[情報] Texas Rangers Top 20 Prospects for2013
1) Jurickson Profar, SS, Grade A: Best position prospect in baseball, with
outstanding mix of on-base ability, moderate power, speed, excellent defense,
superior makeup, and youth.
2) Mike Olt, 3B, Grade A-: Borderline B+. His issues with strikeouts have him
right on the A-/B+ edge for me. But the power and defense stand out and will
make him valuable even if he doesn't hit for average.
3) Leonys Martin, OF, Grade B: Borderline B+. I might kick him up to B+
depending on where he needs to slot on the Top 50 list. I think the Rangers are
right that he will show more power in time and he should hit for average while
providing strong defense.
4) Cody Buckel RHP, Grade B: He might not rank as highly on other lists, but
the more I study him, the fewer reasons I find NOT to rank him this high.
Strike-thrower with excellent makeup, best friends with Trevor Bauer, handled
the Texas League just fine at age 20 which is not easy.
5) Justin Grimm, RHP, Grade B: Upside is higher than Buckel's, but he's also
four years older and not as polished with his secondary pitches. Can develop
into a number three starter with greater consistency to go with 90-94 heat.
6) Luke Jackson, RHP, Grade B: Mid-90s heat but still working on curveball and
changeup consistency, performed OK in A-ball but has to improve his command.
Could develop into a number two or strong number three starter
7) Martin Perez, LHP, Grade B: I find him very difficult to evaluate. The
massive drop in his strikeout rate is quite worrisome. I've seen him on days
when he looks like Johan Santana (93-95, killer changeup, very good curveball
and slider), and I've seen him on days where it looks like he should be
released (87-89, flat breaking balls, dead fish changeups right down the
middle). Youth and nice delivery help sustain his status, but I really don' t
know what to expect.
8) Rougned Odor, 2B, Grade B: Held his own in the South Atlantic League at age
18. Power/speed mix, strikes me as a guy who is underrated for some reason,
perhaps because there are so many infielders in the system
9) Luis Sardinas, SS, Grade B-: Borderline B: Great double play combo with Odor
heading for High-A in 2013. Very fast, good defensive tools, hit .291 in Low-A
and stole 32 bases, but has less power than Odor and is almost a year older.
10) Jorge Alfaro, C, Grade B-: Grade A tools, Grade C- current skills. Great
arm but threw out just 15% of runners. Lots of raw power, but poor contact and
plate discipline (16/84 BB/K in 272 at-bats). Turns 20 in June so he is young
enough to figure things out, but a perfect example of the high risk/high reward
player who could become a star or a Double-A washout.
11) Joey Gallo, 3B, Grade B-: More power than Con Edison. I don't know who
the power company in Dallas is, so please don't accuse me of East Coast bias.I
could have said "Westar" which is the company where I live, but how many people
would get that? Anyway, Gallo has 80-level power but we'll have to see how his
big swing and K-issues work out at higher levels. Seems doubtful as a third
baseman to me.
12) Nomar Mazara, OF, Grade B-: Bonus baby held his own in AZL at age 17. Also
has strikeout issues. Star potential if he can refine it, could move 10 spots
up on this list with a strong '13 showing.
13) Ronald Guzman, 1B, Grade B-: Another bonus baby, also held his own in AZL.
A tick behind Mazara on this chart since he has less defensive value, hasn't
fully tapped his power yet, and is six months older. Like Mazara, he could
vault forward in '13.
14) Wilmer Font, RHP, Grade B-: Hard thrower made good recovery from Tommy John
surgery. I've always liked him, so here he is again. Probably more reliever
than starter though, at least in Texas.
15) Nick Williams, OF, Grade C+: Borderline B-: Another guy with tremendous
tools, speed/power potential, but some strike zone issues. Cautious rating
until we see more.
16) Lewis Brinson, OF, Grade C+: Another toolsy outfielder with loads of
potential but questions about his hitting. And like the others, he could rank
much higher next year if he puts his game together.
17) C.J. Edwards, RHP, Grade C+: Very high upside arm came out of nowhere to
dominate short-season ball, thanks to mechanical refinement and sudden step
forward with secondary pitches. Not bad for a previously obscure 48th round
pick.
18) Neil Ramirez, RHP, Grade C+: Tough to get a handle on after wildly erratic
season, failed in Triple-A and was spotty after going down to Double-A though
sometimes effective. I have been very high on him in the past but he might do
better with a change of scenery. Trade bait?
19) Hanser Alberto, SS, Grade C+: Another product of Texas emphasis on
up-the-middle players, would get more attention in another system. Fast, has
some pop, good glove. Hit .299/.327/.410 with 24 steals between two levels of
A-ball at age 19.
20) Nick Martinez, RHP, Grade C+: Athletic former shortstop, nice sleeper
prospect pointed out to me by Rangers expert Jamey Newberg. Easy to overlook
due to 4.83 ERA in Low-A, but component ratios were much better, he's got a
live arm, a nice delivery, and secondary stuff is improving.
Leury Garcia, INF; Odubel Herrera, 2B; Roman Mendez, RHP; Nick Tepesch, RHP.
OTHERS: Alec Asher, RHP; Preston Beck, OF; Engel Beltre, OF; Cory Burns, RHP;
Zach Cone, OF; Keone Kela, RHP; Will Lamb, LHP; Kevin Matthews, LHP; Yohander
Mendez, LHP; Joe Ortiz, LHP; Victor Payano, LHP; Eduard Pinto, OF; Drew
Robinson, 3B; Ryan Rodebaugh, RHP; Jake Skole, OF; Jose Valdespina, RHP; Collin
Wiles, RHP; Coty Woods, RHP.
There's some churning on this list right now and it will look considerably
different in nine months, but overall the Rangers still have one of the deepest
farm systems in the game.
This is especially true on the hitting side. Jurickson Profar is going to be an
amazing player. Mike Olt is different; I think he will have some ups and downs
and his strikeouts might prove troublesome, but ultimately we are still talking
about a guy with 30-homer power and Gold Glove caliber defense.
Beyond the top guys, the system is loaded with tools players, and some of them
actually know how to use those tools. Leonys Martin is, at worst, a fine fourth
outfielder and I think he can be a solid regular. There is a huge amount of
material at shortstop and second base: Sardinas, Odor, Alberto, Leury Garcia,
Odubel Herrera, . .all have intriguing skills on offense, defense, or usually
both. The Rangers won't want for guys to pair with Profar, and they have a lot
of trade chits to work with.
The outfield/first base group at Low-A Hickory and short-season Spokane is
going to be fascinating. Mazara, Guzman, Gallo, Williams, Brinson. . .these
guys all have star-caliber tools. They are just getting their careers started,
and each of them has enough flaws that the grades are currently cautious
(review the definitions!). Same thing with Jairo Beras and his rotating
birthday. It will take some time, but the odds are good that at least one or
two of them will develop the way the Rangers hope.
The pitching is not as deep as the hitting. Justin Grimm and Martin Perez are
positioned to contribute in 2013. I rather like Grimm, but Perez is an enigma
to me and that enigma grows every time I see him pitch. He's usually either
brilliant or awful and I don't know how that's going to stabilize. Buckel and
Jackson will be mid-rotation candidates by 2015, if not sooner in Buckels'
case. Neither of them are sure things though, and the lack of a top-notch
starting pitching prospect is the main weakness in the system. They do have
interesting material continuing to filter in at the lower levels that could
develop.
Overall, this is a system going through a transitional phase, but the
aggregation of upside talent is still one of the best around.
--
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※ 編輯: MattSzczur 來自: 118.167.251.133 (12/30 19:03)
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真糟糕 複製貼上也會有文字投奔自由去 XD
※ 編輯: MattSzczur 來自: 118.167.251.133 (12/30 21:23)
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