[討論] Can we please tap the brakes on Greinke?
Can we please tap the brakes on Greinke?
So Texas can have either Martin Perez, Derek Holland and Luis Sardinas or
Zack Greinke.
But is Greinke really the guy you sell out the farm to acquire?
C.J. Wilson had the 10th best WAR in the American League last year at 4.6
and cost the Rangers $3.1 million. Cliff Lee had the 13th best WAR in
the AL (4.3) in 2010. Colby Lewis came in at number 19 in the league with a
3.6 at a cost of $1.75 million and Tommy Hunter ranked 39th with a 2.4 for
the low price of the league minimum.
Zack Greinke? Right in front of Hunter at #38 with a 2.4 and a $7.25 million
price tag. That takes into account his 220 innings of work.
Moreover, what exactly is there about Greinke's track record that makes you
think he'll become Curt Schilling, Orel Hershiser or Cliff Lee come October?
I wrote several years ago that if I was a scout, a key part of my report on
every pitcher would be "What would he look like standing on the hill on a
chilly October night in front of 50,000 screaming fans?" If I'm going to
trade away three elite prospects for a pitcher, the answer to that question
has to be "like a cold-hearted killer." With Greinke, I can't come up with
that answer to the big question.
Roy Halladay? Yes. And you knew it even before he saw the post season.
Zack Greinke? Not so much.
Last December, the Phillies traded Cliffly for Phillippe Aumont, Tyson Gilles
and J.C. Ramirez.
Last December, the Blue Jays traded Roy Halladay for Kyle Drabek, Michael
Taylor and Travis d'Arnaud.
You're telling me that this December, Zack Greinke is worth Martin Perez,
Derek Holland and Luis Sardinas or Jurickson Profar?
Would someone explain to me how and why it has evidently become conventional
wisdom around the Rangers community to perceive this guy as an ace-quality
starter worthy of a cache of high-upside prospects when the neither the
statistical data nor the circumstantial evidence supports that assumption?
I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.
資料來源:Baseball Time in Arlington
http://www.bbtia.com/the-clubhouse/2010/12/8/can-we-please-tap-the-brakes-
on-greinke.html
Zack Greinke今年吃了220局，而他的WAR只比領大聯盟最低薪的Hunter好一咪咪~~
(Greinke美聯排名#38，Tommy Hunter美聯排名#39，而Hunter今年季初還受傷咧~~)
作者也提出藍鳥和費城隊當初分別送走Roy Halladay和Cliff Lee的交易包裹，沒有像
皇家隊GM要的那麼誇張~~
而作者質疑花那麼大的代價(一堆頂級新秀)換來Greinke定是想要他在10月季後賽有所作為
，而Roy Halladay已經證明他可以在大場面(5萬個以上瘋狂尖叫的球迷面前還可以保持冷
靜地投球~~)，Greinke部分作者則抱著很大的疑問(我也認為在壓力超大的Postseason
Greinke會是個High risk pitcher~~)
Anyway，看Lee的選擇吧~~
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2010 Texas Rangers Postseason Franchise Roster
(SP)Cliff Lee (C)Benjie Molina (1B)Mitch Moreland (2B)Ian Kinsler
(SS)Elvis Andrus (3B)Michael Young (LF)David Murphy (CF)Josh Hamilton
(RF)Nelson Cruz (DH)Vladimir Guerrero (SP)C.J. Wilson (SP)Colby Lewis
(CL)Neftali Feliz (RP)Darren O'Day (RP)Darren Oliver (SP)Derek Holland
(RP)Alexi Ogando (RP)Michael Kirkman (C)Matt Treanor (OF)Julio Borbon
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