[情報] As the (Aaron) Crow Flies (Fangraphs)
As the (Aaron) Crow Fliesby Marc Hulet - May 13, 2010
(Source:http://ppt.cc/tOhi )
While perusing the Royals’ organizational chart the other day, I realized
that it’s been quite some time since I’ve heard anything about Aaron Crow.
The right-hander, you’ll recall, was the ninth overall pick by the
Washington Nationals during the 2008 draft.
Stepping back into 2008 again, the Top 2 pitchers in the draft that year were
Crow and Brian Matusz of the University of San Diego. Here is what Baseball
American said about Crow before the ‘08 amateur draft:
In three years, Crow has gone from an undrafted high school senior to the
best righthander in the 2008 draft, thanks largely to the best fastball
package available. Other pitchers may throw harder, but no one can match the
combination of Crow’s velocity (92-96 mph with a peak of 98), hard sink,
command and ability to maintain his fastball… Some teams wonder if his
mechanics and size (generously listed at 6-foot-3 and 195 pounds) might make
him more of a closer than a front-line starter. Crow led the Cape Cod League
with a 0.67 ERA last summer and was the No. 1 prospect in the league.
And here is a little something on Matusz:
Like David Price, the No. 1 pick last year, Matusz is tall and lanky at
6-foot-5 and 200 pounds, and scouts have history with him. He didn’t sign
with the Angels in 2005 as a fourth-round pick out of an Arizona high school,
and he starred for Team USA last summer, after ranking second (behind Price)
in the nation in strikeouts… Matusz profiles as a middle of the rotation
starter at worst, and if he improves his fastball and mechanics, he can
become a staff ace.
There was a lot of debate over who was the better pick but it appears that
Baltimore made the smart decision to take the more advanced left-hander.
While Crow is struggling in double-A, Matusz is holding his own at the MLB
level and has 15 MLB starts under his belt with a career xFIP of 4.58.
Unable to come to terms with Washington in ‘08, Crow re-entered the draft in
‘09 and went 12th overall to the Royals. He didn’t sign until late in the
year so the former University of Missouri star officially began his pro
career in April, 2010.
In the first start of his career, Crow allowed just one unearned run in 4.2
innings. His subsequent double-A starts have been inconsistent. His best
stretch came in two games on April 29 and May 4 when he allowed just five
runs on 12 hits in 15.0 innings. He walked three and struck out nine. In his
last start against Tulsa (Colorado) on May 9, Crow was touched up for seven
runs on seven hits and four walks in 5.0 runs. He did not strike out a
batter.
Overall, he’s allowed 43 hits in 41.2 innings. Crow has given up 17 walks
with just 21 strikeouts. Despite an excellent ground-ball rate of 70%, Crow
has given up six homers (1.20 HR/9). If he keeps up that ground-ball rate, he
should have some success, but he’s not going to reach his ceiling of a No. 1
or 2 starter with a sub-5.00 strikeout rate. It’s still early to get too
worried, but flashes of Luke Hochevar are dancing in my head; one
under-performing former No. 1 draft pick in enough for the Royals
organization.
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