[外電] Elvis Andrus: Offensive Offense

看板Rangers作者kaijun (都瑞米)時間11年前 (2013/11/16 21:10)推噓8(8推 0噓 6→)

留言14則, 10人參與討論串1/1

http://ppt.cc/ovOj 令人驚訝的事實是 Andrus 仍然是聯盟中一流的游擊手他的貢獻主要來自守備能力與跑壘即使在一個打擊低潮的球季他依然在 Zach Sanders 的游擊手排行榜名列第三因為對游擊手打擊能力的要求通常比較低 Elvis Andrus continues to be more than an adequate fantasy shortstop. This may come as a surprise, considering Andrus is known far more for his glove work, and not his bat. Yet, even in a down offensive season, Andrus still ranked third among shortstops in Zach Sanders’ end of season rankings. If anything, this shows how low the bar has been set for shortstop production in fantasy. Most of Andrus’ fantasy production comes from two areas, his ability to score runs and steal bases. In every other area, Andrus’ offense has been lacking. Often lost in the shuffle is the fact that Andrus broke into the majors at age-20. Given that he’s going to be 25, there’s still a chance for an offensive breakout. Andrus 的打擊能力沒有帶上大聯盟即使如此，考慮到他一流的守備，球隊還是願意給他先發甚至願意跟他簽下一張8年120M的長約他才25歲，這代表他依然有進步的空間他的打擊仍然有可能 breakout Andrus was hardly a finished product when he reached the majors, but the team was willing to overlook his limited ability with the bat for excellent defense at a key position. And though the bat hasn’t taken a big step forward, the Rangers are clearly happy with his overall production, signing him to an eight-year, $120 million contract last April. Fantasy owners only care about his offensive numbers, which is an area where Andrus could use some improvement. 年輕強打者 Bryce Harper 和 Mike Trout 只能說是特例基本上像 Andrus 這個年紀的打者，在打擊上很掙扎的情況比較常見比較值得參考的是像 Edgar Renteria, Jimmy Rollins, Don Money, Kurt Stillwell Renteria 和 Rollins 在26歲以後打擊開始大爆發 Don Money 至少在之後八個球季成為 above-average 的打者 Kurt Stillwell 在打擊上沒有太多進步 When compared to similar players, Andrus appears among some interesting names. The biggest thing that sticks out is how much these players struggled offensively at the same age as Andrus. Contrary to what Bryce Harper and Mike Trout have shown in recent seasons, it’s just not wise to expect a 20-year-old to produce All-Star numbers at the plate. The most comparable players to Andrus on that list are Edgar Renteria, Jimmy Rollins, Don Money and Kurt Stillwell when you take into account their strikeout and walk rates. How did these players perform during their age-25 seasons? It’s pretty much a mixed bag. Both Rollins and Renteria started to emerge as legitimate offensive threats. Money and Stillwell failed to improve on their offensive numbers. Money did, however, eventually turn into an above-average offensive threat. Starting at age-26, Money posted at least a .340 wOBA in seven of the next eight seasons. He had three seasons in that period where his wOBA was at least .360. Stillwell never turned into a viable offensive player. Andrus 沒有展現出他有擊出兩位數全壘打的能力對他打擊上比較實際的期待是打擊率的進步至少在這個小樣本中，我們有根據可以期待 Andrus 可能成為更有效率的打者 What Andrus hasn’t shown is the ability to hit for double-digit home runs. Renteria, Rollins and Money all were able to do so before turning 25. Renteria settled in as a consistent double-digit power guy, while Rollins became more than that. Money was generally in the same category as Renteria, though did turn in an outlier 25 home run season. All these players offered a consistent power output, which is something Andrus has never flashed. Unless that changes, Andrus will have to hope to start hitting for better averages if he wants to improve his offensive numbers. In this small sample of four players, there’s some evidence that Andrus will become a more effective hitter in time. It’s tough to say whether that will happen next season given the evidence. And while Andrus is somewhat similar to these players in output and approach, he hasn’t shown the same type of power output. In order for him to take that next step forward, he’s either going to have to start knocking balls out of the park or start hitting for a higher average. The latter is not out of the realm of possibilities given his skill set. It’s just not something fantasy owners should count on for next year. 備註: Fantasy baseball是一款棒球經營遊戲，這篇文章是寫給玩家的分析 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.255.74.72