[情報] Prospect of the Day: Engel Beltre
http://ppt.cc/BAMG
Prospect of the Day: Engel Beltre, OF, Texas Rangers
By John Sickels on Aug 6 2013
Engel Beltre 在2007年透過交易來到條子小聯盟系統
在隔年他有了生涯第一個完整球季
130場比賽打出 .283/.308/.403 的成績,並成功盜壘31次
他的運動能力及tools讓球探們印象深刻
他當時的缺點是他完全沒有辨識球種的能力
很會打直球但對變化球沒轍
這問題在2009球季被放大,他這年只打出 .227/.281/.317的成績
357個打數只有17個保送,他的揮棒機制很糟,揮棒軌跡顯然有問題
2010年他升上2A,然後又再度陷入困境
他失去本壘板紀律並出現情緒控管的問題
他在2A持續掙扎到2013年,他似乎沒辦法再進步了......
他被移出BA前30球隊新秀並被視為bust
直到今年他升到3A後意外地有了改變,他打出 .302/.360/.405的成績
他的被保送率是菜鳥球季以來的新高
球探報告指出他的選球與揮棒的穩定性都有進步,但對左投還是沒輒
Engel Beltre 今年已經23歲了,tools從來不是他的問題
他跑得很快且臂力強,外野三個位置都能守
他在壘包間非常積極
即使因為缺乏跑壘技巧導致盜壘成功率不佳 (14-for-24)
但在壘上還是個威脅
今年的進步給了他上大聯盟試試身手的機會
但他仍然存在辨識球種與本壘板紀律的問題
這些問題在面對左投手時特別明顯
他的速度與防守能幫助他至少留在大聯盟邊緣
而打擊能力是 Engel Beltre 能否站穩大聯盟的關鍵
The Texas Rangers promoted Engel Beltre to the major league roster yesterday
to help cover for the suspended Nelson Cruz. Beltre was up in the majors
earlier this season and has been a factor in the prospect world for several
years. Let's take a look at him as today's Prospect of the Day.
Beltre was originally signed by the Boston Red Sox out of the Dominican
Republic in 2006, giving him a $600,000 bonus. He debuted in the Red Sox
system with a .208/.310/.400 line in 34 games in the Gulf Coast League in
'07, earning enough attention to become a key prospect in that summer's Eric
Gagne trade (remember that?). He moved over to the Rangers rookie ball
affiliate in Arizona to finish the summer, hitting .310/.388/.583 in 22
games, but was overmatched after a late promotion to Spokane in the Northwest
League, fanning 10 times in 38 at-bats and hitting .211.
The Rangers moved him up to Clinton in the Midwest League for 2008. He
impressed scouts with his athleticism and tools, while hitting .283/.308/.403
in 130 games, a respectable slash line for an 18-year-old in full-season
ball. He also stole 31 bases, however his strike zone judgment was awful,
with a 15/105 BB/K ratio in 566 at-bats. He handled fastballs well and saw
enough of them to keep his batting average up, but he was helpless against
breaking stuff. At that point, scouts were more concerned with his tools than
anything else and were willing to accept his weaknesses, figuring they would
improve in time.
The weakness was exposed in 2009: he hit just .227/.281/.317 with 17 walks
and 77 strikeouts in 357 at-bats for Bakersfield in the hitter-friendly
California League. His swing mechanics were a mess and his approach an
obvious problem, but the tools were still there, particularly on defense, and
he was still very young.
He returned to Bakersfield in 2010 and was much more effective, hitting
.331/.376/.460 in 263 at-bats. This earned him a promotion to Double-A
Frisco, where his bat went silent again against better pitching
(.254/.301/.337 in 181 at-bats). He combined for 18 steals at the two levels.
Beltre went back to Frisco for 2011 but it was a rough year: he hit just
.231/.285/.300 with only one homer, 28 walks, and 103 strikeouts in 437
at-bats. He also drew a demerit with scouts and a suspension in April after
throwing a tantrum and tossing a trashcan into the stands. He returned to
Frisco for a third time in 2012, improving to .261/.307/.420 in 564 at-bats,
showing more pop but still struggling with plate discipline (26 walks, 118
strikeouts).
With an apparent inability to thrive in Double-A, Beltre's stock was down
entering 2013: he was being written off as a toolsy bust by Texas League
observers and didn't rank in Baseball America's top 30 Rangers prospects. I
had him as a Grade C myself, noting his glovework and his overall
athleticism, but harboring significant doubts that he would hit enough for
those things to matter much.
However, a few things have clicked this year. Moved up to Triple-A Round
Rock, he's hitting .302/.360/.405, with 26 walks and 59 strikeouts in 301
at-bats. That's his best walk rate since rookie ball, and observers report
he's made real progress with both his pitch selectivity and the consistency
of his swing. He has been raking PCL right-handers over the coals
(.352/.413/.486), but is still overmatched by lefties (just .187/.235/.220).
Beltre is listed at 6-2, 180, a left-handed hitter and thrower, born November
1, 1989. As noted above, tools aren't the problem: he's fast, has a strong
throwing arm, and has developed into an excellent defensive outfielder,
capable of handling all three positions. He is aggressive about using his
speed on the basepaths, but isn't a great percentage stealer, just 14-for-24
this year. Still, fast is better than slow even if he still needs to improve
his technique.
At age 23, Beltre remains reasonably young. His defense and speed should keep
him in the majors (or at least on the edges of it) for a long time, but
whether he gets beyond that to regular status or not depends on his hitting.
While his bat is better than it used to be, he still has problems with pitch
recognition and plate discipline, particularly against lefties.
Beltre has made enough progress to deserve an opportunity, but not enough to
guarantee success just yet.
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◆ From: 111.255.252.44
※ 編輯: kaijun 來自: 111.255.252.44 (09/16 06:38)
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09/16 22:45, , 1F
09/16 22:45, 1F
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