[討論] Should the Rangers go after Adrian Beltre?

看板Rangers作者mayfirst (2010AL冠軍遊騎兵)時間14年前 (2010/12/18 23:18)推噓3(3推 0噓 2→)

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Should the Rangers go after Adrian Beltre? 我們該去搶吹哥嗎? As the offseason continues and you glance at the big names still available, Adrian Beltre is certainly high on the list. But is that the type of player the Rangers should spend top dollar on? 現在自由球員中，Beltre排名第一(其他大咖都找到落腳處了)。但是他會是適合遊騎兵隊灑下大錢的對象嗎? ESPN.com's Dave Cameron thinks so. His proposal, one we've discussed on this blog before, is for the Rangers to throw money at Beltre and move Michael Young to designated hitter. Here is part of Cameron's thinking: Espn作家Dave Cameron討論關於簽下Beltre並且將Young放在指定打擊位置~~ (VG:那我咧??) Young is certainly not a prototypical DH. As a hitter, he's just slightly above average, and his .335 weighted on base average (wOBA) would have ranked 12th among American League designated hitters in 2010, just behind Johnny Damon and ahead of Jason Kubel. Just over two years ago, he was the reigning gold glove winner at shortstop in the AL, and while that was one of the worst decisions the voters have made in recent history, it is still unusual to see a player regress from shortstop to DH in such a short period of time. Young不是理想的指定打擊人選。0.335的wOBA排名美聯指定打擊第12名。只比大門和Kubel 好。兩年前他才在游擊手位置拿下金手套(美聯)，呃，那是這幾年來最爛的投票結果之一。一個球員在那麼短的時間內從游擊手移往指定打擊位置是不尋常的。 However, the upgrade for the Rangers by replacing Young at third base with Beltre is substantial enough to justify the unusual maneuver of forgoing a classic slugger at DH. For all the talk of Vladimir Guerrero's impact on the Rangers' offense a year ago, Beltre actually outhit him in every area. His batting average was 21 points higher, he drew five more walks and while Guerrero launched one additional home run, Beltre's 22 additional doubles more than offset that difference. Beltre2010年的數據比Vladimir Guerrero還好。打擊率高出0.021，多5次四壞，和22支二壘打，VG只比吹哥多了一發全壘打。 That isn't to say that Beltre's 2010 represents what he'll do going forward, but looking at data from the last three years suggests that Beltre and Guerrero are similar offensive talents. Guerrero's bat has been worth just over 15 runs above an average hitter per year since 2008, while Beltre's has been worth 11 runs per year over the same time frame. Given that Beltre is four years younger -- and his body is in significantly better shape -- we should actually expect him to outhit Guerrero in 2011. Beltre和VG這三年的成績很像。VG的棒子這三年只比聯盟平均多得了15分。Beltre則只有 11分。不過Beltre比VG年輕4歲~~ Cameron goes on to analyze what Beltre can do on the field, noting his UZR is 125 runs better than the average since 2002, about 15 runs per season. That's a better mark than Young, so Cameron feels Beltre's upgrade in the field means the club should make the switch. Beltre自2002年以來的UZR比平均值多了125，大約每年多幫球隊守下15分。 I certainly think it's something that should be considered, though I still think starting pitching is the top priority for this team. Do you ask Young to make yet another position change? He moved from second shortstop and then shortstop to third base. And that move was only two years ago. Young remains the face of the franchise and the clear clubhouse leader. Would playing Beltre at third and moving Young to DH make the club better? The numbers say yes. 但是你們問Young答應換守備位置了嗎?他可是球隊的臉!!但是讓Beltre守三壘，M Young 打指定，數據上顯示會讓球隊更好。 M Young:我又要換守備位置了，這樣我每場比賽要多帶一種手套耶~~抗議!!我要加薪!!! But there are other, cheaper options. That would include signing Guerrero to a one-year deal and using the money elsewhere (Guerrero has been trying to get a two-year deal on the market, but hasn't found one. It's likely the club and Guerrero can come together on a deal). Of course, the club could address its pitching needs via trade and have some money left over to make the deal. One thing about not getting Lee: The Rangers have some money to play with. 另外一種更便宜的選擇:VG簽一年。沒有簽下Lee代表一件事:遊騎兵隊的錢多到沒處花~~ Should they spend it on Beltre? 他們應該簽下吹哥嗎?? 資料來源:ESPN-Dallas(Rangers) http://espn.go.com/blog/dallas/texas-rangers/ -- 2010 Texas Rangers Postseason Franchise Roster (SP)Cliff Lee (C)Benjie Molina (1B)Mitch Moreland (2B)Ian Kinsler (SS)Elvis Andrus (3B)Michael Young (LF)David Murphy (CF)Josh Hamilton (RF)Nelson Cruz (DH)Vladimir Guerrero (SP)C.J. Wilson (SP)Colby Lewis (CL)Neftali Feliz (RP)Darren O'Day (RP)Darren Oliver (SP)Derek Holland (RP)Alexi Ogando (RP)Michael Kirkman (C)Matt Treanor (OF)Julio Borbon -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 59.121.8.187