[新聞] For Cliff Lee suitors, hope and disc …
時間: Sat Dec 11 00:03:12 2010
The Rangers boosted their offer to Cliff Lee and may well wind up getting
him, as Jeff Wilson writes. But at some point, the Texas baseball operations
executives involved in this must have asked themselves: Have we lost our
minds?
Even the Yankees, with their enormous revenues, are feeling uncomfortable
with where these negotiations have gone. History tells us that seven-year
deals for pitchers almost never work out, at any age, and yet now the Yankees
have made a seven-year offer to Lee, who will throw his first pitch in the
2011 season at age 32.
Lee is an incredible athlete and in great shape and highly regimented in his
work ethic, and of course he's been one of the greatest postseason pitchers
in the history of baseball. The guy walked 18 batters and struck out 185 last
season. All of those factors make you feel good about his chances for
pitching well in the immediate future.
But three years ago, he struggled so badly for the Indians that he was sent
to the minors. His fastball is typically 91-92 mph, so as he ages and loses
velocity, he'll soon drop into the much more hittable 89-90 mph range. His
best weapon is his incredible command, and if that suffers just a bit, he
will be a very different pitcher. "He has very little margin for error," one
talent evaluator said this week. "If he starts to decline, he could go from
being great to being average quickly."
If the Yankees sign Lee and he regresses in three years, it would be
devastating -- but not debilitating. New York is already looking at the real
possibility that Alex Rodriguez will be underperforming in the last years of
his career, while making huge dollars -- and if the Yankees sign Lee, they
would be committing almost $55 million to a 42-year-old A-Rod and 39-year-old
Lee in 2017.
But the Yankees are a money machine, thriving; they can afford that kind of
commitment.
Can the Rangers? Does it make sense for them to commit those kinds of dollars
to one player?
Well, the answer is complicated
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※ 編輯: beckseaton 來自: 59.113.172.25 (12/11 00:03)
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