[情報] Orioles Top 20 (OriolesProspects.com)
看板Prospect作者Westmoreland (Five Tools/Seven Skills)時間15年前 (2009/12/26 15:13)推噓0(0推 0噓 0→)留言0則, 0人參與討論串1/1
http://www.oriolesprospects.com/
Top 20 Orioles' Prospects - Last update: 12/20/2009
1. Brian Matusz: A, LHP
Background: Regarded as the top pitcher in the 2008 class, Matusz was drafted
by the Orioles 4th overall. The Orioles organization continued their
willingness to spend money in the draft and need to do this to be a
competitive team. Matusz breezed through the minor leagues in 2009,
eventually making his MLB debut with the Orioles. He demonstrated elite
command along with his ability to strikeout batters at a high rate.
Strengths: Matusz has four above-average pitches in his unique repertoire.
His fastball sits in the 90-92 mph range and is complimented by a changeup,
slider, and curveball. The changeup is a plus pitch right now and the
curveball is a fringe plus pitch. Matusz is a winner and has excellent makeup
and composure. He has a smooth delivery and repeats it well.
Weaknesses: Matusz already has plus command but sharpening it will be his
final job. He already controls the ball to both sides of the plate and
developing pinpoint command will help him get big league hitters out
consistently.
The Future: Matusz should be a lock to make the Orioles opening day rotation
in 2010. Matusz has potential to be a #1 starter in the MLB and should emerge
as the leader of the Baltimore rotation by 2011. He is still eligible as a
2010 rookie and I see him as the front runner for AL rookie of the year.
2. Zach Britton: B+, LHP
Background: Britton exploded onto the scene with Frederick in 2009. He had an
amazing combination of strikeouts (8.42 K/9 IP) and ground balls (3.40
GO/FO). Britton won Carolina League Pitcher of the Year in 2009 and second in
the league in ERA. He was shutdown in his last start due to fatigue but will
be ready for spring training.
Strengths: Britton has an excellent sinker/slider combo and his fastball
touches 94 mph. His sinker works in the 88-91 mph range while his slider is
very effective against left handed hitters. His changeup is rapidly
improving, giving Britton a nice four pitch mix.
Weaknesses: Britton's command has improved every year he has been in the
minors. He does a good job keeping the ball down in the zone but needs to use
his fastball to get ahead of hitters.
The Future: Britton has the makeup of an excellent big league starter who is
comparable to Justin Masterson. Britton could be a #2 starter in the bigs. He
will start 2010 with Bowie and should draw lots of attention if he performs
well there.
3. Josh Bell: B+, 3B
Background: Josh Bell came to the Orioles from the Dodgers in the trade for
George Sherrill. With Bowie, Bell hit .289/.346/.570 and hit 9 home runs in
only 114 at-bats.
Strengths: Bell is easily the best bat in the Orioles' system. Bell is an
above-average defender at third base and has a plus arm. He has above-average
power and shows excellent ability to get on base and work the count.
Weaknesses: Bell is a switch hitter but it is questionable wether he should
continue it. His left-handed swing is much smoother than his right handed
swing and he has massive splits. He batted just .193 against lefties while
hitting .339 against righties and 19 out of his 20 home runs were against
right handed pitchers.
The Future: The Orioles believe Bell is their third basemen of the future.
Garret Atkins will hold down third until Bell is ready. He should start 2010
with Triple-A Norfolk and should see big league time late in the season.
4. Jake Arrieta: B+, RHP
Background: The Orioles drafted Arrieta in the 5th round of the 2007 MLB
draft. He progressed quickly through the system, reaching Norfolk in only his
second pro season. In 2009, Arrieta dominated hitters at Bowie and followed
that with a solid half-season at Norfolk.
Strengths: Arrieta has a great fastball that sits in the 91-94 mph range with
enough movement to get strike outs. His slider can be plus at time and is his
second pitch. His changeup is average but will need improvement as it will be
a key factor to Arrieta’s success. Arrieta will occasionally throw a
curveball to a left handed batter.
Weaknesses: Arrieta has the ability to throw all of his pitches for strikes
but he needs to do it more consistently and in the strike zone. The Orioles
have been working with Arrieta to shorten his stride to give his pitches a
better finish and keep them down.
The Future: Arrieta should start 2010 back at Norfolk but he should see big
league time in late 2010. There are worries that due to his control problems
Arrieta may end up in the bullpen, but the Orioles still see him as a
mid-rotation pitcher.
5. Brandon Erbe: B, RHP
Background: The Orioles have been extremely patient with Erbe which has been
great for his development. He missed almost 2 months of the 2009 season due
to shoulder tendinitis, but returned late in the season and played in the
AFL. The Orioles placed Erbe on their 40-man roster for 2010.
Strengths: Erbe has an excellent fastball in the 91-94 mph range with
excellent movement on it in the zone. His slider has potential to be a plus
pitch and his changeup has come a long way as well.
Weaknesses: Erbe's mechanics still need improvement which will be key if he
is to remain as a starter. Fastball location will be a vital part in
determining if Erbe can remain a starter.
The Future: Erbe should pitch in the Norfolk rotation in 2010 as long as he
stays healthy. A move to the bullpen looks likely for Erbe with a large group
of pitchers competing for rotation spots in the future. Erbe would be an
excellent closer if he moves past starting.
6.Brandon Snyder: B, 1B
Background: Brandon Snyder started the 2009 season ripping up pitching at
Bowie and earned a call up to Norfolk. He struggled at Norfolk but followed
up with a great showing in the AFL hitting .343 and registering more walks
than strike outs.
Strengths: Snyder uses his hands well and shoots balls around the field.
Snyder's defense has improved immensely and he has great footwork around the
bag.
Weaknesses: Snyder only has average arm strength and is a slightly below
average runner. He does not have typical power for a first basemen and
projects to hit 15+ homers in the bigs.
The Future: Snyder should start 2010 back at Triple-A Norfolk. He could be up
to the majors quickly if he performs well.
7. Matt Hobgood: B, RHP
Background: A lot of people found it shocking when the Orioles drafted Hobgood
with the 5th overall pick in the 2009 draft. He signed for $2.422 million.
Hobgood suffered from fatigue which led to a mediocre pro debut with Bluefield
in 2009.
Strengths: Hobgood has an excellent fastball in the 90-95 mph range. His
curveball is a plus pitch and a changeup that could also develop into a plus
pitch.
Weaknesses: Hobgood repeats his delivery well and has great mechanics. He will
need to refine his command and curveball. Hobgood is big for his age and there
is not much projection left in him.
The Future: Hobgood should pitch in the Delmarva rotation in 2010. He has all
the makings of a front of the rotation starter.
8. Ryan Berry: B-, RHP
Background: Berry was thought to be first three rounds talent in the 2009 MLB
draft and the Orioles were able to get him in the 9th round. As with all Rice
pitchers, Berry has injury concerns and was overused in college. Berry had an
excellent freshman year at Rice but his sophomore year was disappointing. He
responded with an excellent senior year posting a 2.42 ERA.
Strengths: Berry has a good fastball in the 89-92 mph range with quality
movement on it. He has a plus curveball in the 80-83 mph range that he throws
in two different grips, knuckle and spike. Berry has excellent command of all
his pitches.
Weaknesses: Berry's mechanics are a bit shaky. He needs to stay healthy as he
missed time at Rice in 2009. Staying healthy will be a key part in Berry's
future.
The Future: Joe Jordan has said that Berry could start 2010 with Frederick. He
could progress through the Orioles’ system very quickly and reach Bowie by
the end of 2010.
9. Mychal Givens: B-, SS
Background: Givens was regarded as one of the best two-way prospects in the
2009 draft class. The Orioles want to try him on the offensive side first and
if that does not work he can go to pitching. The Orioles drafted Givens with
the 54th overall pick and signed him for $800,000.
Strengths: Givens has the athleticism that the Orioles have been looking for
in recent drafts. He has excellent speed, agility, and strength. He has good
bat speed and as he matures he should be able to hit for above average power.
His arm strength is a plus tool and can hit 97 mph on the mound.
Weaknesses: The Orioles knew they were drafting a very raw hitter in Givens.
He will need a lot of minor league at-bats and I expect him to move through
the system very slowly.
The Future: Givens is very raw as a hitter and will need to refine all of his
tools. He should start 2010 in rookie ball.
10. Caleb Joseph: C+, C
Background: Joseph was drafted by the Orioles in the 7th round of the 2008 MLB
draft out of Lipscomb. He had a very successful college career. Joseph has
been forgotten in all the hype surrounding Matt Wieters but has become the
Orioles' new top catching prospect. He had a very good year for Frederick in
2009 displaying the ability to hit for power and average. His production
faded late in the season due to fatigue but will be fresh for Bowie in 2010.
Strengths: Joseph is an excellent contact hitter with some pop. He speaks
multiple languages which is great when working with a pitching staff. He has
excellent hands and feet for a catcher and is very athletic.
Weaknesses: Joseph is very small for a catcher and may have to bulk up in
order to stay there. His arm is not that strong so he needs to have good
footwork to throw runners out. He struggles against breaking balls and has
many holes in his swing.
The Future: Joseph should start 2010 with Bowie and will need to show he can
produce at higher levels. Joseph could be used as trade bait now that Matt
Wieters is the everyday catcher. He should definitely be a solid MLB backup
catcher or a decent starter if he hits hit ceiling.
11. Luis Lebron: C+, RHP
Background: Lebron was signed out of the Dominican republic in 2004 as a free
agent. Lebron dominated during 2009 and was a strikeout machine but he had
problems with control.
Strengths: Lebron has a plus fastball that sits in the 92-95 mph range,
complimented by a plus slider. His fastball/slider combo is excellent coming
from the bullpen. Lebron is able to repeat his delivery easily and has very
good mechanics.
Weaknesses: Control is Lebron's main problem. If he throws strikes he will
pitch in the back of a major league bullpen.
The Future: Lebron should start 2010 with Triple-A Norfolk. He should
definitely see time in the majors as long as he stays healthy. Lebron has the
potential to be a closer, only if he throws strikes.
12. Xavier Avery: C+, CF
Background: The Orioles drafted Avery in the 2nd round of the 2008 MLB draft.
Avery had committed to Georgia as a football player but signed with the
Orioles for $900,000.
Strengths: Avery is a pure athlete and his speed ranks as 80 on the 20-80
scale. He has explosive hands and has a knack for getting the bat on the ball
which could lead to power. He is an excellent defender in centerfield.
Weaknesses: Avery is very raw and besides speed his other tools are up in the
air. He is still learning the strike zone and is not very patient at the
plate.
The Future: Avery should start 2010 with High A Frederick. With Adam Jones as
the everyday center fielder in Baltimore, Avery could be dangled as trade
bait.
13. Cameron Coffey: C+, LHP
Background: Coffey had Tommy John surgery on March 19th, 2009. The Orioles
considered Coffey to be second round talent and they got him in the 22nd
round.
Strengths: Coffey has a fastball that sits in 90-92 mph range, sometimes
touching 94-95 mph. He is 6’4” with strong build and a nice frame. His
change up is his best pitch and it has some good tumbling action on it.
Weaknesses: His velocity drops as he goes deeper into games and he struggles
to throw a slider right now and can’t find the right release point when
throwing it. He tends to overthrow a bit on fastballs but reducing his stride
could help that problem.
The Future: Coffey did not get to play pro ball in 2009 but he should come
back healthy in 2010 ready to play.
14. Bobby Bundy: C+, RHP
Background: Bundy was projected as a top three rounds talent in the 2008 draft
until he tore a ligament in his knee playing basketball. The Orioles saw him
slide to the eighth round and drafted him there, paying him $600,000, well
over slot bonus. Bundy struggled at Bluefield in 2009.
Strengths: Bundy has an excellent fastball in the 93-95 mph range when he is
healthy. His curveball is impressive and a potential plus pitch. Bundy is a
big guy at 6'2" and 215 pounds which could allow him to be a workhorse in a
rotation.
Weaknesses: Bundy's changeup is a below average pitch and needs improvement.
Command and control both need improvement. Health is a big problem and he will
need to stay healthy in order to reach his potential.
The Future: The Orioles drafted Bundy with high hopes that he would be in
their next tier of top pitching prospects. If Bundy stays healthy and improves
his command/control and changeup he could be a future #2 starter.
15. Ronnie Welty: C+, OF
Background: Welty quietly had a nice season with Delmarva in 2009. Welty
finished the season batting .290, but if he did not bat .133 in his final ten
games he would have batted .301 on the season. I see Welty as a Hunter Pence
type player but with less power.
Strengths: Welty has solid tools across the board and is not awful in an
particular area. He has average power now but if he bulks up he could add
more. Welty has average speed and a good arm.
Weaknesses: Welty strikes out at a very high rate so he needs to improve his
plate discipline. He is very skinny and will need to bulk up to hit for more
power.
The Future: Welty has a chance to be a very good major league player in RF. He
should start next season with High A Frederick and will need to display some
more power.
16. L.J. Hoes: C+, 2B
Background: As only a 19 year old, L.J. Hoes held his own with Single A
Delmarva in 2009. Hoes was drafted by the Orioles in 2009 in the third round.
The Orioles’ focused mainly on athleticism in 2008 and Hoes is an example.
Strengths: Hoes demonstrates excellent patience at the plate with a good
approach. Speed is a plus tool for Hoes and he is a great contact hitter. He
loves to be on the field and is very committed to improving his game.
Weaknesses: Hoes has great power to right field but overall his power is below
average. He was originally an outfielder but the Orioles switched him to
second base. His defense is shaky at second but is rapidly improving.
The Future: I see Hoes becoming the eventual heir to Brian Roberts and could
become an above average second basemen if he reaches his potential. He should
start 2010 with Frederick.
17. Brandon Cooney: C+, RHP
Background: Cooney was impressive in 2009 with Frederick. He struck out
batters, showed great control and got tons of ground balls. He started off
the season at Delmarva, but after moving up to Frederick he pitched even
better.
Strengths: Cooney has a big frame and is very tall at 6' 6". He has a great
mid 90's fastball that can sometimes reach 97 mph. His slider is very good
and could become a plus pitch. Cooney was drafted as a starter but he has
really settled into the bullpen nicely and could pitch in the back of a
bullpen.
Weaknesses: Cooney was very old for Frederick at 24 years old, he needs to
show that he can compete at the higher levels. Cooney has had injury problems
in the past but was healthy in 2009.
The Future: Cooney could develop into a very good closer but I project him to
be a set-up man in the majors. Cooney should start 2010 with Bowie.
18. Brandon Waring: C+, 1B/3B
Background: The Orioles acquired Waring from the Reds in return for Ramon
Hernandez. He’s mashed 67 homers in his first three pro seasons,
establishing himself as the best power hitter in the Orioles' organization.
Strengths: Waring has excellent bat speed with power to all fields. He still
has more room to fill out so he could add even more pop.
Weaknesses: Waring's swing can be a little long leading to many holes. He
chases too many pitches out of the zone and tries to pull the ball too much,
leading to his high strikeout rate. Waring does not have a true position on
defense which may force him to be a DH.
The Future: Waring will start 2010 with Bowie and will need to show he can
compete at the higher minor league levels.
19. Michael Ohlman: C, C
Background: Ohlman committed to Miami but the Orioles drafted him in the 9th
round of the 2009 draft. They were able to sign Ohlman to an over-slot bonus
of $995,000. Ohlman attracted a lot of attention when he played on a North
Carolina travel team with Wil Myers and Brian Goodwin.
Strengths: Ohlman has great hand eye coordination and a great feel for
hitting. His best tool is his plus power and it may be sufficient for a move
to first or third base. Ohlman has 25-30 home run power potential and has the
athletic ability to handle an outfield corner if needed.
Weaknesses: At 6' 4", 200 pounds, his body is not suited to be a catcher
although he has shown good athletic ability. Scouts question his ability to
stay at catcher and he may need to move to an outfield or infield corner. He
has plus arm strength but his receiving skills need work and his blocking
needs refining as well. Being so tall gives Ohlman holes in his swing so he
will need to refine it and shorten it up.
The Future: Ohlman struggled in his 2009 debut with the Gulf Coast League
Orioles as he went 2 for 11 (.182 avg). Ohlman should start 2010 at Short
Season Aberdeen.
20. Tyler Townsend: C, 1B
Background: The Orioles drafted Townsend in the third round of the 2009 MLB
draft. He is the power prospect that the Orioles desperately need. Townsend
had a huge season at Florida International, batting .434/.512/.858 with 24
home runs and 77 RBIs. He hit only .143 in his short stint with Aberdeen in
2009. His struggles at Aberdeen could have been the effects of a wrist injury
he sustained before he signed with the Orioles.
Strengths: Townsend is a big left handed power bat with an excellent stroke.
Power is a plus tool for Townsend and he has 30+ home run potential. He could
hit for power and average in the bigs.
Weaknesses: He played right field in college at Florida International but
played first base while he was with Aberdeen. He is a below-average runner
which may limit him to playing only first base.
The Future: Townsend should start 2010 with Class A Delmarva and could
progress through the Orioles' system quickly with his bat.
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