[外電] Breaking down Rangers vs. Angels
Breaking down Rangers vs. Angels
By Richard Durrett
It's never too early to talk about what could be the best rivalry in MLB in
2012: Rangers vs. Angels. Count on our buddy over at ESPN.com's Sweet Spot,
David Schoenfield, to do just that. Here's some of his look at a Tale of the
Tape between the teams. You can read the whole thing here.
Catcher: Mike Napoli vs. Chris Iannetta
Here's the thing about Napoli: He actually hit better on the road in 2011, so
his monster season wasn't just a result of changing to a better park. After
hitting .187 through May 27, Napoli finished at .232 in the first half and
crushed the ball after the All-Star break, hitting .383/.466/.706 (wait, why
was he batting eighth in the World Series?). Napoli cut his strikeout rate
over 7 percent from 2010 and increased his walk rate. He did have a .344
average on balls in play compared to his career mark of .303, even though his
line-drive percentage was only 1 percent higher, so some regression is no
doubt in order. Still, his booming bat makes this a clear selection.
Advantage: Rangers.
Schoenfield breaks down every position in this way. To save space, I won't
put all the position players here for you, but here are his advantages:
First base: Angels (no shock with Albert Pujols there)
Second base: Rangers
Third base: Rangers
Shortstop: Rangers
Left field: Rangers
Center field: Rangers (he lists Josh Hamilton as a CF)
Right field: Angels
DH: Rangers
His take on the starting rotation:
No. 1 starter: Yu Darvish vs. Jered Weaver
Weaver has been one of baseball's top 10 starters the past two seasons.
Darvish may be good, but as good as Weaver? That's expecting a lot.
Advantage: Angels.
No. 2 starter: Matt Harrison vs. Dan Haren
The ERA difference between the two was small -- Harrison's 3.39 versus
Haren's 3.17, and once you factor in the home parks, Harrison actually had
the better adjusted ERA. On the other hand, Haren had a 192/33 strikeout/walk
ratio compared to Harrison's 126/57. While he benefits from being in the
perfect park for him, we have to go with Haren's proven record of success and
durability. Advantage: Angels.
No. 3 starter: Derek Holland vs. C.J. Wilson
Wilson had a 2.31 ERA on the road in 2011. Don't be surprised if he contends
for the Cy Young Award in 2012. Advantage: Angels.
No. 4 starter: Colby Lewis vs. Ervin Santana
Unlike Haren, as a flyball pitcher Lewis is probably in the worst park for
him. He gave up 35 home runs in 2011, and 23 of those came at home. On the
road, he went 9-5 with a 3.43 ERA. The underlying results of the two are
pretty similar, although Santana has better stuff. I get the feeling that if
you switched parks, they'd post each other's numbers. Advantage: Draw.
No. 5 starter: Neftali Feliz vs. Jerome Williams
In his first promotion to the majors in 2009, Feliz averaged 11.3 K's per
nine with a 4.9 strikeout-to-walk ratio. In 2010, those numbers fell to 9.2
and 3.94. In 2011, they fell again, to 7.8 and 4.3. Why is he getting worse?
Will a move to the rotation help? Did he throw his fastball too much? Will he
recover from blowing the clinching game of the World Series? All intriguing
questions without answers to be determined. Jerome Williams -- yes, the kid
who came up with the Giants in 2003 when he was just 21 -- is still just 30
years old. He made it back to the majors after beginning the year in
independent ball. Advantage: Rangers.
Closer: Joe Nathan vs. Jordan Walden
From June 28 on, Nathan pitched 28 innings, allowed a .190 average and struck
out 28 batters with just five walks. You can't read too much into 28 innings,
but it's a good sign that it just took him some time to recover from Tommy
John surgery. Walden led the majors with 10 blown saves, but his underlying
numbers were all strong. I love his power fastball and with a little better
command, he should be dynamite. Advantage: Angels.
Bullpen: Alexi Ogando/Mike Adams/Koji Uehara/Scott Feldman/Mark Lowe vs.
Scott Downs/LaTroy Hawkins/Hisanori Takayashi/Rich Thompson/Bobby Cassevah
With Ogando apparently slated to move back to the pen and a full season from
Adams, the Rangers' pen looks deep although it currently lacks a reliable
left-hander. Advantage: Rangers.
Manager: Ron Washington vs. Mike Scioscia
It's hard to give Washington the edge after his postseason performance. On
the other hand, Scioscia gave Wells 500 at-bats. Advantage: Draw.
So the final is Rangers 9-7 with two draws. Should make for a pretty
interesting 19 games between these teams. Again, it's worth a read. You can
do so here.
這是David Schoenfield針對各個位置做的評比
有興趣的可以去看完整版的
我有把我覺得有趣的用黃字標起來了XD
休季嘛~這種比較看看也頗有趣的科科
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