[硬球] top 10 porspects 2010...
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Top 10 prospects for 2010: Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates
Posted by Matt Hagen at 6:20am
1. Pedro Alvarez / 3B/1B / Alvarez has the makeup of a middle-of-the-order
mainstay, warts and all. His power potential is through the roof, and he's
patient enough at the plate to make it work in the majors. Like most big
league sluggers, though, he has contact issues at times. So, we're not
dealing with the next Pujols here. His defensive position has turned into a
question mark, although I think he can be average defensively at third base.
2. Tim Alderson / SP / With his peripheral numbers struggling as he ascends the
minor league ladder, maybe I promote Alderson a bit too much. But he is just 21
years old, has a great frame and, despite lacking ace stuff, has the makeup of
a No. 2 starter.
3. Tony Sanchez / C / Make no mistake, Sanchez was an overdraft at No. 4
overall in the 2009 draft. But his initial numbers have been very impressive,
and he has the skills necessary, both at the plate and behind it, to be an
above-average big league catcher.
4. Brad Lincoln / SP / Lincoln may finally be all the way back from his
injury-plagued beginnings. He features a terrific fastball/curveball blend with
improving command. Expect him to nail down a full-time big league rotational
spot at some point in 2010.
5. Robbie Grossman / OF / Grossman is a five-tool talent, and his 2009 Sally
League performance gave us glimpses. His speed is an asset, his power isn't
much now but has legitimate upside judging by his swing, and his patience is
advanced. Holding him back, though, are the massive holes in his swing, which
are even more concerning when you consider the lack of power he produced in
2009.
6. Brett Lorin / SP / Lorin has a mammoth presence on the mound and a plus
curveball to back it up. At 22 years old in 2009 he didn't advance beyond
Single-A, however. Is something holding him back? I don't see a reason why he
shouldn't be put to the test in 2010.
7. Jose Tabata / OF / Am I the only one that is no longer impressed with
Tabata's upside? His Arizona Fall League performance was tremendous, but his
home run power and base-stealing ability are ho-hum. Plus, I'm really starting
to question whether he has the plate discipline for the big leagues.
8. Victor Black / SP/RP / Black's slider has the makings of a plus offering to
go with his mid-90s fastball. His command and endurance are two huge question
marks on his resume, however. Pittsburgh will give him every opportunity to
start.
9. Brooks Pounders / SP / For a high schooler, Pounders has a tremendously
advanced arsenal at his disposal. He doesn't have much velocity, and may never
have anything more than average velocity when all is said and done, but he has
the potential for a great change-up and plus command.
10. Daniel McCutchen / SP / Pittsburgh has put together a deep system, as
Starling Marte and Rudy Owens were tough cuts to make. I have been a McCutchen
fan for a few years now and felt obligated to include him, despite his advanced
age. He has nothing left to prove and has the look of a strong
back-of-the-rotation starter.
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