[討論] Talking trades with a Tampa Bay blogger
Talking trades with a Tampa Bay blogger
Marc Topkin, the Tampa Bay Rays beat writer for the St. Petersburg Times
(check out his blog here), was kind enough to chat about trade possibilities
involving the Rays, including Matt Garza and James Shields. The Rangers have
a tendency to check in on everything, so if there's a trade to be made, you
never know what could happen. Texas certainly could use another starting
pitcher and Garza is a high-quality option that could be available.
Q: Why would the Rays want to trade Matt Garza?
為什麼光芒會想要交易Garza?
A: They don’t want to trade him. They’ve been pretty public in their
positioning that they don’t want to trade any of their starts, but they
obviously have a number of holes to fill based on free agent departures like
Carlos Pena, Carl Crawford, Joaquin Benoit, Randy Choate plus Rafael Soriano
and Grant Balfour (both expected departures). Garza is their most tradeable
commodity. He is a proven starter in the AL East and that means he could
pitch anywhere. His salary is growing. He’ll probably make $5-6 million this
year in arbitration, so he’s going to get expensive. They have some other
starters and a wave of pitching prospects that were at ‘A’ level or
Double-A and are coming in the future. If they were going to make a
significant trade, Matt would bring back a nice return.
他們並不想要交易Garza。但是因為流失太多自由球員(Pena->小熊，Crawford->紅襪，
Benoit->老虎，Randy Choate+Rafael Soriano+Grant Balfour也幾乎確定會離隊。而Garza
在美聯東區已經證明他的實力，加上他明年仲裁薪資預估落在5~6M鎂，會越來會貴。光芒隊
又有多到滿出來的先發+新秀，而Garza肯定可以換回很多值錢的好東西)
Q: What do you think it would take to get Garza?
你認為如何才會交易Garza?
A: Given that they are in a position of not needing to or wanting to trade
him, it’s safe to assume the Rays would have to be overwhelmed to make a
deal. They value young, high upside players they can control for a number of
years. They are trying to accumulate those types of players because that
helps them offset the financial inequities they face. The other thing about
the Rays is that they are adamant about not making deals just to fill
positions of need. They will do deals for who’s the best player or prospects
and figure it out later. You could look at them and suggest they may not have
a shortstop of the future, not a lot of advanced hitting prospects, not a lot
of catching, but they have a lot of starting pitching. There are spots of
need, but they wouldn’t necessarily be motivated by need. They would take
the best prospects. If they were to make a trade for major league players in
terms of current needs, they need relievers and a bat to replace Pena and/or
Crawford.
要說服光芒隊交易後會很高興。(換回很多不錯的球員/新秀)他很想要年輕，high upside
的球員，可以待在光芒隊好幾年。且他們缺乏未來防守內野屏障的游擊手，缺乏許多具有打
擊實力的年輕新秀，有沒有很棒的捕手位置深度，但是他們有很多好的先發投手。假如他
們想要交易回來具大聯盟資歷的選手，他們需要一些牛棚投手和一個能填補Pena和
Crawford位置的選手。
Q: Give us your scouting report on Garza.
給我你們Garza選手的球探報告。
A: Everyone talks about Matt being an emotional pitcher, but he’s done a
good job of controlling those. When he gets into trouble it’s when he gets
away from his fastball and outsmarts himself and gets a little too cute. He’
s got a wide repertoire. But he’s most successful when he’s pounding his
two-seamer down in the zone and works off that. He’s most successful when he
’s using that fastball. But he’s streaky. He’ll go good for a few games
and then he’ll struggle. He’s talented, high end, was the ALCS MVP in 2008
and has the kind of stuff to be a Cy Young candidate pitcher. He started
great last season, let some things get away and then found it again with a
no-hitter and was good. His next step is going out there and doing it for
30-plus starts.
Garza是一位帶有情緒的選手，但是他能控制的很好。當他的二縫線直球有效攻擊
好球帶下緣時會很強。有時候連續幾場很棒，有時候會陷入低潮。他具有天份，2008年
ALCS最有價值球員，且具有Cy Young潛質的投手。2010年也丟過無安打比賽。
Q: Do you think the Rays will trade him at some point this season? What’s
your gut feeling?
當這個球季每個時間點光芒隊會交易他，你的感覺和想法如何呢?
A: I think the Rays will trade him at some point this season. I don’t know
if they’ll trade him before Opening Day and part of that rests with how the
rest of the offseason goes. [Rays GM] Andrew Friedman has been adamant for
weeks that he’s not looking to trade a starter. But he’s also very smart
and he has the caveat out there that he’s looking for something to help
their short- and long-term goals. If they can get a piece that can help them
now and some that can help them later, they’d do it. I’d say it’s 50-50
before Opening Day and better odds after that.
我認為光芒隊會在下個球季某個時間點交易他。但是不太可能在開幕戰以前。
光芒隊的GM Andrew Friedman在尋找短期計畫和長期計畫上的幫助。他們他們找到可以立
即幫助他們和之後會幫助他們的(新秀)，他們就會做(交易Garza)。我猜50%再開幕前交易
他，且隨著時間推進機率越來越高。
Q: Any chance the Rays would deal James Shields after his 2010 season?
A: He might be a better guy for them to trade because he struggled last year
(13-15, 5.18 ERA) and is making pretty good money as well. I think he has one
more year guaranteed and a couple of options. They are confident he’ll
bounce back. I think he’d be available as well and I think it’s fair to say
the price would be as high because the upside isn’t the same. I think they’
ve gotten calls on all the starters, including Jeff Niemann and Wade Davis.
At the right price, they’d make a deal. They can make one deal and have to
be careful on which one they should make.
Q: What do Rays fans think are the long-term prospects for the Rangers now
that they saw them win the series?
A: The way the Rangers beat the Rays show the Rays that others are playing
their style. They were considered innovative and the National League style in
the American League. But the way the Rangers beat the Rays in the playoffs
showed the Rays they’re playing the same game and other teams are going to
be doing that. The Rangers did it better than the Rays. The Rays think the
Rangers are very good and they’ve got to figure out something else to get
ahead of the game. The Rangers were the Rays with bigger bats in their lineup.
資料來源:ESPN(Dallas)-Rangers
http://espn.go.com/blog/dallas/texas-rangers/
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2010 Texas Rangers Postseason Franchise Roster
(SP)Cliff Lee (C)Benjie Molina (1B)Mitch Moreland (2B)Ian Kinsler
(SS)Elvis Andrus (3B)Michael Young (LF)David Murphy (CF)Josh Hamilton
(RF)Nelson Cruz (DH)Vladimir Guerrero (SP)C.J. Wilson (SP)Colby Lewis
(CL)Neftali Feliz (RP)Darren O'Day (RP)Darren Oliver (SP)Derek Holland
(RP)Alexi Ogando (RP)Michael Kirkman (C)Matt Treanor (OF)Julio Borbon
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