliever.
8) Casey Kelly, RHP, Grade C+: Age 25, pitched 20 innings between High-A and
Double-A, 2.21 ERA with 17/1 K/BB. Very slow recovery from Tommy John
surgery. Stuff and pitchability appear to be intact, but he has missed almost
three complete seasons with injury problems. Hard to rank/rate due to the
medical concerns. Has natural ability of a number three starter but needs to
show he can handle any sort of workload.
9) Franchy Cordero, SS, Grade C+: Age 20, overmatched in Low-A
(.188/.237/.235 in 22 games) but improved after going down to Northwest
League (.279/.329/.458) though he still showed a raw approach. Intriguing
power/speed combination with nine homers and 16 steals, but bat needs polish.
Glove is even worse: this is not a typo, he made 51 errors in 56 games at
shortstop for a .801 fielding percentage.
10) Cory Spangenberg, INF-OF, Grade C+: Age 23, hit .317/.353/.455 with 16
steals mostly in Double-A with some rehab games at lower levels, hit
.290/.313/.452 in 20 major league games. Nice line drive hitter with
defensive versatility, could have a long career as a
semi-regular/super-utility type.
11) Tayron Guerrero, RHP, Grade C+: Age 24, hard-throwing relief prospect
posted 1.45 ERA with 56/20 K/BB in 50 innings between High-A and Double-A.
Long history of command troubles but made progress last year, upper-90s heat
and made progress with breaking ball. Could close if he keeps improving,
middle relief otherwise.
12) Alex Dickerson, OF-1B, Grade C+: Age 24, hit .321/.367/.496 in 34 games
in Double-A in injury-shortened season. Lacks great tools but has a long
track record of good hitting dating back to college. Probably not quite
enough homer power for a modern first baseman but should find a role
somewhere.
13) Taylor Lindsey, 2B, Grade C+: Age 23. Hit .238/.306/.372 in 118 games in
Triple-A, traded from Angels in Street trade. Disappointing season, despite
past solid performances scouts have always wondered about his swing and it
caught up with him in the PCL.
14) Jordan Paroubeck, OF, Grade C+: Age 20. .286/.346/.457 in 34 games in
rookie ball, switch-hitter with power/speed upside, has contact issues and
will need development time but very high ceiling.
15) Franmil Reyes, OF, Grade C+: Age 19, hit .248/.301/.368 with 11 homers,
38 walks, 118 strikeouts in 508 at-bats in Low-A. High-ceiling bat but not
there yet, needs polish in all phases, tighter strike zone.
16) Rafael De Paula, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, acquired from Yankees, good
fastball well into the 90s and a good change-up too, erratic breaking ball
and shaky command resulted in 4.92 ERA, 145/55 K/BB in 132 innings, 135 hits
in High-A. Arm strength to be very good but more probably a reliever than a
starter at higher levels.
17) Fernando Perez, 2B-3B, Grade C+: Age 21, hit .284/.322/.454 with 18
homers, 25 walks, 106 strikeouts in 469 at-bats in Low-A. Limited range harms
his defensive value and may move him to first base or outfield. Good power in
the bat, strike zone feeling is questionable.
18) Seth Streich, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, acquired from Oakland Athletics in
Derek Norris deal posted 3.16 ERA with 116/22 K/BB in 114 innings in
California League. Doesn’t have the pure stuff and velocity of De Paula or
Guerrero, but much better command and pitchability give him fourth starter
profile, assuming he adapts well in the high minors.
19) Elliot Morris, RHP, Grade C+: Age 22, another component of trade with
Angels, split season between three teams so he is easy to miss, posted
composite 3.38 ERA with 117/52 K/BB in 133 innings. Low/mid-90s fastball,
solid slider and change-up, another potential fourth starter or reliever.
20) Ryan Butler, RHP, Grade C+: Age 22, seventh round pick out of Charlotte
in 2014, posted 2.76 ERA with 36/9 K/BB in 29 innings in debut, 11 saves,
mostly in Low-A. Mid-90s, reportedly hit 100 as well, breaking stuff needs
work but the arm strength for quick relief success is evident.
OTHERS: Brandon Alger, LHP; Yeison Asencio, OF; Kyle Bartsch, LHP; Auston
Bousfield, OF; Jose Castillo, LHP; Frank Garces, LHP; Justin Hancock, RHP;
Travis Jankowski, OF; Kyle Lloyd, RHP; James Needy, RHP; Aaron Northcraft,
RHP; Dane Phillips, C; Adys Portillo, RHP; Gabriel Quintana, 3B; Gerardo
Reyes, RHP; Matt Shepherd, RHP; Jerry Sullivan, RHP
http://ppt.cc/q4-F
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