[翻譯] 季末展望 - MLBTradeRumors.com
到了休賽季 世界冠軍也快出來了
隔壁棚NBA也如火如荼地開打
來偷翻譯一下賺個P幣 ^.^
很久沒翻了 有哪裡有問題再請各位指教~
來源:https://tinyurl.com/ybdhku2z
======================================
As they continued to build back from a full roster teardown, the Phillies
finished the 2017 season with a 66-96 record, good for last in the NL East.
But their rebuilding process has begun to bear fruit. Thanks in part to
contributions from some exciting young rookies, Philadelphia finished the
season strong by posting a winning record in September (15-13). The team is
now free of the veteran encumbrances that trailed its last competitive
window, so it’ll face some questions on how to allocate financial resources.
我費2017重建之路,在九月爆氣拿下15勝13負後結束了
雖然失去了狀元,不過也在幾個新秀上來後,讓隊伍耳目一新!
該丟的 該跑完的肥約也都結束了
現在就是來看看管理層如何來運用這薪資空間
保證合約
Odubel Herrera, OF: $26.4MM through 2021 ($11.5MM club option for 2022,
$2.5MM buyout)
薪資仲裁球員/年資 與預計薪資
Freddy Galvis (5.021) – $7.4MM
Cesar Hernandez (3.154) – $4.7MM
Cameron Rupp (3.089) – $2.1MM
Luis Garcia (3.007) – $1.4MM
Maikel Franco (2.170) – $3.6MM
自由球員
Clay Buchholz, Andres Blanco, Daniel Nava, Hyun soo Kim
The Phillies already announced in late September that Pete Mackanin will not
return as manager in 2018, but will instead assume a role in the front
office. Part of the organization’s focus this offseason will be to find a
replacement manager who can get the most out of a very young group of players
as they develop at the major-league level. Based on their record after the
All-Star break (37-38), it seems as though the worst could finally be behind
the Phillies after five consecutive losing seasons. Whoever GM Matt Klentak
hires as Mackanin’s replacement will likely be managing the next contending
team in Philadelphia.
今年是麥卡寧總仔的最後一年
這段就是講我們需要一個好教練 可以帶領年輕球員
In addition to steps forward for players like Odubel Herrera, Aaron Altherr
and Aaron Nola, the Phillies also saw impressive contributions from many
players promoted during the 2017 season. Rhys Hoskins, Andrew Knapp, Jorge
Alfaro and Nick Williams all showed well in their first taste of major-league
action, with Hoskins in particular looking like a star. Stud shortstop
prospect J.P. Crawford saw some playing time in September as well; it’s
widely expected that he and fellow infield top prospect Scott Kingery will
make major contributions at some point in 2018. Put simply, a major-league
club that saw a lot of success from young players this year will see even
more reinforcements next season. It’s also worth wondering whether the
Phillies will make a push to extend some of these young players. MLBTR’s
Jeff Todd already mentioned Nola as an extension candidate. Beyond him,
Altherr, Hoskins and Williams have all shown enough talent to be worth a look.
阿杜伯、阿帖兒、諾拉以外 今年上來的幾位新秀也都有好表現
加上明年有可能上來的金吉利 費城新秀十分能打!
As the youth movement reaches its peak in Philadelphia, the payroll has
reached its valley. The only contract on the books for the Phillies in 2018
is that of Herrera, who stands to make just $3.35MM. They owe $3.5MM more in
the form of buyouts and debts to former players, for a total of less than
$6MM guaranteed dollars. Beyond that, only five of their players are even
eligible for arbitration, and most of them are either potential trade fodder
or non-tender candidates. Given that the Phillies have averaged over $144MM
in payroll over the past seven seasons, a big decisions facing the Phillies
this winter is how they ought to allocate their dollars. It’s worth
mentioning that they’ve got the payroll space and prospect depth to acquire
Giancarlo Stanton, should the organization decide he’s a good fit. It will
be interesting to see whether they give out any long-term contracts to free
agents this season, or opt to make shorter commitments now and wait until
next season when the market is flush with high-end talent. They’ll be one of
the few teams who’ll be able to afford the services of 2018 free agent
juggernauts like Bryce Harper, Manny Machado, Clayton Kershaw, Josh Donaldson
and Charlie Blackmon, any of whom might be worth waiting to negotiate with.
除了阿杜伯是保證合約 其他不是還在仲裁 就是新秀約
前七季我們平均年薪是144M
因此今年冬天有很多錢可以用
可能可以去追差點60轟的怪力男
也可以等明年一堆大魚的FA年
(哈波、馬洽多、柯蕭等)
It’s possible that one or both of Freddy Galvis and Cesar Hernandez will
open the 2018 season in a different uniform. Galvis stands to make around
$7.4MM in arbitration this offseason. Rather than pay that hefty figure for a
shortstop with a .287 career OBP, the Phillies would probably prefer to see
what they have in top prospect J.P. Crawford. While Hernandez is still under
control for three more seasons, the Phillies will likely try to get a look at
Kingery at some point in 2018. This could make Hernandez a potential trade
asset as well, if the right offer comes along. With such a minuscule payroll,
however, they certainly won’t face any pressure to move either player.
加味使跟西沙可能會在開季前被交易
明年如果金吉利有機會上來 西沙有可能也會被交易
With a high-upside youngster tabbed for each position on the diamond, the
Phillies are most likely to concentrate their financial resources on
pitching. Their starters as a group finished in the bottom third of baseball
in ERA last season, and their young staff could benefit from having a
seasoned veteran in the rotation. They have the money to spend on a
top-of-the market starter like Jake Arrieta, if the front office wants to be
aggressive, or any other open-market hurler that holds appeal. Another option
would be to make a big push for the coveted Shohei Otani. Indeed there are 29
other teams that will be doing the same, but the potential to join an
organization with such a bright future could be a draw for the Japanese
phenom. The Phillies will probably want to add a couple of veteran arms to
their bullpen as well. Adam Morgan had an incredible second half and cemented
himself as a clear fixture behind Hector Neris, but overall the relief corps
is in need of support.
不過我們的投手新秀就沒像打者那麼亮眼了
去年我們的防禦率事聯盟倒數第三
因此我們應該把錢花在投手上面
可以著眼於神A-Arrieta 或是大谷翔平(儘管三十隊都會有offer)
牛棚部分 下半季的Adam Morgan跟內壢使投得不錯
但牛棚還是需要更多支援
Philadelphia had some success last year in taking on bad contracts, eating
the salaries of those players and then flipping them for prospects. They
acquired left-hander McKenzie Mills for Howie Kendrick, and got infielder
Jose Gomez along with right-handers J.D. Hammer and Alejandro Requena in a
trade that sent Pat Neshek to the Rockies. Mills, Gomez and Hammer all
currently rank within the Phillies’ top 30 prospects (via MLB Pipeline),
with Gomez leading the way at #16 in the organization. In essence, the
Phillies used their financial muscle to “buy” some upside prospects. It’s
a sound strategy. If any of these prospects pan out, it will be as though the
Phillies used their extra payroll space last year to save money in the
future; more cost-controlled players on the major league club means fewer
dollars spent on free agents. It’s easy to imagine the club employing the
same strategy during the coming season.
去年好姨跟Neshek的交易案成功換回不錯的新秀
這幾隻現在都在農場排前30
如果這些新秀能夠上大聯盟
那未來只要球員還在控制年限內就可以省錢 (編:講廢話...)
Following five losing seasons and a complete teardown of the major-league
roster, the Phillies’ farm is stacked. Even after promoting three top-100
overall prospects last season in Hoskins, Crawford and Alfaro, their system
still has four more in Mickey Moniak, Sixto Sanchez, Adam Haseley and
Kingery. They also own the #3 overall pick in 2018’s June amateur draft.
This abundance of talent in the minors will give the Phillies a wealth of
options when they decide to make a playoff push, including the ability to use
some of these youngsters as trade chips to fill holes on the roster with
established major league talent.
坦了五年後 農場除了今年上來的前百新秀
還有Moniak、Sixto、Haseley和金吉利
另外還有今年的探花籤
如果需要交易的話這些球員也會是很好的晶片
As it stands right now, the Phillies will open the 2018 season with Aaron
Nola at the top of the rotation. Behind Nola, however, likely follows a messy
group of struggling youngsters. Ben Lively, Mark Leiter, Jerad Eickhoff,
Vince Velasquez, Jake Thompson and Nick Pivetta all endured major ups and
downs last season. Even if they don’t manage to add an elite starter like
Arrieta through free agency, they’ll probably opt to sign at least one or
two mid-tier options. Jason Vargas, Scott Feldman, Jaime Garcia, Doug Fister
and Andrew Cashner all come to mind as pitchers who could probably be had on
short-term contracts.
明年首號先發毫無疑問是今年大放異彩的Nola
剩下的投手就有些起起伏伏
就算今年不追神A 還有像是瓦哥、Feldman、Jaime、Fistrer和Cashner
這些選手可以簽短約過渡
With veteran Andres Blanco set to depart in free agency, the Phillies will
need a backup infielder to open the season. Blanco himself could be brought
back at a cheap price, but he performed below replacement level last year.
Outside of Kingery, Philadelphia’s farm system doesn’t really have any
major league-ready middle infield options. Stephen Drew, Erick Aybar, Danny
Espinosa and Eric Sogard are some examples of cheap veterans they could use
to fill in around the infield. On the other hand, they might simply opt to
make a low-profile minor league signing instead. They could even test their
luck with the Rule 5 Draft; they had great success in identifying Herrera in
2014 and could try to strike gold again.
Blanco進FA後 我們小聯盟也沒有人可以立刻補上這個工具人缺
這邊也提供幾個人選可以補進來:
史蒂芬豬、艾巴、Espinosa和Sogard
(編:要不要考慮林子偉?顆顆)
當然有了阿杜伯的前例
也可以在規則5選秀中試試運氣
Third baseman Maikel Franco had a tremendously disappointing 2017 campaign,
and it might be time to start looking for other long-term options at the hot
corner. Mike Moustakas represents the top option on this year’s free agent
market. Todd Frazier is another third baseman they could look into. However,
since the Phillies would be considered long shots to contend in 2018, they
might be better off giving the 25-year old another chance next season, and
explore the free agent market next year if he doesn’t bounce back. At that
time, superstars Manny Machado and Josh Donaldson will become available for
bidding.
Franco今年還是很慘
現在是該放棄他來考慮別的長期三壘選項了
爆發的Moustakas和Frazier今年都可以考慮
當然也可以再給Franco一年
明年追馬洽多、大奶嬸這些更強的三壘手
The Phillies will be an interesting team to watch this offseason. They have
the financial resources to sign big-name free agents and take on a large
contract in a trade, but it’s just as easy to imagine them making only
small, short term signings while they continue to evaluate high-upside
youngsters at the MLB level. Either way, expect the Phillies to improve on
their 2017 record next season. With the wealth of young talent in the
organization, the club should be on the rise for several years to come.
今年的休賽季操作將會非常有趣
我們有預算帶人回來了
不過也許明年還是會像今年這樣的模式
慢慢帶新秀 等到2018 市場一堆大魚
就可以進場撈superstar 帶領我費重返榮耀!
==========================
文末有提到 今年應該也是找一些短約打工仔
練新秀 賣球員換新秀
也許還會再坦個一年
不過總是得拿點戰績 2018才能說服FA進來
隨著Nola、Hoskins、Williams今年的表現
讓我費的未來看起來更是光明
期待重返季後賽的那天到來 再一舉拿下我兒千篇 \^.^/
--
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