[外電] SOUTHWEST
原文出自 nola.com
http://www.nola.com/hornets/t-p/index.ssf?/base/sports-1/109906898568240.xml
SOUTHWEST
Sunday, October 31, 2004
How they'll finish -- By John Reid
SOUTHWEST DIVISION
1. SAN ANTONIO SPURS (54-28)
With Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker, the Spurs have
one of the best lineups in the league. They won the championship
two years ago and have a good chance to make it back. A balanced
scoring team that rebounds well. Prediction: Third seed in the
West and a dangerous club.
2. HOUSTON ROCKETS (52-30)
Center Yao Ming and guard Tracy McGrady already have been hyped
as the best duo since Shaquille O'Neal and Kobe Bryant won three
consecutive championships together. Ming and McGrady will get
along better than the former Lakers' duo. But they won't make a
trip to the NBA Finals this season. Prediction: Will challenge
Spurs, fourth seed in playoffs.
3. MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (48-34)
The Grizzlies could be a one-season wonder with their team-record
50-win season in 2003-04. But don't bet on it. Coach Hubie Brown
is exceptional at getting the most out of players and he has a
roster that's deep, especially at forward. Prediction: Playoffs
again, tied for sixth seed.
4. NEW ORLEANS HORNETS (46-36)
Hornets are younger and quicker and Coach Byron Scott's impact
already has been felt with a tough training camp and higher
expectations placed upon the players. New Orleans still lacks
a solid backup power forward and may have problems matching up
defensively. But don't be surprised to see the Hornets -- led
by Baron Davis, Jamal Magloire and underrated P.J. Brown -- as
the fourth team from this division to make the playoffs.
Prediction: Better than most expect, eighth seed in the
postseason.
5. DALLAS MAVERICKS (42-40)
Dirk Nowitzki is going to miss not getting those great passes
from point guard Steve Nash. Nash is in Phoenix, and Nowitzki
could be competing for shots with guard Jason Terry. Mavericks
fans may not want to buy their playoff tickets too early.
Prediction: Not what they were.
UNDERRATED
F DIRK NOWITZKI
MAVERICKS
He has excellent range on his jump shots, doesn't complain much
when things go wrong and is ready to take on a bigger role with
Steve Nash bolting to Phoenix as a free agent.
C YAO MING
ROCKETS
The big guy has improved his footwork, rebounding and scoring in
his first two seasons in the league. He is now the most dominating
center in the Western Conference.
F PAU GASOL
GRIZZLIES
The league lacks quality mid-range shooters. Gasol is one of the
best, especially when you consider he is a 50.4-percent career
field goal shooter after his first three seasons. Not bad.
OVERRATED
G-F JERRY STACKHOUSE
MAVERICKS
He has volunteered to come off the bench as the sixth man because
it's his best opportunity to score and not have to worry much
about defending. It seems like Stackhouse is never happy on
whatever team he plays for. No change will occur this season.
STROMILE SWIFT
GRIZZLIES
After four seasons it's time for Swift to upgrade his game from
just being a good dunker to being more of a scoring threat outside
the lane. He rarely takes mid-range jumpers. If he wants to be
one of the league's elite players, one-dimensional skills won't
get it done.
ROBERT HORRY
SPURS
He no longer moves or scores like he used to. But after 13
seasons, and five championships, he still likes the spotlight.
It almost appears now like Horry is taking a roster spot from
a more deserving younger player.
IMPACT NEWCOMERS
ERICK DAMPIER
MAVERICKS
He wanted to play on a playoff contender after not experiencing
what the postseason was like in seven seasons with Golden State.
How successful the Mavericks become will depend largely on how
effective he can be in the post. For several seasons, the
Mavericks have lacked a center who can defend and score.
J.R. SMITH
HORNETS
He already has exceeded expectations with his poise and shooting
ability. If he improves his defense, he could be starting at
shooting guard for the entire season. That's pretty good for a
19-year-old rookie who bypassed college to enter the draft last
summer.
JUWAN HOWARD
ROCKETS
He can be a good contributor in the post to help Yao Ming.
Rockets coach Jeff Van Gundy seems to get players to play up
their potential, so it appears Howard is finally on the right
team.
KEEP AN EYE ON . . .
TIM DUNCAN
SPURS
He didn't win the MVP award last season after winning the honor
in 2002 and 2003. Another incentive for Duncan is trying to help
advance the Spurs further in the playoffs than they fared last
season after losing to the Los Angeles Lakers in the conference
semifinals.
BARON DAVIS
HORNETS
He entered camp contemplating whether to ask management for a
trade. But the Hornets said they are not going to trade him.
With the season starting, it will be interesting to see how he
handles his role for the full 82-game schedule. Will he remain
happy or become disgruntled if the team sputters?
TRACY McGRADY
ROCKETS
A hot topic will be watching McGrady adjust to Jeff Van Gundy's
system. For the first time McGrady has been in the NBA, he won't
be the first option to take shots. Van Gundy's system is designed
to work the ball inside to center Yao Ming. McGrady finished as
the league's leading scorer with Orlando last season, averaging
28 points per game.
DID YOU KNOW?
The Southwest is the only division in the league in which all
five teams made the playoffs last season, with the Hornets
qualifying in the Eastern Conference.
--
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